Visit by Brigadier General Michael Groen Playa Vista, June 6, 2014

1. CREATE Visit by Brigadier General Michael Groen Playa Vista, June 6, 2014

2. Evolution of CREATE • Established 2004 with grant from DHS Science and Technology, Office of University Programs • First University National Center of Excellence • Risk Analysis, Economics, Risk Management • Re-Funded under Cooperative Agreement in 2010 • Risk and Decision Analysis, Economics, Risk Management / Operations Research • Emphasis on transitionable research • All hazards

3. Missions and Stakeholders Faculty &Students Dept. of Homeland Security Agencies and Businesses Outreach Risk & Decision Operations Research Education Economics Research

4. Research Partners

5. Law Enforcement Partners • USCG • TSA • FAMS • CBP • DNDO • ICE • LA International Airports • Ports of LA & LB • Cal OES / CalEMA / CA OHS • LA County Sheriffs Dept. • CA Dept of Corrections • JRIC • Ohio Highway Patrol • CEC

6. CREATE Research ProgramJune 6, 2014 “Deliver university scientific research and technological innovation to the Homeland Security Enterprise (HSE).” Stephen Hora, Director Isaac Maya, Director of Research Erroll Southers, Assoc. Director for Research Transition

7. CREATE’s Research Mission • Improve Cost Effectiveness of Nation's security through • Development of advanced models and tools for the evaluation of the risks, costs and overall consequences of major events • Enable risk- and economics-informed, economically viable resource allocation and investment decisionsin homeland security • Extend research and applications from terrorism to natural hazards and man-made disasters

8. CREATE Research Framework Risk-Based Policy- and Decision-Making Impact Immersion Risk and Decision Analysis End-to-End Research Transition Risk Management / Operations Research Risk Perception and Communication Economics Analysis Risk-Based Resource Allocation Impact

9. CREATE’s Integrated Risk Modeling Framework

10. CREATE’s Integrated Risk Modeling Framework

11. CREATE’s Economic Consequence Analysis Framework

12. The CREATE Research Transition Pipeline Fundamental Research + Application Domains Screening Prototype Design Immersion Transition Initial Concept Requirements Needs Metrics Development/Testing Business planning Licensing negotiations Start-up formation Business development Marketing studies Patent filings IP protection fundamentals Entrepreneurial culture Licensing/ Business Development

13. CREATE Year 10 Research Projects

14. CREATE Year 11 Research Projects

15. Additional Research Projects • Supplements to Cooperative Agreement • OUP • Unaccompanied Alien Children (UAC) • Security for Mass Events (Coliseum project) • InfraSec: PortSec Extension to Critical Infrastructure • CBP • Office of Field Operations (OFO) - Border Wait Time Study II • Centers of Excellence and Expertise (CEE) - Economic Impact Analysis • Center for Faith-Based & Neighborhood Partnerships (CFBNP) • Disaster Survivor Initiative Training • TSA/FAMS - ARMOR-IRIS Phase IV • Basic Ordering Agreement • USCG • ARMOR-PROTECT-Boston, NY/NJ, LA/LB Prototypes • ARMOR-Fish • DNDO • Improved DNDO Test & Evaluation Decision Analysis & Experimental Design • Temporal Study of Radiological and Nuclear Event Consequences • TSA • Resilience Tool for the Transportation System and Risk Perception and Communication Studies • ARMOR-Metro (TRUSTS)

16. CREATE’s Research Output

17. Research Transition/Application Impact “CREATE has provided several very timely, relevant deliverables to the Counter-MANPADS Systems Program Office ... . As the program has progressed, there has been a growing need to show the benefits relative to the costs of outfitting the commercial aircraft fleet with such technologies … . The CREATE products, which include an economic analysis of the indirect costs associated with a successful MANPADS attack, have helped fill this void.” (Counter-MANPADS Program Office, email message from Kurt Wohlstaetter to Detlof von Winterfeldt) Director of the MANPADS Systems Program Office “We have tested IRIS and…have continued to expand the number of flights scheduled using IRIS. Our exact use of IRIS is sensitive information and we can only state that we are satisfied with IRIS and confident in using this scheduling approach.” James B. Curren, Special Assistant, Office of Flight Operations Federal Air Marshals Service (FAMS)

18. Research Transition ARMOR - LAX ARMOR – IRIS: FAMS ARMOR – PROTECT: USCG ARMOR – GUARDS: TSA

19. Calculated Risk into the “near” future PortSec:Risk Analytics Visualization Calculated Risk for the Highlighted Region List of Available/Used Countermeasures/Resources Resources Assigned to the Highlighted Region Resource Allocation Options Critical Regions Color Coded to Reflect Calculated Risk 19

20. Research Overview Wrap-Up • CREATE’s research agenda and philosophy closely monitors and parallels DHS direction and guidance, calls for assistance in near- to mid-term research and application support • Conduct fundamental research aimed at DHS needs, and applied research transition to DHS units • Engage multi-disciplinary collaborations to address the integration requirements of terrorism and the adaptive adversary • Extended to natural hazards and man-made disasters