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Credit Risk of the Microfinance Institutions Industry in Ethiopia. by Wolday Amha Association of Ethiopia Microfinance Institutions (AEMFI) Presented at Expert Meeting in JB, South Africa, April 1-3 2009. Growth of Microfinance Industry in Ethiopia (December 2001-September 2008).
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Credit Risk of the Microfinance Institutions Industry in Ethiopia by WoldayAmha Association of Ethiopia Microfinance Institutions (AEMFI) Presented at Expert Meeting in JB, South Africa, April 1-3 2009
Growth of Microfinance Industry in Ethiopia (December 2001-September 2008)
Outstanding Loans and Savings ( June 2003-June, 2007)
Purpose of Loans • Agriculture (66%) • Micro and small enterprise (7%) • Trade (19%) • Services (5%) • Consumption (3%)
Risks of MFIs in Ethiopia • Credit risks: Risks of non-repayment of client loans • Operational risks: Risks due to failed internal process, systems, external event, or human errors (eg. fraud) • Market risks: Risks due of changes in the market rates prices (liquidity, interest rate and foreign exchange risks)
Risks of rural households (A study of Oxfam USA focusing on a case study of Adi Ha Tabia) • Households practicing rain-fed agriculture • Hail • Water logging • Weeds • Drought (late rain and early stop of rain) • Insects • Soil infertility
Continued • Households practicing irrigated agriculture • Soil infertility • Shortage of water in the irrigation scheme • Plant disease • Flooding • Households indicated drought as the most important risk followed by pest and disease and water logging
Key findings of the study by MDTCS funded by Oxfam USA • Household risks • Death of family members • Death of the husband • Illnesses • Crop failures • Loss of livestock • Market risks (price fluctuations) • Fire/theft • Car accident • Unemployment • HIV/AIDs
Continued • Agricultural risks • Crop loss • Market risks • Livestock loss • Non-agricultural risks • Death in the family • Accident and illness • Property losses due to flood, fire, theft, etc • Market risks due to price fluctuation, power cut, default of customers, etc
Continued • Coping strategies of households (Ex-ante) • Savings in cash or in kind • Depending on god (faith and prayer) • Diversifying the source of income • Loan from finance providers • Traditional reciprocal social networks • Keeping personal and environmental hygiene • De-stacking of cattle before drought happens • Government subsidy and support • Reserving community land and water ponds
Continued • Coping strategies of households (Ex-post) • Selling productive assets • Reducing quality and quantity of consumption • Mobilizing labor and looking additional job • Depleting cash saving • Depleting saving in kind • Support or gifts from friends in the form of loan • Iddir • Calling for traditional support system • Migration`
Credit risks of MFIs • Internal to the MFIs • Inappropriate products • Weak targeting approaches • Limited capacity of the staff to appraise the projects of clients • Weak MIS • Limitations in the commitment and efficiency of staff • Lack incentives to collect loans
Continued • External risks and specific to the clients • Death of the client • Illness • Death of livestock • Limited market • Limited capacity to manage the enterprise • Lack of credit history and track record • HIV/AIDs • External risks involving groups of clients (covariant risks) • Drought and natural disasters leading to crop failure • Market risks such as prices • War and political crisis (Ethio-Eritrea) • Political intervention to by votes
Risk mitigating mechanisms of MFIs • Group lending • Avoiding high risk and vulnerable groups • Rescheduling loans • Provide financial services to diversified activities • Developing insurance products particularly for loans • Credit guarantee schemes (guarantee schemes of the regional government) • Require property collateral for bigger loans • Strong follow-up and supervision • Developing saving products
Challenges of MFIs in addressing risks • Lack of client awareness • Limited knowledge and understanding of the MFIs on the magnitude of the risks • Limited insurance products • Limited capacity of the MFIs and insurers to develop insurance products • Absence of a regulatory framework to provide micro-insurance • MFIs focusing on insuring credit not protecting the clients
The way forward • Conduct a study to identify and prioritize risks of MFIs • Create awareness on the importance of micro-insurance • Develop preventive tools to mitigate risks • Develop insurance products for the insurable risks • Initiate the development of a clear regulatory framework to facilitate micro-insurance