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Scanning the Horizon. Panel Discussion on Trends influencing Boaters, Boats and Boating of the Future CSBC Symposium: Gravenhurst , Ontario (Sept. 25, 2012). Panel Members. Ann MacDiarmid , Founding Member of Safe Quite Lakes, Muskoka
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Scanning the Horizon Panel Discussion on Trends influencing Boaters, Boats and Boating of the Future CSBC Symposium: Gravenhurst, Ontario (Sept. 25, 2012)
Panel Members • Ann MacDiarmid, Founding Member of Safe Quite Lakes, Muskoka • Sara Anghel, Executive Director/Vice President Government Relations, National Marine Manufactures Association – Canada • Raymond Zee, President, Ontario Chinese Anglers Association • Peter Garapick, Superintendent, Marine Communications and Traffic Services, Canadian Coast Guard, Central and Arctic Region
Our Plan for Next 90 minutes • Overview presentation on trends – 10 minutes • Panel member perspectives – 50 minutes • Discussion – 20 minutes • Wrap up observations – 10 minutes • Opportunities • Strategies • Research needs
Factors Shaping the Environment What is happening now and what is driving the trends that will influence the future? • Boaters • Boats • Boating environment
Current snapshot: Boaters and boats(Pleasure Craft Operator Card holders and Pleasure Craft Licences – 2012: Source Transport Canada)
Current snapshot: Recreational Boating Fatalities (Source: Transport Canada)
Looking ahead: Demographic Shifts • Underlying national population growth, many factors reshaping demographic make-up of Canada • Each province and territory, each community has a unique story
People on the Move: Interprovincial Migration 2009-2010Working Age Male(Number in 1000s – Source: Stats Canada)
Provincial Perspectives: Growth scenarios for British Columbia
Ontario and British ColumbiaDiversity and Settlement Trends (2006) • Within and between provinces, ethno-socio-cultural diversity differs substantially • In Vancouver and Toronto visible minorities moving towards 50% of population
Back to the National PictureEconomic Realities • Disposable income • Housing prices • Savings rates • Unemployment • Consumer confidence • Fuel prices • Adult children living at home
Mandatory education: More knowledgeable boaters on the water
PCOC Holders: DemographicsSource: TC Marine Safety, Pleasure Craft Operator Competency Program
What’s happening with boat trends? Range of dimensions: • Who is buying what? • Buying up/buying down? • New boat sales vs. used boat sales? • Boats on the move: • On a trailer • At the cottage • On the roof of the car • Rental market
What’s happening on the water and in the water? • Weather - climate change • Water levels – up and down • Environmental changes and shock impacts (algae, invasive species) • How are people communicating? • Traffic trends
Themes • New economic realities • Population growth • Aging population • Immigration
Themes • People on the move: interprovincial migrations • Growth of urban centres • Outdoor recreation and leisure trends • Diversity of boats • Changes in communications and technology
And now to: • Panel member perspectives • Concluding views from panelists and Symposium participants on: • Opportunities • Strategies • Research needs