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Scanning the Horizon

Explore current boating trends, demographic shifts, and economic realities shaping the future of boaters and boats. Panel discussions provide insights, strategies, and research needs. Discover how population growth, aging demographics, and technological advancements impact the boating environment.

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Scanning the Horizon

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  1. Scanning the Horizon Panel Discussion on Trends influencing Boaters, Boats and Boating of the Future CSBC Symposium: Gravenhurst, Ontario (Sept. 25, 2012)

  2. Panel Members • Ann MacDiarmid, Founding Member of Safe Quite Lakes, Muskoka • Sara Anghel, Executive Director/Vice President Government Relations, National Marine Manufactures Association – Canada • Raymond Zee, President, Ontario Chinese Anglers Association • Peter Garapick, Superintendent, Marine Communications and Traffic Services, Canadian Coast Guard, Central and Arctic Region

  3. Our Plan for Next 90 minutes • Overview presentation on trends – 10 minutes • Panel member perspectives – 50 minutes • Discussion – 20 minutes • Wrap up observations – 10 minutes • Opportunities • Strategies • Research needs

  4. Factors Shaping the Environment What is happening now and what is driving the trends that will influence the future? • Boaters • Boats • Boating environment

  5. Current snapshot: Boaters and boats(Pleasure Craft Operator Card holders and Pleasure Craft Licences – 2012: Source Transport Canada)

  6. Current snapshot: Recreational Boating Fatalities (Source: Transport Canada)

  7. Current snapshot: Fatalities by vessel type

  8. Looking ahead: Canada’s Population Growth

  9. Looking ahead: Demographic Shifts • Underlying national population growth, many factors reshaping demographic make-up of Canada • Each province and territory, each community has a unique story

  10. N* - Northern Territories

  11. People on the Move: Interprovincial Migration 2009-2010Working Age Male(Number in 1000s – Source: Stats Canada)

  12. An Aging Society: Age Pyramids - Canada

  13. But not everywhere: Age Pyramid – Nunavut Territory

  14. A Changing Society

  15. Top Source Countries: 2008-2010

  16. Age Pyramid: Permanent Residents (2010)

  17. Permanent residents:By age and source area (2010)

  18. Provincial perspectives: Growth scenarios for Ontario

  19. Provincial Perspectives: Growth scenarios for British Columbia

  20. Ontario and British ColumbiaDiversity and Settlement Trends (2006) • Within and between provinces, ethno-socio-cultural diversity differs substantially • In Vancouver and Toronto visible minorities moving towards 50% of population

  21. Back to the National PictureEconomic Realities • Disposable income • Housing prices • Savings rates • Unemployment • Consumer confidence • Fuel prices • Adult children living at home

  22. Changes in Leisure Activities (US perspectives)

  23. Mandatory education: More knowledgeable boaters on the water

  24. Mandatory education: Indicators of compliance

  25. PCOC Holders: DemographicsSource: TC Marine Safety, Pleasure Craft Operator Competency Program

  26. Boating Segments in the US: Our Canadian Equivalents?

  27. What’s happening with boat trends? Range of dimensions: • Who is buying what? • Buying up/buying down? • New boat sales vs. used boat sales? • Boats on the move: • On a trailer • At the cottage • On the roof of the car • Rental market

  28. What’s happening on the water and in the water? • Weather - climate change • Water levels – up and down • Environmental changes and shock impacts (algae, invasive species) • How are people communicating? • Traffic trends

  29. Themes • New economic realities • Population growth • Aging population • Immigration

  30. Themes • People on the move: interprovincial migrations • Growth of urban centres • Outdoor recreation and leisure trends • Diversity of boats • Changes in communications and technology

  31. And now to: • Panel member perspectives • Concluding views from panelists and Symposium participants on: • Opportunities • Strategies • Research needs

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