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Episode 3 / CAATS II joint dissemination event

Episode 3 / CAATS II joint dissemination event. Combining Techniques: Expert Groups, Fast-Time Simulation and Prototyping. Episode 3 - CAATS II Final Dissemination Event. Hugo de Jonge NLR Episode 3. Brussels, 13 & 14 Oct 2009. Overview. (Some) applied techniques and their benefits

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Episode 3 / CAATS II joint dissemination event

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  1. Episode 3 / CAATS II joint disseminationevent Combining Techniques: Expert Groups, Fast-Time Simulation and Prototyping Episode 3 - CAATS II Final Dissemination Event Hugo de Jonge NLR Episode 3 Brussels, 13 & 14 Oct 2009

  2. Overview • (Some) applied techniques and their benefits • Expert Groups • FTS • Prototyping • Combining these techniques • Relationship to exercises in Episode 3 • Example results • Experience and value of combining techniques Episode 3 - CAATS II Final Dissemination Event

  3. Applied techniques and benefits • Expert Group • To discuss high-level and conceptual ideas • Operational aspects and feasibility • Benefits, priorities, blocking points • Agreement, operational participation and portability • The role of different experiments • But no “validated” agreements • Fast-Time Simulation (FTS) • Wide area: Airport, Region, ECAC-wide • Large coverage: 24 hours, 10.000nds of flights • Quantification, with focus on: Capacity and Efficiency • Reproducible • But simple modelling, adopting validated ops mechanisms Episode 3 - CAATS II Final Dissemination Event

  4. Applied techniques and benefits • Prototyping • Human in the loop, small-scale • Focus on feasibility, and operational acceptance • Good perception of workload, and procedural details • Good modelling of detailed procedures But: • Simulation is non-deterministic and gives low statistics • Simulation is small-scale and it is difficult to address a complete scenario Episode 3 - CAATS II Final Dissemination Event

  5. Combining these techniques Expert Group Relevant results by iteration: Operational feasibility/ clarification of role of human in the loop Large-scale demo/ quantified benefits Concept Ideas suggestions acceptability Ideas suggestions acceptability Large-scale operations Operations in detail Episode 3 - CAATS II Final Dissemination Event Filtering a scenario in detail giving support in context of operations (e.g. full TMA + airport to 1 runway, 2 sectors) Being specific on how to model a procedure in details of its operational context, (e.g. time and effort to perform datalink exchange) FTS Prototyping

  6. In Episode 3 • Examples of combining techniques in Episode 3: • ECAC-wide: Macro model to accept FTS and Prototyping results and to extrapolate results on ECAC-wide applicability • Support to Gaming: Airport Gaming and use of ECAC-wide model to feed Gaming with solutions solving bottlenecks by DCB • En-route - TMA coupling: Prototyping of ATM En-route control in support of managed arrival flows, and fast-time simulation of Multi-Airport flows from en-route (200NM out) to landing Episode 3 - CAATS II Final Dissemination Event

  7. Expert Group, example • Feeding FTS: • By Story Board, analysing critical parts of concept • By dimensioning the operations in time and space • By assumptions • Assumptions: • Airspace utilisation: With low variability there is control on the amount of airspace needed to accomplish the sequencing, without ...... • Capacity: Without ensured low variability there will be dips in demand resulting in loss of capacity ...... • ...... Episode 3 - CAATS II Final Dissemination Event

  8. Fast-Time Simulation, example • FTS: • 24-hours scenarios, comparing quite a lot of conditions • Quantitative results • Modelling, simulating and measuring Episode 3 - CAATS II Final Dissemination Event

  9. Prototyping, example • Prototyping: • 1-2 hours scenario, studying operations in detail • results on feasibility of ATM support tools • results on feasibility Human Machine Interface (HMI) • results on feasibility of operational procedures • detailed scenario, perform simulation, analyse results Episode 3 - CAATS II Final Dissemination Event

  10. Feed-back, FTS example • FTS applying prototyping results: • Advanced CDA procedure (ACDA) • Feasibility of merge procedure • Feasibility of control procedures and separation • Sequencing accuracy at Controlled Time of Arrival (CTA) • FTS outputs: • Quantitative results Episode 3 - CAATS II Final Dissemination Event

  11. Conclusions • Expert Group: • New valuable experience with low effort and involvement: • High diversity of experts • Intensive discussions and concrete • Inputs in support of experiments • Support portability of concept, • experiments and results • FTS, successful in: • Large-scale simulations • Quantified benefits under “ideal” conditions (upper-bound values) • Assessment of acceptance of achievable benefits (e.g. fuel gains) • Prototyping, successful in: • Human-in-the-loop, small-scale simulations • Assessment of acceptance of operational procedures (e.g. workload and procedures) Episode 3 - CAATS II Final Dissemination Event

  12. Thank you, any questions? Episode 3 - CAATS II Final Dissemination Event

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