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Method and Results for Projecting New EGU Emissions

Method and Results for Projecting New EGU Emissions. Electricity Demand. The EIA 2005 Annual Energy Outlook was used to determine growth in electricity demand between 2002 and 2018 by fuel type and electricity market region. Note: Alaska not included in this presentation. Number of New Units.

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Method and Results for Projecting New EGU Emissions

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  1. Method and Results for Projecting New EGU Emissions

  2. Electricity Demand • The EIA 2005 Annual Energy Outlook was used to determine growth in electricity demand between 2002 and 2018 by fuel type and electricity market region. Note: Alaska not included in this presentation.

  3. Number of New Units • Existing units were grown to 0.85 CF. • States/tribes identified units under construction or in permitting. • All demand for gas-fired generation was accounted for by existing units and those identified as being built or permitted. • The remaining demand for coal-fired generation was assumed to be produced by eighteen (18) 500-MW units.

  4. Location of New Coal Units • It is assumed that no new coal units will be built in CA, OR, WA, and SD. • 3 of the 18 units are needed in the Dakotas to support the market they serve. • Hence, 3 new units placed in ND. • The other 15 are distributed among the remaining states in proportion to their existing + imminent capacity.

  5. Location of New Coal Units • A state’s new units were assigned to counties based on: • Announcements of plans to build and • Existing coal units and infrastructure • Emissions are assumed to occur in the centroid of the county.

  6. Quantity of New Unit Emissions • BACT rates for SO2 and NOx from 12 Western facilities were examined to determine that a new 500 MW coal unit would emit 1,675 tons of SO2 and 1,675 tons of NOx annually.

  7. Results

  8. Results

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