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The State of the Church in Indiana 1990-2000

The State of the Church in Indiana 1990-2000. Dave Olson www.TheAmericanChurch.org.

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The State of the Church in Indiana 1990-2000

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  1. The State of the Churchin Indiana1990-2000 Dave Olson www.TheAmericanChurch.org © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  2. This is a Sample PresentationIt’s purpose is to give you an idea of what is happening to the Christian church in Indiana, and what the complete “State of the Church in Indiana” Powerpoint looks like. The goal is to encourage pastors and church lay leaders to view and discuss together the missional challenges in Indiana that the Church faces. The complete Powerpoint is $14.95 and is available for immediate download athttp://www.theamericanchurch.org/state/UIN20.htm © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  3. In 1996, polls taken immediately after the Presidential election revealed that 58% of people claimed they had voted, when in reality only 49% actually did. This is called the Halo Effect. People tend to over-inflate their participation in activities that create acceptability within their social group. For many decades, pollsters such as Gallup and Barna have reported that around 45% of Americans attend church every Sunday. But there is a religious Halo Effect. Actual attendance counts have shown that the percentage of people attending church on any given weekend is much lower than was previously thought. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  4. The Intent of this presentation is to answer and then expand on two key questions: “How Many People Really Attend Church in Indiana Every Week?” “Is the Christian Church Going Forwards or Backwards in Influence in Indiana?” As the data is analyzed county by county assessing a number of factors, a comprehensive picture of the State of the Church in Indiana will begin to take shape. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  5. This study uses weekend church attendance as a more reliable and more immediate snapshot of Christian influence than membership. The following map shows the percentage of the population attending a Christian church on any given weekend in all 50 states in 2000. Indiana has an attendance percentage (21.7%) that is higher than the average for the nation (18.7%). © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  6. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  7. The Next Map shows the percentage of the population attending a Christian church on any given weekend in 2000 for each county in Indiana. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  8. 30.6% 14.5% 24.1% 23.9% Lagrange Steuben St Joseph Elkhart 18.7% 15.9% 23.3% La Porte 11.7% 16.4% Porter Lake Noble De Kalb 22.2% 14.1% Marshall 22.7% Starke Kosciusko 20.9% 26.6% Whitley 24.5% 22.7% Allen 23.1% 17.5% Pulaski Fulton Jasper Newton 27.1% 31.2% 22.8% Wabash Huntington 36.4% 25.6% 19.0% 18.4% Miami Adams Wells White Cass 31.5% 19.0% Benton 21.4% Carroll 12.6% 27.6% Grant 26.8% Blackford 18.1% Howard Jay Tippecanoe 21.8% 20.4% 25.9% Tipton Clinton 17.0% Warren 24.8% 19.4% 22.3% Delaware Fountain Randolph Madison 18.8% 21.5% 24.4% Hamilton Boone Montgomery 23.0% 15.0% 18.7% Henry 20.6% Vermillion Wayne 21.2% 22.4% 21.9% Hancock Parke Marion Hendricks 19.5% 20.6% 14.5% 27.2% Putnam Fayette Union Rush 16.8% 17.9% 23.1% Shelby 18.1% Morgan Johnson 18.2% 20.6% Vigo 17.2% Franklin Clay 13.8% Owen Decatur 24.1% 21.2% 19.4% 29.0% Brown Bartholomew 28.8% 25.5% Monroe Dearborn 21.6% Ripley Sullivan 17.5% 16.8% Greene Jennings 29.7% Ohio 25.0% Jackson 13.4% Lawrence 21.8% Switzerland 28.7% 28.1% 26.2% 22.8% Jefferson Daviess Martin Scott 27.1% Knox 25.6% Washington Orange 17.3% 13.9% 39.0% Clark 20.7% Pike 23.6% Dubois 22.9% Gibson Floyd 21.3% Crawford Harrison 13.9% 18.9% 16.3% Warrick 18.3% 18.8% Perry Posey Spencer Vanderburgh Indiana Counties 2000 Percentage of Population at Worship in a Christian Church on any Given Sunday Blue = Lowest Rose = Middle Beige = Highest 0.0% to 19.0% 19.0% to 23.3% 23.3% to 40.0%

  9. The Next 2 Maps show the population numbers for each county in Indiana. The first map shows the population of each county. The second map shows the growth or decline in population for each county from 1990 - 2000. 11 counties declined in population. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  10. 34,909 33,214 265,559 182,791 Lagrange Steuben St Joseph Elkhart 110,106 146,798 484,564 La Porte 46,275 46,109 Porter Lake Noble De Kalb 45,128 23,556 Marshall 74,057 Starke Kosciusko 30,707 331,849 Whitley 13,755 20,511 Allen 30,043 14,566 Pulaski Fulton Jasper Newton 34,960 38,075 36,082 Wabash Huntington 33,625 27,600 25,267 40,930 Miami Adams Wells White Cass 9,421 20,165 Benton 73,403 Carroll 14,048 84,964 Grant 21,806 Blackford Howard 148,955 Jay Tippecanoe 33,866 16,577 8,419 Clinton Tipton Warren 118,769 17,954 27,401 133,358 Delaware Fountain Randolph Madison 182,740 46,107 37,629 Hamilton Boone Montgomery 48,508 16,788 71,097 Henry 55,391 Vermillion Wayne 17,241 860,454 104,093 Hancock Marion Parke Hendricks 36,019 25,588 7,349 18,261 Putnam Fayette Union Rush 43,445 66,689 115,209 Shelby 105,848 Morgan Johnson 22,151 26,556 Vigo 21,786 Franklin Clay 40,285 Owen Decatur 14,957 71,435 120,563 24,555 Brown Bartholomew 26,523 21,751 Monroe Dearborn 33,157 Ripley Sullivan 27,554 5,623 Greene Jennings 41,335 Ohio 45,922 Jackson 9,065 Lawrence 31,705 Switzerland 29,820 10,369 22,960 39,256 Jefferson Daviess Martin Scott 27,223 Knox 19,306 Washington Orange 96,472 12,837 39,674 Clark 32,500 Pike 70,823 Dubois Gibson 10,743 Floyd 34,325 Crawford Harrison 52,383 18,899 27,061 Warrick 20,391 171,922 Perry Posey Spencer Vanderburgh Indiana Counties 2000 Population 0 to 20,000 20,000 to 100,000 100,000 to 860,455

  11. Complete Presentation hasMap of 2000 Population Growth for Each County

  12. The Next 2 Slides show the ethnicity of Indiana in 1990 and 2000. The third slide shows the growth or decline in the percentage of the population for each ethnic group. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  13. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  14. Complete Presentation hasGraph of 2000 Ethnicity

  15. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  16. The Next Graph shows the attendance numbers for the churches in Indiana in 1990 and 2000. Evangelicals have grown slightly in attendance, while Catholics and the mainline have declined. Unfortunately, while overall worship attendance has declined, the population has grown. A more reliable standard for evaluating increasing or declining influence is the percentage of the population attending church on any given weekend, shown in the second graph. This graph shows a significant decline in the percentage of the population attending church in Indiana. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  17. © 2004 by David T. Olson

  18. Complete Presentation hasGraph of 1990 & 2000 Worship Percentage by Category

  19. The Next Graph is a Pie graph visualizing the percentage of the population at churches in each category in 2000. The “Absent” category indicates the percentage of the population that is not worshipping at a Christian church on any given weekend. The second graph shows the percentage gain or decline for each category in Indiana in 1990 and 2000. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  20. © 2004 by David T. Olson

  21. © 2004 by David T. Olson

  22. The 2 Next Charts show the relative strength of the 8 major denominational groups in Indiana. The second chart shows that all groups have declined with the exception of the Christian denomination. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  23. Complete Presentation hasPie Chart of 2000 Attendance by Denominational Families

  24. Complete Presentation hasBar Graph of 1990 & 2000 Attendance by Denominational Families

  25. The Next Chart shows the 1990 & 2000 average church attendance by group for both this state and the nation. The second chart shows the 1990 & 2000 population per church for this state and the nation. Among states in 2000, Arkansas has the lowest population per church with 411 people per church, Utah is the highest at 4,586 people per church. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  26. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  27. Complete Presentation hasBar Graph of 1990 & 2000 Population per Church for State and Nation

  28. The Next 3 Maps show the attendance percentages for the Evangelical, Catholic and Mainline churches in each county in Indiana in 2000. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  29. Complete Presentation hasState Map of 2000 Evangelical Attendance Percentage for each County

  30. Complete Presentation hasState Map of 2000 Mainline Attendance Percentage for each County

  31. 1.0% 2.4% 11.3% 3.0% Lagrange Steuben St Joseph Elkhart 7.4% 6.7% 8.5% La Porte 3.7% 3.4% Porter Lake Noble De Kalb 4.9% 2.1% Marshall 3.0% Starke Kosciusko 4.1% 8.2% Whitley 6.0% 2.1% Allen 5.2% 5.0% Pulaski Fulton Jasper Newton 1.9% 6.3% 2.4% Wabash Huntington 6.8% 1.2% 2.5% 3.1% Miami Adams Wells White Cass 13.1% 1.5% Benton 2.0% Carroll 2.1% 3.6% Grant 3.5% Blackford Howard 4.7% Jay Tippecanoe 1.7% 3.3% 0.7% Clinton Tipton Warren 2.1% 2.0% 1.4% 2.2% Delaware Fountain Randolph Madison 7.4% 3.5% 1.9% Hamilton Boone Montgomery 0.5% 1.8% 2.1% Henry 1.9% Vermillion Wayne 0.5% 3.4% 3.2% Hancock Marion Parke Hendricks 0.8% 3.0% 2.2% 2.6% Putnam Fayette Union Rush 2.4% 1.3% 2.3% Shelby 2.3% Morgan Johnson 6.5% 0.9% Vigo 0.4% Franklin Clay 3.6% Owen Decatur 1.9% 2.0% 2.8% 9.4% Brown Bartholomew 9.2% 0.9% Monroe Dearborn 1.7% Ripley Sullivan 2.5% Greene Jennings 0.9% Ohio 1.5% Jackson 0.4% Lawrence 2.4% Switzerland 4.9% 12.7% 0.8% 7.6% Jefferson Daviess Martin Scott 0.6% Knox 0.8% Washington Orange 3.4% 1.7% 29.0% Clark 9.5% Pike 5.6% Dubois Gibson 0.4% Floyd Indiana Counties 2000 Percentage of Population at Worship in Catholic Churches on any Given Sunday Blue = Lowest Rose = Middle Beige = Highest 4.9% Crawford Harrison 5.5% 8.8% 8.1% Warrick 9.1% 9.0% Perry Posey Spencer Vanderburgh 0.0% to 2.1% 2.1% to 3.7% 3.7% to 30.0% No data

  32. The Next Map shows the growth or decline in the percentage of the population attending a Christian church on any given weekend from 1990 to 2000 for each county. 27 counties grew in attendance percentage, while 65 counties declined. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  33. Complete Presentation hasState Map of 1990 - 2000 Christian Church Attendance Percentage Increase or Declinefor each County

  34. The Next 3 Maps show the growth or decline of attendance percentages for the Evangelical, Catholic and Mainline churches in each county in Indiana between 1990 and 2000. For evangelicals, 50 counties grew in attendance percentage, while 42 counties declined. For mainline churches, 7 counties grew in attendance percentage, while 85 counties declined. For Catholics, 9 counties grew in attendance percentage, while 81 counties declined. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  35. Complete Presentation hasState Map of 1990 - 2000 Evangelical Attendance Percentage Increase or Declinefor each County

  36. Complete Presentation hasState Map of 1990 - 2000 Mainline Attendance Percentage Increase or Declinefor each County

  37. -8.0% -32.4% -19.2% -26.9% Lagrange Steuben St Joseph Elkhart 14.6% 19.2% -19.8% La Porte -18.0% -33.7% Porter Lake Noble De Kalb 26.1% -35.1% Marshall 20.2% Starke Kosciusko -5.9% -11.6% Whitley -35.0% -3.9% Allen -28.6% -29.6% Pulaski Fulton Jasper Newton -7.9% -20.5% -15.0% Wabash Huntington -12.7% -23.3% -24.1% -35.8% Miami Adams Wells White Cass -28.2% -11.2% Benton -15.6% Carroll -24.2% -27.1% Grant -17.0% Blackford -0.4% Howard Jay Tippecanoe -11.6% -22.1% Tipton Clinton -19.9% Warren -14.9% 5.0% -26.2% Delaware Fountain Randolph Madison -9.3% -24.5% -35.3% Hamilton Boone Montgomery -36.0% -38.3% -14.6% Henry -21.0% Vermillion Wayne -57.1% -14.1% -7.2% Hancock Parke Marion Hendricks -1.1% -5.7% 14.8% -5.9% Putnam Fayette Union Rush -14.6% -11.2% -14.9% Shelby -1.9% Morgan Johnson -35.1% -16.4% Vigo -17.8% Franklin Clay -27.8% Owen Decatur 0.1% -1.9% -12.5% 3.6% Brown Bartholomew -4.4% -10.1% Monroe Dearborn -17.0% Ripley Sullivan -13.6% Greene Jennings -8.7% Ohio -11.3% Jackson -60.9% Lawrence -19.8% Switzerland -28.8% -11.4% -13.7% -7.2% Jefferson Daviess Martin Scott -15.5% Knox -27.4% Washington Orange -25.1% 27.7% -13.8% Clark -16.4% Pike -9.7% Dubois Gibson -49.0% Floyd -15.6% Crawford Harrison -4.1% -15.2% -16.4% Warrick -16.2% -5.1% Perry Posey Vanderburgh Spencer Decline Growth Indiana Counties 1990-2000 Growth or Decline of Percentage of Population at Catholic Worship on any Given Sunday. Rose = Growth Blue = Decline

  38. The Final Chart shows the net gain in the number of churches in Indiana in the past decade. There was a net gain of 28 churches. However, 789 churches were needed to keep up with population growth from 1990 - 2000. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  39. © 2004 by David T. Olson

  40. The State of the Church in Indiana . . . • While church attendance increased only for Evangelicals, the percentage of the population attending church has declined for all groups. This resulted in a 12% loss in the state-wide percentage of the population that attended church between 1990 and 2000. • A major factor in the overall decline is the insufficient net gain in the number of churches in Indiana. Seven hundred and sixty-one additional churches needed to have been started in the previous decade to compensate for the decline in percentage attendance. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  41. For More Information . . . • Please go to www.theamericanchurch.org for additional information on the American Church. • 12 Surprising Facts about the American Church is available athttp://www.theamericanchurch.org/12supm.htm • The complete Indiana Powerpoint presentation is available athttp://www.theamericanchurch.org/state/UIN20.htm • The Complete Indianapolis Powerpoint presentation is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/metro/Indianapolis.htm • A Combo Pack (12 Surprising Facts, Indiana and Indianapolis Powerpoints) is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/combo/IN0.htm © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  42. Information on the Information • The spiritual health of churches is multifaceted, and is obviously much more complex than an attendance trend can portray. However, following the example of St. Luke in the Book of Acts, who used the number of people who showed up at various events as a sign documenting the health and growth of the early church, I would suggest that attendance is the single most helpful indicator of health, growth and decline. • Information has been compiled only for orthodox Christian groups – Protestant, Catholic and Orthodox. The Mormons, Jehovah Witnesses, Unitarian-Universalists and the International Churches of Christ have not been included. In addition, information about non-Christian groups has not been compiled. • African American denominations publish very little that is statistical – often not even a list of current churches. This study used data from the 1990 Glenmary study on Black Baptist estimates and AME Zion churches, the average African American worship attendance (from the Barna Research Group), and a statistical model based on the population of African Americans in each county in 1990 and 2000. These were combined to come up with as accurate an estimate as possible. • Independent church data is almost impossible to obtain. (There are actually fewer totally independent churches than is assumed. Most are part of some voluntary association, which typically keeps some records.) Data from the 1990 & 2000 Glenmary study on larger Independent churches (limited to over 300 in attendance) was used along with a statistical model to estimate the attendance at smaller independent churches. • In Catholic churches, the definition of what constitutes membership varies with diocese and church, making numbers sometimes inconsistent from state to state and county to county. In addition to actual mass counts from 1/3rd of Catholic parishes, membership information has been merged with attendance patterns from similar dioceses based on the size of the diocese and the region in which it is located. • Orthodox Churches are included in Totals, but not included as a separate group because of smallness of size nationwide. Division into Evangelical and Mainline categories is based on the division by the Glenmary Study. • This study only looks at how many people attend a Christian church on any given Sunday. The term ‘regular attender’ can be designated to mean someone who attends a Christian church on a consistent basis. Using a simple definition for ‘regular attender’ (attends at least 3 out of every 8 Sundays), between 23% and 25% of Americans would fit this category. Adding ‘regular attenders’ of non-orthodox christian churches and other religions to the totals would increase the percentage to 26% – 28%. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  43. This Presentation is based on a nationwide study of American church attendance, as reported by churches and denominations. The database currently has average worship attendances for each of the last 10 years for over 170,000 individual churches. It also uses supplementary information (actual membership numbers correlated with accurate membership to attendance ratios) to project the attendances of all other denominational and independent churches. All told, accurate information is provided for all 300,000 orthodox Christian churches.1 1 This presentation looks only at people attending orthodox Christian churches. Approximately 3 million people attend non-orthodox Christian churches, and perhaps 3 million attend a religious service of another religion. Those ‘houses of worship’ would add another 35,000 churches in the United States and increase the 2000 percentage to 20.5%. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

  44. For More Information . . . • Presentations such as this are available for the largest 100 metropolitan areas, for each state and for the nation as a whole, as well as other presentations to show what is happening in the American church. Presentations are available either by direct download, CD or print. Please go to www.theamericanchurch.org for ordering information. • To Contact Dave Olson, please email him at DaveTOlson@aol.com. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use

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