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The Demographic Outlook for Higher Education and Health Care

The Demographic Outlook for Higher Education and Health Care. Jeff Tayman, Ph.D. Lecturer, Dept. of Economics UCSD 858-581-6710 jtayman@san.rr.com. Aims of Presentation. Review changing demographic landscape Foresee implications of these changes Identify challenges in store.

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The Demographic Outlook for Higher Education and Health Care

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  1. The Demographic Outlook for Higher Education and Health Care Jeff Tayman, Ph.D. Lecturer, Dept. of Economics UCSD 858-581-6710 jtayman@san.rr.com

  2. Aims of Presentation • Review changing demographic landscape • Foresee implications of these changes • Identify challenges in store

  3. Future Demographic Truths • More newcomers seeking a better future • An aging population • Increasing ethnic diversity • A stubbornly persistent digital divide

  4. Determinants of U.S. Population

  5. * 2007 to 2010 Estimated

  6. Immigrants Concentrate Geographically Foreign Born Population, 2000 NY 12 % IL 5 % CA 28 % NJ 5 % FL 9 % TX 9 %

  7. An Aging Population

  8. Baby Boomers Move into Retirement Years Males Females Females Males Male Female 2000 2030

  9. Increasing Ethnic Diversity

  10. Ethnicity and Age Interaction

  11. A Lingering Digital Divide

  12. Digital “Have’s” and “Have Not’s” • Digital literacy” is now essential • Exposure to computers & Internet remains uneven • At home: Economic limits • In schools: Hardware/connectivity limits • Colleges can play pivotal role in bridging the digital divide

  13. The Widening Gap in Internet Use Percent using Internet 60 NH White 25point gap 40 17point gap Hispanic 20 0 1998 2003 Source: A Nation Online: How Americans Are Expanding Their Use of the Internet (2002).

  14. The Widening Gap in Internet Use Percent using Internet 60 NH White 25point gap 40 19point gap 20 Black 0 1998 2003 Source: A Nation Online: How Americans Are Expanding Their Use of the Internet (2002). .

  15. Postsecondary Enrollment Dynamics

  16. Other Enrollment Factors

  17. New Immigrants Span Extremes on Education 100 Graduate/professional degree 8% 11% 16% College graduate 80 19% Percent ofpersons ages 25+ 60 High school/some college 36% 61% 40 20 34% Less than high school 16% 0 U.S.-born Immigrants(post 1990)

  18. Other Health Care Factors

  19. Diverse Health Risks: NH Whites • Increased risk of breast cancer • Higher incidence of melanoma • Higher risk of osteoporosis

  20. Diverse Health Risks: Blacks • High blood pressure • Higher incidents of cardiovascular disease, diabetes, and sickle cell anemia • Glaucoma leading cause of blindness • Higher death rate from breast cancer • Higher likelihood of prostate cancer

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