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GUARANTEE SYSTEMS IN AFRICA SETTING UP EFFECTIVE DEVELOPMENT FINANCE INSTRUMENTS J. Garson. Definition. Guarantor. (3). (2). B A N K. (1). A lost cause ?. “All GFs did fail in Africa” Levitsky: GFs are bound to fail Anyway: Moral hazard Free rider Logic. Yet.
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GUARANTEE SYSTEMS IN AFRICA SETTING UP EFFECTIVE DEVELOPMENT FINANCE INSTRUMENTS J. Garson JGARSON
Definition Guarantor (3) (2) B A N K (1) JGARSON
A lost cause ? • “All GFs did fail in Africa” • Levitsky: GFs are bound to fail • Anyway: • Moral hazard • Free rider • Logic JGARSON
Yet.... • GFs worked well in Europe and in many DCs • No other answer to the issue of collateral • Cultural divide ? • Donors’ self interest ? JGARSON
Revisiting the issue • Clarify the objective of GSs • Designing GSs is a science, not a (political) art • Managing GSs is a science, not... • Setting up/Rehabilitating GSs: a not too easy JGARSON
Objectives of GSs JGARSON
GUARANTEE SYSTEMS 2b 2a GOVERNMENTS WANT TO HELP GOVERNMENTS WANT TO HELP ECONOMIC ACTORS WANT TO HELP THEMSELVES 1 GUARANTEE FUNDS MUTUAL GUARANTEE ASSOCIATIONS JGARSON
Guarantee Funds G F (3) (2) B A N K (1) JGARSON
Mutual Guarantee Associations (2) (3) RF B A N K (1) JGARSON
MGAs • More than 120 years • Self-managed “club” • RF = members (+ Govt + Donors) • Cottage enterprises, SMEs, dentists, housing • Levitsky ??? JGARSON
Guarantee funds Rely on Budget One-year barrier Transparency Problem? MGA Membership fees Self-blocking mechanism Transparency The replenishment issue JGARSON
Objective of GSs • What is a good design? JGARSON
Key Parameters • Percentage of coverage • First-demand guarantee • Speedy bilateral procedures • Check additionnality • Maintain separate assessments JGARSON
Know Who You Are • GSs only clients: banks • GSs only asset: credibility vis-à-vis banks • GSs only obsession: keep that credibility as high as possible JGARSON
Know How You Impact Banks • Donors mistake: “they want it” • A loss is a loss, even with a GS • GSs additionnality: just tilt the balance for “grey area” cases • Help convince Banking Commissions JGARSON
Objective of the GSs ? • What is a good GS design ? • What is a good GS management ? JGARSON
Know Your Strength • Negotiate with Banking Commission • Keep them competing for your guarantee • Do use counterguarantees as sanctions JGARSON
Objective of GSs • What is a good GS design ? • What is a good GS management ? • Setting up GSs JGARSON
Setting up/Rehabilitating GFs • Continental GF: FSA • Sub-Regional GFs • GARI • Fagace • National GFs • FODEX JGARSON
GUARANTEE SYSTEMS 2b 2a GOVERNMENTS WANT TO HELP 2c BANKS WANT TO DEVELOP MLT LENDING ECONOMIC ACTORS WANT TO HELP THEMSELVES MUTUAL GUARANTEE ASSOCIATIONS JGARSON
Setting up MGAs • Governments (Turkey, Spain…) • Donors (Philppines) • Members themselves (France, Germany) • Banks (West Africa, Cameroon) JGARSON
THANK YOU ! jose.garson@bred.fr JGARSON