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On the policy effectiveness of abatement measures. Frank de Leeuw 11 th AQ EIONET 26-27 October 2006, La Rochelle. Testing the methodology on. LCPs. EURO standards. Pilot project (TNO, MNP). Three scenarios; three years. Reference case Without abatement Measures fully implemented
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On the policy effectiveness of abatement measures Frank de Leeuw 11th AQ EIONET 26-27 October 2006, La Rochelle
Testing the methodology on LCPs EURO standards Pilot project (TNO, MNP) policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw
Three scenarios; three years • Reference case • Without abatement • Measures fully implemented Reference years: 1990, 1995, 2003 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw
Methodology Emission = activity times emission factor Activity data per sector: ESTAT, RAINS EF: RAINS, LCP Directive Pollutants: SO2, NOx, NMVOC policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw
Methodology LOTOS-EUROS model 1990 Unab ref MFR Unab ref MFR 2003 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw
NOx Road transport & EURO standards policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw
NOx Stationary combustion & LCP policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw
EURO standards & NOx policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw
LCP Directive & SO2 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw
LCP Directive & SO2 policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw
Ozone (annual mean) policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw
Validation? SO2 trend policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw
Validation? policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw
Conclusion • Work in progress but promissing • Better validation • Extend analysis with • CO • Cost data • Impact • Other directives (e.g. solvent) • Explore more local scale (national) policy effectiveness, Frank de Leeuw