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The Future

The Future. by Professor Ron Johnston Victorian TAFE Association 19 May 2001 Swinburne University Campus. http://www.aciic.org.au/. The Context is the Global Knowledge Economy. What is it?.

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The Future

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  1. The Future by Professor Ron Johnston Victorian TAFE Association 19 May 2001 Swinburne University Campus

  2. http://www.aciic.org.au/

  3. The Context is the Global Knowledge Economy

  4. What is it? • Globalisation - increasing development and deepening of world markets in capital, goods and services by the increasing occurrence of commercial exchanges across international boundaries

  5. Globalisation • Age of hyper-capitalism • Intangible assets increasingly important • Share price/net tangible assets grew by 50% in last 3 years. • Patent applications increased by 2500% in past 5 years

  6. Which Means • Doing business anywhere, anytime • Every market is a global market • Every consumer is a market of one • No company, no business is immune • Your most dangerous competitors are the ones you don’t know

  7. Knowledge Economy The critical difference between the old and the new economies is not dot.coms, nor e-commerce, nor sustained growth without inflation.It is that the old economy raised capital to invest in physical capital.The new economy raises finance to invest in ideas and innovation

  8. Value of Knowledge

  9. Paradoxes of Knowledge • Using knowledge does not consume it. • Transferring knowledge does not lose it. • Knowledge is abundant, but the ability to use it is scarce. • Producing knowledge resists organisation. • Much of it walks out the door at the end of the day.

  10. In a knowledge economy the production, distribution and use of knowledge is the main driver of growth, wealth creation and employment across all industries.The knowledge required iscultural, social and managerial, as well as technological.

  11. Because knowledge does not wear out it is a source of super-value and super-productivity. • Knowledge alone can add value to an otherwise closed, zero-sum system.

  12. A knowledge economy isa hierarchy of networks, driven by the acceleration of the rate of change and of learning. • The opportunity and capability tojoin knowledge-intensive and learning-intensive relations determines the wealth of individuals and firms. (OECD)

  13. The innovation system is dependent on strong links between all players, government, industry and research performers(Australia’s Chief Scientist) • Linkagesdo not simply mirror a clear-cut division of labour in the production of knowledge. They represent an institutionalised form of learning that provides a specific contribution to the stock of economically useful knowledge. (OECD)

  14. Changing Knowledge Work “There is a shift from applying knowledge in a relatively stable environment to using and creating knowledge to comprehend and transform a rapidly changing environment” (Ron Johnston)

  15. Which requires individuals with... Knowledge work is... And organisations that... • develop knowledge worker novices into experts • rapidly build effective virtual teams • build a culture of improvisation • balance creativity with risk management • High pattern recognition skills • flexibility and tolerance for ambiguity • Teams • skilled at collective “sense making” • Complex • Uncertain • Ambiguous • Unstructured • Difficult to observe and measure • High risk

  16. Preparing the Knowledge Worker • Lifelong learning • learner-directed learning • learning to learn • contextualised learning • customised learning • transformative learning • collaborative/cooperative learning • just-in-time learning

  17. ? ? ? ? ? Some Major Uncertainties ? ? ? ?

  18. Opportunities and Challenges • From sector to network organisation • Seamless learning • From structure to relationship • Structural barriers • Navigation through learning and work • From supplier to consumer-driven • Access to learning • Location independent • Regional learning hubs • Stratified learning opportunities • Role of learning in social change • Need for pluralism • Need for public funding

  19. Opportunities and Challenges • Information Technology • Unimagined impacts • Coherent approach to develop capability, alliances • Flexible learning • Efficiency and effectiveness in learning • Diffusion of good practice • Programs and targets • Learning as a universal cultural value • Progressive removal of barriers • Resources for learning • Distinction between public and private good blurring • Quality management – new approaches • Demographic change • Changing nature of work • Casual contractor versus knowledge asset

  20. Global Warming & Environmental Sustainability Beware the Sixth Extinction!

  21. Power of the consumer • Universal perceptions: • competition --> reduced customer service • globalisation --> reduced customer service • technology (computer systems) --> reduced customer service • economic rationalism --> increased inequity • economic rationalism --> greater unhappiness • economic rationalism --> loss of community

  22. The Yearning for Community • Anti-globalisation • Limitations of consumerism • ‘Give them circuses’ • Social and spiritual connection

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