Key labour market, skills and population statistics for the Humber LEP area

1. Key labour market, skills and population statistics for the Humber LEP area

2. Introduction: Population and Spatial Context

3. Headline population statistics… • The population of the Humber in context: • The total population of the Humber LEP area is estimated to be 917,600 in 2011 (Source: ONS, 2011 Census of Population) . • The local distribution shows that the East Riding of Yorkshire accounts for 36.4% of the population followed by Hull (30%), North Lincolnshire (18.2%) and North East Lincolnshire (17.4%) • Between 2001 and 2011 the pupation of the Humber LEP area grew by over 53,000 representing a rate of population growth of over 6%. • Some 17.4% of the total Yorkshire and Humber population live within the boundary of the Humber LEP.

4. Population characteristics….. Source: Census of Population, ONS, 2011

5. Radii from Hull…..

6. Manufacturing Headlines….. • The Humber LEP has one of the highest (UK) concentrations of manufacturing employment, currently estimated at 18.9% of all employment in the LEP (on an FTE basis). • The Humber LEP manufacturing workforce is currently estimated at 62,000 • The sector contributes some £3.5 billion to total output in the Humber LEP – accounting for 26.1% of total sectoral output (one of the highest sub regional figures in the UK), this proportion is set to grow marginally over the next three years (in a difficult trading context) indicating the high value added nature of the manufacturing offer in the Humber.

7. Housing costs… • The average house price in the East Riding of Yorkshire is £130,390 – some 65% below average house price in London (house prices contracted by 4% in year to June 2012). • The average house price in Hull is £67,779 – some 81.4% below average house price in London (house prices contracted by 4% in year to June 2012). • The average house price in North Lincolnshire is £104,701 – some 71.3% below average house price in London (house prices contracted by 4% in year to June 2012). • The average house price in North East Lincolnshire is £77,018 – some 78.9% below average house price in London (house prices contracted by 4% in year to June 2012). Source: HM Land Registry, year to June 2012

8. The Economy: Productivity

9. Median Gross Weekly Pay (full time workers) • Significantly lower median wage rates in Hull and North East Lincs. • Substantial fall in wage rates over the period in the East Riding of Yorkshire.

10. Hours Worked Source: ASHE • NE Lincolnshire and North Lincolnshire have greater median hours worked. • Those areas with highest concentrations of manufacturing employment typically work longer hours on average (per worker) North East Lincolnshire and North Lincolnshire Source: Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings (ASHE), ONS – 2009 to 2011

11. Productivity • Current estimates suggest that productivity per worker ranges from £38,100 in the East Riding to £42,500 per worker in Hull. • Three of the local economies which make up the Humber LEP have a level of productivity per worker which is above the Yorkshire and Humber average in 2012 (Hull, North Lincolnshire and North East Lincolnshire).

12. Productivity in the Humber Source: Regional Econometric Model, March 2012.

13. Productivity by sector, 2011 Source: Regional Econometric Model, March 2012.

14. Travel to Work and the “Skills Pool”

15. Skills pool drive times Hull…..

16. Skills pool drive times Scunthorpe…..

17. Skills pool drive times Grimsby…..

18. Travel to work flows….. 8% of usually resident working age in employment travel to work in areas outside the LEP National Lifestyle Survey, Acxiom, 2010 and REIU

19. Travel to work out flows….. Of the 8% of Humber residents who travel outside to work, the greatest proportion travel to York (26.4%) National Lifestyle Survey, Acxiom, 2010 and REIU

20. The Supply of Labour

21. Labour pool….. • Current estimates indicate that: • There are over 100,000 skilled and semi-skilled workers in the manufacturing, construction and logistics sectors • There are over 18,000 science and technology professionals and associate professionals working in the private sector and HE in the Humber. Source: Regional Econometric Model, March 2012.

22. FE graduate pool….. • 132,000 FE and apprenticeship qualifications were awarded in the Humber in 2010/2011 (Source: BIS Skills Funding Agency Data Service, 2012). • 54% of these qualifications were awarded to those under 19 whilst 46% were awarded to those over 19 (the 19+ cohort) - (Source: BIS Skills Funding Agency Data Service, 2012). • The profile of the qualifications (all qualifications level 2 or higher) awarded indicates that: • 4.1% were awarded as intermediate or higher level apprenticeships • 9.3% were awarded through employer work place based accreditation • 77% through FE colleges • Sectoral analysis shows that; • 1,260 qualifications were awarded in chemicals, life sciences, pharmaceuticals, nuclear, oil, gas, petroleum and polymer sectors. • 2,260 in construction • 2,440 in freight and logistics • 1,380 in environmental industries • 1,280 in process manufacturing • 2,210 in science, engineering and manufacturing technologies • 2,790 in telecommunications and business information technology • Close to 11% of FE, work place learning and apprenticeship qualifications (14,000) were awarded in key sectors vital to the Humber’s high skill manufacturing and technology sectors. Source: SFA, 2012

23. HE graduate pool….. • In 2010/2011 some 3, 236 students graduated from HE institutions in the Humber (principally Hull University), with 15.1% of the degrees post-doctoral and 72.2% awarded as first degrees (Source: Higher Education Statistics Agency, 2012). • Analysis of this group shows that 36% of the degrees were awarded to local students (the highest total locally was in Hull which accounted for 19% of degrees awarded). Source: HESA, 2012. • Humber HE institutions also attract students from around the UK and globally as the table shows (Source : HESA, 2012) • Analysis of HE degrees awarded in 2011/2012 in the Humber indicates some 140 degrees were awarded in disciplines directly relevant to manufacturing (and manufacturing processes). • Over 170 science, engineering and information technology professionals graduated from HE institutions in the Humber Source: HESA, 2012

24. HE Institutions within the Humber Catchment area *Total includes FE students Source: HESA, 2012

25. Major employers…..

26. The Demand for Labour: Vacancies and Sought Occupations

27. Occupation to Vacancy Ratios, 2009 - 2012 Source: ONS 2012

28. Sought Occupation to Vacancy ratio in the Humber, October 2011-September 2012* Source: ONS 2012 *This is based on the priority occupations identified by Humber LEP

29. Sought Occupation to Vacancy Ratio, Humber & South Yorkshire, October 2011-September 2012* Source: ONS 2012 *This is based on the priority occupations identified by Humber LEP

30. Top 20 Most Sought Occupations in Humber* Source: ONS 2012 *This is based on the priority occupations identified by Humber LEP

31. Top 20 Sought Occupations in the Humber and South Yorkshire, 2011-2012* Source: ONS 2012 *This is based on the priority occupations identified by Humber LEP

32. Top 20 Vacancies in the Humber* Source: ONS 2012 *This is based on the priority occupations identified by Humber LEP

33. Top 20 Vacancies in Humber and South Yorkshire* Source: ONS 2012 *This is based on the priority occupations identified by Humber LEP

34. (Un)employment

35. Rate of Unemployment, as measured by Claimant Count Source: Claimant Count data, ONS 2012

36. Change in Claimant Count Rate, 2008-2012 Source: Claimant Count data, ONS 2012

37. Youth Unemployment, 2008-2012 Source: Annual Population Survey, ONS 2012

38. % Change in Youth Unemployment, 2008-2012 Source: Annual Population Survey, ONS 2012

39. Change in Overall Unemployment, 2008-2012 Source: Annual Population Survey, ONS 2012

40. % Change in Overall Unemployment, 2008-2012 Source: Annual Population Survey, ONS 2012