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UN Peacekeeping. Panacea or Predicament?. Post-Cold War Conflict. Threat of nuclear war is gone End of Security Council paralysis Success in Gulf War I Intra-state v. interstate conflict Rise of failed states. Optimism Fades. Somalia Bosnia Rwanda. History of UN Peacekeeping. 56 Suez
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UN Peacekeeping Panacea or Predicament?
Post-Cold War Conflict • Threat of nuclear war is gone • End of Security Council paralysis • Success in Gulf War I • Intra-state v. interstate conflict • Rise of failed states
Optimism Fades • Somalia • Bosnia • Rwanda
History of UN Peacekeeping • 56 Suez • 60 Congo
Classifications of Peacekeeping • 1st Generation – Peace Monitoring • 2nd Generation – Nation Building • 3rd Generation – Peace Making
Diehl’s Criteria for Success • Organizing Agency • Regional Organization • Well equipped • Timing • Ceasefire • Peace deal in place • Pre-hostilities
Diehl’s Criteria for Success • Host State Consent • Neutrality • Geography • Interposition • Vulnerability • 3rd Party Cooperation • Mandate/Mission
Other Peacekeeping Issues • Who Pays? Who Serves? • A Permanent UN army? • The right to intervene in a humanitarian crisis, “The Obligation to Protect” • Security Council Reform
2nd Generation or Nation Building • Roland Paris – “ The Limits of Liberal Internationalism” • Are Democracy and Capitalism the right models for nation building?
Case Studies OTP • UNEF – Sinai • Bosnia • Cyprus • Somalia • Rwanda • Darfur?
The Situation in Darfur • AU Peacekeeping Force • Security Council authorization for a UN Force • 280k dead, 3 million displaced • Muslim v. Christian? • Arab v. African? • Global Climate Change? • Ceasefire? • Spillover into Chad
China and Sudan • Chinese firms have invested $15 billion since 1996 mostly in the oil industry boosting Sudanese government revenue • Offsetting US sanctions that have been in place since 1997 • %10 of China’s oil imports come from Sudan • China has rejected sanctions in the UN Security Council • Oil revenue has allowed Sudan to wage war in Darfur • China has built arms factories in Sudan which have countered the UN arms embargo • Steven Spielberg and the Olympics