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Math vs. Aftermath: The Challenges of using Science as a Counterweight to Social Sentiment

Math vs. Aftermath: The Challenges of using Science as a Counterweight to Social Sentiment. Sandra K. Knight, PhD, PE, D.WRE Deputy Administrator for Mitigation Federal Insurance and Mitigation Administration. High-consequences, low-likelihood scenarios “It won’t happen to me.”.

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Math vs. Aftermath: The Challenges of using Science as a Counterweight to Social Sentiment

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  1. Math vs. Aftermath: The Challenges of using Science as a Counterweight to Social Sentiment Sandra K. Knight, PhD, PE, D.WRE Deputy Administrator for Mitigation Federal Insurance and Mitigation Administration

  2. High-consequences, low-likelihood scenarios “It won’t happen to me.” The Problem GA 2009 MA 2010 TN 2010

  3. “I don’t need flood insurance.” “I am not at risk.” Our Challenge • I don’t live in a flood zone • This area hasn’t flooded in years • Flood maps are arbitrary • We never have storms like that CT 2010 TN 2010

  4. FIMA: Our Model for Success

  5. Through collaboration with State, Local, and Tribal entities, Risk MAP will deliver quality data that increases public awareness andleads to action that reduces risk to life and property RiskMAP Watershed Approach Science Based

  6. HAZUS Produces maps, tables, and reports Analyzes social and economic impacts Considers what is at risk Identifies hazard Analyzes physical landscape

  7. Building Science

  8. Risk Insurance: FloodSmart

  9. Case Study: TSARP Tropical Storm Allison Recovery Project Science Collaboration Recovery Mitigation Risk Insurance

  10. Case Study: Mandeville, Louisiana High flood risk Located along Lake Ponchartrain across from New Orleans Better building practices Stringent building regulations and mitigation efforts proved their worth during Hurricane Katrina Reduced flood damage Mitigated homes received little to no damage

  11. Case Study: Grand Forks, North Dakota Historical flooding Recurring floods 1997: 8,600 homes flooded Flood losses totaled $3.7 billion Mitigation through partnership Acquisition of almost 700 vulnerable homes with FEMA mitigation grants Real cost savings 2006: Flood losses kept to $6-$7 million Avoiding an estimated $19.1 million in potential damages

  12. Every day, mitigation practices are put to use across the country – and these efforts pay off. In fiscal year 2010, over $3 billion in losses were prevented. Mitigation Works

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