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Scanning the Horizon

Scanning the Horizon. Panel Discussion on Trends influencing Boaters, Boats and Boating of the Future CSBC Symposium: Gravenhurst , Ontario (Sept. 25, 2012). Panel Members. Ann MacDiarmid , Founding Member of Safe Quite Lakes, Muskoka

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Scanning the Horizon

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  1. Scanning the Horizon Panel Discussion on Trends influencing Boaters, Boats and Boating of the Future CSBC Symposium: Gravenhurst, Ontario (Sept. 25, 2012)

  2. Panel Members • Ann MacDiarmid, Founding Member of Safe Quite Lakes, Muskoka • Sara Anghel, Executive Director/Vice President Government Relations, National Marine Manufactures Association – Canada • Raymond Zee, President, Ontario Chinese Anglers Association • Peter Garapick, Superintendent, Marine Communications and Traffic Services, Canadian Coast Guard, Central and Arctic Region

  3. Our Plan for Next 90 minutes • Overview presentation on trends – 10 minutes • Panel member perspectives – 50 minutes • Discussion – 20 minutes • Wrap up observations – 10 minutes • Opportunities • Strategies • Research needs

  4. Factors Shaping the Environment What is happening now and what is driving the trends that will influence the future? • Boaters • Boats • Boating environment

  5. Current snapshot: Boaters and boats(Pleasure Craft Operator Card holders and Pleasure Craft Licences – 2012: Source Transport Canada)

  6. Current snapshot: Recreational Boating Fatalities (Source: Transport Canada)

  7. Current snapshot: Fatalities by vessel type

  8. Looking ahead: Canada’s Population Growth

  9. Looking ahead: Demographic Shifts • Underlying national population growth, many factors reshaping demographic make-up of Canada • Each province and territory, each community has a unique story

  10. N* - Northern Territories

  11. People on the Move: Interprovincial Migration 2009-2010Working Age Male(Number in 1000s – Source: Stats Canada)

  12. An Aging Society: Age Pyramids - Canada

  13. But not everywhere: Age Pyramid – Nunavut Territory

  14. A Changing Society

  15. Top Source Countries: 2008-2010

  16. Age Pyramid: Permanent Residents (2010)

  17. Permanent residents:By age and source area (2010)

  18. Provincial perspectives: Growth scenarios for Ontario

  19. Provincial Perspectives: Growth scenarios for British Columbia

  20. Ontario and British ColumbiaDiversity and Settlement Trends (2006) • Within and between provinces, ethno-socio-cultural diversity differs substantially • In Vancouver and Toronto visible minorities moving towards 50% of population

  21. Back to the National PictureEconomic Realities • Disposable income • Housing prices • Savings rates • Unemployment • Consumer confidence • Fuel prices • Adult children living at home

  22. Changes in Leisure Activities (US perspectives)

  23. Mandatory education: More knowledgeable boaters on the water

  24. Mandatory education: Indicators of compliance

  25. PCOC Holders: DemographicsSource: TC Marine Safety, Pleasure Craft Operator Competency Program

  26. Boating Segments in the US: Our Canadian Equivalents?

  27. What’s happening with boat trends? Range of dimensions: • Who is buying what? • Buying up/buying down? • New boat sales vs. used boat sales? • Boats on the move: • On a trailer • At the cottage • On the roof of the car • Rental market

  28. What’s happening on the water and in the water? • Weather - climate change • Water levels – up and down • Environmental changes and shock impacts (algae, invasive species) • How are people communicating? • Traffic trends

  29. Themes • New economic realities • Population growth • Aging population • Immigration

  30. Themes • People on the move: interprovincial migrations • Growth of urban centres • Outdoor recreation and leisure trends • Diversity of boats • Changes in communications and technology

  31. And now to: • Panel member perspectives • Concluding views from panelists and Symposium participants on: • Opportunities • Strategies • Research needs

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