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Ship Time Concerns for the Global Ocean Observing System: Issues and Scenarios

Ship Time Concerns for the Global Ocean Observing System: Issues and Scenarios. David Goodrich/Diane Stanitski 7 th Annual Ocean Climate Observation Program or Program Report. Ship Issues for the Ocean Observing System. Overarching : Ship support essential for the OOS

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Ship Time Concerns for the Global Ocean Observing System: Issues and Scenarios

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  1. Ship Time Concerns for the Global Ocean Observing System: Issues and Scenarios David Goodrich/Diane Stanitski 7th Annual Ocean Climate Observation Program or Program Report

  2. Ship Issues for the Ocean Observing System • Overarching: Ship support essential for the OOS • Do Fleet priorities match NOAA priorities? • Near Term (1-2 years): • Declining base funded days • TAO transition to NCS • Securing climate component of OAR Charter Fund • Medium Term (3-4 years): • Availability of large research vessels • Competition from NSF Ocean Observatories Init. • Retirement of Knorr, Melville; rehab of Brown 2014 • Long Term (8-10 years): • NOAA Fleet as fisheries fleet

  3. Climate Ship time Requirements - Summary Sustained Ocean Climate Observing SystemDays at Sea Equivalent Funds ($K) FY10 NOAA Fleet and Charter Current Spt. 571 7,036 FY10 International Partnerships 353 12,555 Additional Planning Requirements (FY11) 255 10,881 TOTAL days required 1179 $30,472

  4. NWS TAO Transfer to NCS: Budget Implications Annual Analysis • Operations, Maintenance and Refresh: $6.7M • Shiptime: (278 Days required, assumes minimum 150 Days from OMAO on KA) $2.5M • Existing TAO Budget Lines: ($3.7M) • Shortfall: $5.5M

  5. Ship Time Concerns • Ship support essential to the OOS Issues FY11, 12 – Reduced DAS on NOAA fleet (Anticipated 130 DAS per ship) FY12, 13 – KA mid-life repair; TAO ship support FY14 RHB mid-life repair; 2 global class UNOLS vessels retiring Securing climate component of OAR charter funds for NCS Needs • Decline of NOAA fleet assets are a key concern • TAO transition to NCS • Ronald H Brown offline in FY14 • Availability of large research vessels in near future • Chartering /Acquisitions • Required ship time funds increase

  6. Fleet Working Group Prioritization Process Criteria • The Cross-Goal Prioritization Team uses the following Criteria: • Mission Goals and Programs - Projects that score high are addressing program’s highest priorities • Legislative Mandates, Executive Orders & Intn’lTreaties – considers projects authorized by Congress and the President • Impact to Society - takes into account the link between the proposed project and the benefits to society (i.e., safety of life, public health and public welfare) • Vessel Capability - takes into account a NOAA vessel that has a unique physical characteristic, or a combination of capabilities, that’s not available on a charter vessel • Long-Term Data Series - recognizes data acquisition at a set frequency to achieve accuracy and continuity required to detect environmental trends • Promote One NOAA Projects - encourages cooperation and integration to gain better efficiencies for at-sea days by combining projects or through collaboration 10

  7. Prioritization & Fleet Allocation Process Overview Results of Prioritization to FC (Oct) ~2 Years Before Execution FC Reviews & Approves 3rd & Final Draft FAP (Sept) TPIO Sensitivity Analysis (Oct) FWG Develops Draft FAP @ MAX Ship Capacity (Nov-Dec) FWG Prioritizations (May-Sept) Data Call (Jan-Apr) MOC Begins Drafting FAP to Reflect President’s Budget (Jan-Mar) 10 Months Before Execution FC Reviews 1st Draft FAP (Dec) FC Reviews 1st Draft FAP (Mar) FWG Adjusts Draft FAP to Ongoing Changes (e.g. PFDs, Detailed Schedules) (Apr-Aug) FAP Executed (Oct) 7

  8. Session 5: An Example of Approaching the System as a System: The Tropical Pacific Ocean Observing Network Challenge: What impact would a 30% reduction in ship time on the Ka’imimoana and a 10% reduction in budget have on the tropical Pacific ocean observing system, and what approach should be taken to continue monitoring and delivery of observing system data necessary for essential analysis and forecasting?

  9. Session 5: An Example of Approaching the System as a System: The Tropical Pacific Ocean Observing Network Challenge: What impact would a 30% reduction in ship time on the Ka’imimoana and a 10% reduction in budget have on the tropical Pacific ocean observing system, and what approach should be taken to continue monitoring and delivery of observing system data necessary for essential analysis and forecasting? System Component: Discussants: Moored TAO arrays Shannon McArthur Argo floats Greg Johnson Drifters Rick Lumpkin Carbon Richard Feely Satellites (altimetry, winds, SST) Eric Lindstrom Operational Analysis Yan Xue S/I Forecasting Arun Kumar TRITON array Kentaro Ando

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