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Michigan IRP Gas Forecast. Michigan IRP Gas Forecast. In the following slide, you will see 3 natural gas profiles EIA WellHead Price for the Lower 48 Average Published data from the EIA
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Michigan IRP Gas Forecast • In the following slide, you will see 3 natural gas profiles • EIA WellHead Price for the Lower 48 Average • Published data from the EIA • EIA WellHead Price adjusted upward by 12.2% to account for the median between wellhead prices and Henry Hub Prices • An analysis was performed by NewEnergy that compared historical wellhead prices and historical Henry Hub prices for their correlation, standard deviation, average % difference, and median % difference. • Median % difference was used to scale the WellHead price to Henry Hub • Methodology employed by EIA (http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/analysispaper/henryhub/index.html) • Henry Hub Forecast using more recent Henry Hub Prices, while maintaining the shape provided by EIA • Using the average Henry Hub Cash Price from 1/1/2005 to 6/16/2005 for 2005, the shape was maintained and gas prices were projected forward until 2025