1 / 17

Hog Outlook (title)

Hog Outlook (title). Hog Outlook. Ron Plain. July 17, 2014. Cost of Slaughter Hog Production, 2000-2014. Source: Iowa State University. U.S. Retail Pork Prices, 2000-2014. Source: USDA/ERS. Source: USDA/ERS. U.S. Pork Imports & Exports as % of U.S. Pork Production, 2006-2014.

luce
Download Presentation

Hog Outlook (title)

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Hog Outlook (title) Hog Outlook Ron Plain July 17, 2014

  2. Cost of Slaughter Hog Production, 2000-2014 Source: Iowa State University

  3. U.S. Retail Pork Prices, 2000-2014 Source: USDA/ERS

  4. Source: USDA/ERS

  5. U.S. Pork Imports & Exports as % of U.S. Pork Production, 2006-2014 Source: USDA/ERS

  6. June 2014 Hog Inventory Source: USDA NASS

  7. PED Virus Identified in Europe in 1971 First cases in Asia in 1982 First cases in U.S. in April 2013 First identified in May Found on 7,603* hog farms by 6/29/14 Near 100% death loss in young pigs Not a zoonotic disease (no risk to people) Not a food safety concern *unknown amount of double counting

  8. PEDV & PDCoV Cases by WeekNAHLN Reports Source: AASV & NAHLN

  9. U.S. Pigs Per Litter by Month January 2014 PPL lowest since January 2009

  10. U.S. Pigs Per Litter by Month PPL during Dec-Feb was down 5.5%. Mar-May was down 5.1%. Previous biggest decline was 1.68% in Jun-Aug 1988

  11. Sows Farrowed by Quarter - U.S. Source: USDA/NASS

  12. record

  13. Data Source: USDA-AMS, Compiled & Analysis by LMIC Livestock Marketing Information Center

  14. Commercial Pork Production ForecastMillion Pounds ------- Change ------- 2013-142014-15. +0.2% - 2.5% - 0.2% - 1.2% - 2.3% +4.9% - 4.7% +7.0% - 1.8% +2.1% *forecast

  15. Iowa-Minn Hog Price, QuarterlyNegotiated Base Price Per Carcass Hundredweight *forecast price

  16. Net Slaughter Hog PriceMonthly Average 2002-2014

  17. Iowa Farrow to Finish Profits, 2006-2015 Forecast Source: Ron Plain, University of Missouri

More Related