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Strategic Plan for Korean Participation in T-PARC 2008

Strategic Plan for Korean Participation in T-PARC 2008. Hee-Sang Lee Forecast Research Lab., NIMR/ KMA April. 7-8, 2008 Tsukuba, Japan. Strategy and scientific Plan for T-PARC 2008

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Strategic Plan for Korean Participation in T-PARC 2008

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  1. Strategic Plan for Korean Participation in T-PARC 2008 Hee-Sang Lee Forecast Research Lab., NIMR/ KMA April. 7-8, 2008 Tsukuba, Japan

  2. Strategy and scientific Plan for T-PARC 2008 ● Contribution to improve forecast accuracy of high impact weathers and to accumulate experiences on observing systems in various platforms by actively participating international collaborative observation programs related to THORPEX/T-PARC. ● Improvement of the accuracy of medium-range forecasts through promotion of the global prediction system's performance. ● Concentration of the investment to research and development in high-resolution numerical modeling, adaptive observation, data assimilation, OSSEs/OSEs, and observing systems. ● Continuation of an IOP after KEOP to improve the forecast accuracy and understanding of characteristic meteorological phenomena in Korea. It is essential to make the IOP be comprehensive for effective linkage among other observation programs. ● Usage of strategic scientific issues of THORPEX in the GEOSS to compensate the weak points, then feedback into THORPEX to keep complementary cooperation between the two programs.

  3. IOP SDS & Aerosols Intensive Observing Program SDS: Sand and dust storm Chair : SNU Chair : SNU THORPEX / KOREA THe Observing-system Research and Predictability EXperiment Chair :Ewha Univ. Korea Meteo. Society Chair : YSU Hydrology Chair : Sejong Univ. Radiation Ocean Fluxes Chair : SNU Chair : YSU Chair : KORDI ProbeX Science Committee • PRedictability and OBservation EXperiment in Korea International collaborative -observation GEOSS Global Earth Observation System of Systems WMO/CAS THORPEX Chair: David Parsons (NCAR/USA) Steering Committee T-PARC / ARC Chair : Dr. LEE / YSU KMA NIMR Co-chair: HEE-SANG LEE JMA MRI Co-chair: Nakazawa CMA CAMS Co-chair: Chen Co-chair : HEE-SANG LEE / NIMR T-PARC / KMA WG Chair : HEE-SANG LEE TCS-08 (USA) TH08 (Japan) SoWMEX / TiMREX (Taiwan) DOTSTAR (Taiwan) Sub-Committees

  4. Operation Real-time Forecast of Typhoon track and intensity Numerical Model Providing Ensemble forecast data, Data Assimilation and Sensitivity Experiment Forecast Coordination Division Forecast Operation Division Numerical Model Development Division Typhoon Improvement of Typhoon prediction & Bogusing Typhoon and Asian Dust Division Typhoon and Asian Dust Research Lab. T-PARC Working Group at KMA Forecast Research Lab. : T-PARC/Korea Coordinator Publicity Spokesperson

  5. Sand and dust storm & Aerosol Observational Experiment • three-dimensional intensive observation of Asian dust (April – May 2008) • Ground Observation : OPC, OPC sonde, lidar, FT-IR, AWS, wind profiler • Aerial Observation : OPC, particle counter • < Path of aerial observation >

  6. Adjoint-based adaptive observation strategy Case : Typhoon ‘Ewinia’ on 2006 Period : 00UTC from 8 to 10 July 2006 (48hours) Data : NCEP Reanalysis-2, OISST Area : horizontal ~ 50×50 (80 km), vertical ~ 20 sigma levels

  7. Sensitivity with respect to initial conditions at 0000 UTC 09 Jul 2006 in response-m Forecast error as a response function Sensitivity with SLP -24 h 500mb B A A B

  8. Japan Upper-air observation (land-4, ship-3) Rapid-scan satellite Falcon Korea Enhanced Observing Program-2008 • Special Observation during the T-PARC period KEOP-2008 Typhoon observation associated with T-PARC Atsugi period : 1 August - 4 November Haenam Place : National Center for Intensive Observation of Severe Weather Method : Upper-Air Observation Selection of Sensitive area Path of typhoon

  9. Summary Numerical Modeling Improvement Special Observing system Numerical modeling Contributions Global predictability improvement TIGGE & Regional ensemble Improvement ! Lateral boundary condition Improvement Regional predictability improvement T-PARC

  10. Applications ● Overall improvement in skill and capacity to forecast high impact weathers ● policymaking of disaster prevention : decreases loss of life and economy - management of water resource - societal infrastructure and industrial facilities

  11. The 30th Anniversary of NIMR/KMAThe 1st International Joint Workshop onProbeX, NWP, and ESM When : 11 – 14 November, 2008 Where : Incheon, KOREA Hosted by Fcst Res Lab and Climate Res Lab, NIMR Sponsored by Numerical Prediction Center, KMA

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