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The Changing Shape of UK Manufacturing. Joe Grice, Director and Chief Economist. Outline. Why is productivity important? Manufacturing output, employment and productivity Potential reasons the increase in manufacturing productivity: A better quality workforce
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The Changing Shape of UK Manufacturing Joe Grice, Director and Chief Economist
Outline • Why is productivity important? • Manufacturing output, employment and productivity • Potential reasons the increase in manufacturing productivity: • A better quality workforce • An improvement in the information technology base • A change in the composition of the UK manufacturing industry • Investment in research and development • Capital deepening • Amore integrated global economy • Productivity growth by export status • Productivity growth by firm ownership
Current price Gross Value Added per hour and hourly wage Source: Labour Productivity Measures from the ABS :
Labour productivity (output per hour) 1948-2013, (1948=100) Source: Labour Productivity (ONS) :
Whole economy and manufacturing output and workforce jobs Source: Index of Production (ONS), Gross Domestic Product (ONS) & Labour Market Statistics (ONS) :
PRODCOM sales growth, (average annual growth, 2002-2013, %) Source: UK Manufacturers’ Sales by Product(PRODCOM) :
Reduction in manufacturing jobs between 1979 and 2013 (%) Source: Labour Productivity Statistics (ONS) :
Contributions to change in Gross Value Added, 1994-2012 Source: Multi-factor Productivity (ONS) :
Labour quality by industry (1993=100) Source: Quality Adjusted Labour Input (QALI) :
Percentage of manufacturing hours accounted for by qualification Source: Quality Adjusted Labour Input (QALI)
Percentage of manufacturing hours accounted for by age Source: Quality Adjusted Labour Input (QALI)
Contribution to manufacturing sub-industries productivity growth Source: Labour Productivity (ONS) and Labour Market Statistics (LMS)
Average annual labour productivity growth by ICT maturity Source: Annual Respondents Database (ARD): Annual Business Survey (ABS), E-commerce survey, and Community Innovation Survey (CIS)
Job flows out of the manufacturing industry: 2002 to 2013 Source: Labour Force Survey Microdata
Net capital stock and output per hour Source: Capital Stock and Labour Productivity
Research and development expenditure as a proportion of turnover, % Source: UK Business R&D Publication (ONS)
Average annual labour productivity growth by exporting status (% per annum, 2001 to 2010) Annual Respondents Database (ARD): Annual Business Survey (ABS), E-commerce survey, and Community Innovation Survey (CIS)
Average annual labour productivity growth by firm ownership, (% per annum, 2001 to 2010) Annual Respondents Database (ARD): Annual Business Survey (ABS), E-commerce survey, and Community Innovation Survey (CIS)
Conclusion • Manufacturing productivity has risen across a broad range of sub-industries, from textiles to pharmaceuticals. Due to steady output growth and a noticeable fall in employment. • A range of factors are having an impact – such as labour quality and capital deepening. This presentation has been designed to inform and encourage the debate around manufacturing productivity – not provide a comprehensive and definitive explanation.