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EU/US as Mediators in Bosnia A Comparative Case Study

EU/US as Mediators in Bosnia A Comparative Case Study. Reina Zenelaj Nimet Beriker Emre Hatipoglu Sabanci University, Istanbul IACM 2012 - Stellenbosch, SA. Overview. Aim: What determines mediation success/failure? Focused comparison (Bosnia 2009): EU/US mediation attempt

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EU/US as Mediators in Bosnia A Comparative Case Study

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  1. EU/US as Mediators in BosniaA Comparative Case Study Reina Zenelaj Nimet Beriker Emre Hatipoglu Sabanci University, Istanbul IACM 2012 - Stellenbosch, SA

  2. Overview • Aim: What determines mediation success/failure? • Focused comparison (Bosnia 2009): • EU/US mediation attempt • Turkish mediation attempt • Partial mediation combined with facilitative strategies produced more tangible outcomes.

  3. The study's contribution • Focuses on mediation in post-conflict environment. • Examines an interesting case: coterminious mediation attempts in Bosnia. • A less traveled road: combining mediator bias with strategy employed.

  4. Bosnia: A post-conflict environment • Post-Dayton: Institutional paralysis • Legitimacy problem • Risk of reemergence and spill-over of conflict in the region. • Both mediations attempts' aim: To maintain Bosnia's sovereignty and territorial integrity.

  5. Dependent Variable: Success in mediation A plethora of definitions for mediation success; e.g., Achieving fairness, efficiency Clarifying issues Expanding the range of options Reestablishing trust, etc. Success operationalized as parties formally committing to (signing) an agreement.

  6. Main explanatory variables:Partiality and strategy Characteristics of the party Nature of the dispute Characteristics of the mediator Mediation strategies • Bercovitch & Houston (2000) Outcome Processes Context

  7. Mediation in a post-conflict environment • Hypothesis 1: • Partial mediators are likely to be more successful • Hypothesis 2: • Facilititative strategies are likely to be more effective

  8. Two attempts, one country: Bosnia • Most similar systems design (Mill 1843)

  9. Conclusion • Partiality works in post-conflict mediation • Face saving to the closer party • Trust: big brother involved • Facilitation works in post-conflict mediation • Establishes trust among the parties.

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