1 / 20

Current Events In Activity-Based Modeling

Current Events In Activity-Based Modeling. Ken Cervenka, P.E., AICP North Central Texas Council Of Governments For AMPO Travel Modeling Work Group Meeting Houston, Texas March 20, 2006. Agenda. Current Agency Activities Responses From Focus Groups TRB Innovations In Modeling Conference

ling
Download Presentation

Current Events In Activity-Based Modeling

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Current Events InActivity-Based Modeling Ken Cervenka, P.E., AICP North Central Texas Council Of Governments For AMPO Travel Modeling Work Group Meeting Houston, Texas March 20, 2006

  2. Agenda Current Agency Activities Responses From Focus Groups TRB Innovations In Modeling Conference Strategies For Advancing The Model Profession

  3. Current Agency Activities Models In Place And In Operation SFCTA (San Francisco County) NYMTC (New York MPO) MORPC (Columbus, Ohio MPO) Models Under Development By Consultants DRCOG (Denver MPO) SACOG (Sacramento MPO)

  4. Current Agency Activities (Cont.) Models Under Development By Universities FAMOS (Tampa Area Testing) CEMDAP (Dallas-Fort Worth Area Testing) Others ARC (Atlanta MPO) MTC (San Francisco/Oakland MPO) TRANSIMS (Portland Case Study)

  5. “MPO Coalition”Activity Model Listserv Mission Statement: “MPO Coalition for the Examination and Advancement of Activity-Based Models for Use in Transportation Planning Applications” 27 MPOs (97 Million People) Are Represented 34% Of Total U.S. Population (Census 2000) 46% Of All MPO Population

  6. Academic/Consultant E-MailFocus Group--Question 1 Do YOU think activity-based models (ABMs) are the appropriate "wave of the future" for a significant near-term (within five years) advancement of the U.S. travel model practice? [38 Responses]

  7. Focus Group--Question 2 Assume $2 million a year for the next five years ($10 million) of unexpected monies were made available for advancing/improving land use/travel demand modeling tools. How would YOU suggest this money be spent? [27 Responses]

  8. Focus Group--Question 3 What do YOU consider the right path for MPOs to take, when it comes to implementation of land use/demographic forecasting tools? [17 Responses]

  9. Focus Group--Question 4 What should be the role of the federal government (especially U.S. DOT) in advancing the travel modeling profession? [5 Responses]

  10. Focus Group--Question 5 How should one go about testing an existing activity-based model, to determine its readiness for real-world model applications use? [4 Responses]

  11. Focus Group--Question 6 What are the questions we should expect robust land use and transportation models to help us resolve?

  12. TRB Innovations In TravelDemand Modeling Conference 1:30 p.m. Sunday, May 21, 2006 To 2:30 p.m. Tuesday, May 23, 2006 Austin, Texas (Hyatt Regency)

  13. Preliminary Agenda Sunday Workshops (1:30 to 5:00 p.m.) Innovations In Practice FTA Findings For Meaningful Forecasts Data And Survey Issues

  14. Preliminary Agenda Monday Morning Plenary Sessions Overview Of The Policy Issues Moving Innovative Models Into Practice

  15. Preliminary Agenda Monday Afternoon Concurrent Sessions 1 Tour Based Models Data And Synthetic Populations Land Use Forecasting Monday Afternoon Concurrent Sessions 2 Activity Based Models Survey Methods Assignment Advances

  16. Preliminary Agenda Tuesday Morning Concurrent Sessions 3 Education And Outreach Emerging Modeling Considerations Validation Tuesday Morning Concurrent Sessions 4 Transitioning To A New Model Framework Data And Future Travel Behavior

  17. Tuesday Afternoon Closing PlenaryNext Steps: Institutional Issues Round Table Discussion By Eight MPO Model Practitioners Larry Blain (Seattle); Salvador Gonzalez (El Paso); Ron Milone (Washington, D.C.); Chuck Purvis (San Francisco); Chris van Slyke (Houston); Aichong Sun (Tucson); Dick Walker (Portland); and Kemit Wies (Chicago)

  18. Strategies For Consideration (1) We Need A Very Clear Picture Of Who Is Doing What The TRB Innovations In Modeling Conference Will Set The Stage For Good Documentation Both Successes And Failures Are Important Rigorous Assessment Of Modeling Tools Not Just Activity Models Should Be Tested Both Implemented And Estimated Models Guidelines For Dynamic Validation Tests

  19. Strategies For Consideration (2) More Basic Research To Better Understand (And Calculate) Behavioral Responses Some Original Explorations Still Needed Some “Directed” Efforts May Also Be Needed Applied Research Leading To Implementations Individual Or “Pooled Funding” Efforts? Rigorous Review Of All New Implementations A Need For An Active, Up-to-Date “Knowledge Base”

More Related