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Seattle , WA June 25, 2012 Steven L. Klein Research Forester

Workshop Objectives: A Climate Change Risk Assessment EPA Region 10 Climate Change TMDL Pilot South Fork Nooksack River, WA. Seattle , WA June 25, 2012 Steven L. Klein Research Forester EPA Office of Research and Development NHEERL – Western Ecology Division – Corvallis.

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Seattle , WA June 25, 2012 Steven L. Klein Research Forester

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  1. Workshop Objectives:A Climate Change Risk AssessmentEPA Region 10 Climate Change TMDL PilotSouth Fork Nooksack River, WA Seattle, WA June 25, 2012 Steven L. Klein Research Forester EPA Office of Research and Development NHEERL – Western Ecology Division – Corvallis

  2. Workshop Objectives • Identify Pilot Project scope, approach, methods, and study design • Integrate CWA Beneficial Uses (Salmonid Habitat) with ESA Salmon Recovery Planning and Climate Science Programs under the USGCRP • Outreach with experts and stakeholders • Further EPA’s National Water Program Strategy: Response to Climate Change and EPA’s Vision Statement on Water Quality

  3. South Fork Nooksack River, WA:Aquatic Life Use Designations and 2008 Impaired Stream Segments Source: South Fork Nooksack River Temperature TMDL: Technical Approach – Tetra Tech, DRAFT 4-13-12

  4. Science/Policy Integration CWA, 303(d) TMDL Beneficial Uses ESA, Salmon Recovery Planning Climate Science Programs, USGCRP

  5. Climate Change Ecological Risk Assessment Data Acquisition; Verification and Monitoring Communication: Risk Assessor and Risk Manager (Planning) Problem Formulation Characterization of Exposure Characterization of Ecological Effects Analysis Climate Change Vulnerability (Risk Characterization) Communication: Risk Assessor and Risk Manager (Results) Source: Modified from Framework For Ecological Risk Assessment, EPA/630/R-92/0001, February 1992. Climate Change Adaptation (Risk Management)

  6. IPCC High (A2), Medium (A1B) and Low (B1) Emission Scenarios, based on Regionally Downscaled Global Climate Models (GCMs). Time Steps for the 2020s, 2040s and 2080s. Source: IPCC AR4 Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report

  7. Context: “Iterative” Risk Management Source: Incorporating (Iterative) Risk Management into the National Climate Assessment; Gary Yohe Vice-Chair of the NCADAC, July 12, 2011 Regional Working Group Background Document; National Climate Assessment

  8. A “Risk Matrix” Tool for Organizing Thoughts about Risk – Steps 1 & 2 Source: Incorporating (Iterative) Risk Management into the National Climate Assessment; Gary Yohe Vice-Chair of the NCADAC, July 12, 2011 Regional Working Group Background Document; National Climate Assessment

  9. For more information contact: Steven L. Klein, Research Forester U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 200 SW 35th Street Corvallis, Oregon 97333 Voice: (541) 754-4858 Email: klein.steve@epa.gov

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