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Population. Chapter 2. Importance of Studying Population. 6.75 billion people living on Earth—more than ever Population grew faster during second half of 20 th century than ever before Almost all population growth is now happening in LDCs. Demography.
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Population Chapter 2
Importance of Studying Population • 6.75 billion people living on Earth—more than ever • Population grew faster during second half of 20th century than ever before • Almost all population growth is now happening in LDCs
Demography • Def.- the scientific study of population characteristics • Demographers statistically study spatial distribution of people by age, gender, occupation, fertility, health, etc.
Where is the World’s Population Distributed? Population cartogram- shows size of the country relative to its population rather than land area
Population Concentrations • 2/3 of people living on Earth are clustered around 4 regions • East Asia • South Asia • Southeast Asia • Europe
continued • Most of these people in these 4 regions live near an ocean or river with easy ocean access • 2/3 of world live within 300 miles of an ocean– 4/5 within 500 miles • 4 clusters are generally low in elevation, with fertile soils and a temperate climate • Clusters located in N. hemisphere b/w 10 and 55 degrees latitude except for part of Southeast Asia
East Asia • 1/5 of the world • Includes eastern China, Japan, the Korean Peninsula, and Taiwan • 5/6 live in China • Most along the coast or along Huang and Yangtze Rivers • 26 cities with more than 2 million, 52 with more than 1 million—still 2/3 live in rural areas • Most Japanese live in Tokyo and Osaka • Most Koreans live in Seoul
South Asia • 1/5 of World’s population • Includes India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, and Sri Lanka • ¾ live in India • Mostly rural populations- ¼ live in urban areas
Europe • 1/9 of World’s population • Includes European section of Russia • Over 4 dozen countries • Unlike Asia, ¾ of Europeans live in cities • Largest concentrations near coalfields of Germany, England, and Belgium • Don’t produce enough food for themselves– import most of it
Southeast Asia • ½ billion people live here • Mostly on islands b/w Indian and Pacific Oceans • Java, Sumatra, Borneo, Papua New Guinea, and the Philippines • Mostly farmers in rural areas • Together the 3 Asian concentrations have more than half the World’s pop., living on only 10% of the Earth’s land area
Other Population Clusters • Largest cluster in Western hemisphere is NE US and SE Canada • Chicago to Boston to Newport News • About 2% of World population • Only 3% farmers • Another 2% in West Africa • Most in Nigeria • Like Asia, mostly agriculture
Sparsely Populated Regions • Relatively few people live in areas where it is hard to grow food • Too dry, too wet, too cold, or too mountainous • Ecumene- portion of Earth’s surface occupied by permanent human settlement • Has grown over time
Dry Lands • 20% of Earth’s land surface is too dry for farming • Still may have valuable natural resources such as oil reserves • Two largest desert regions are b/w 15 and 50 degrees N lat. and 20 and 50 degrees S lat.
Wet Lands • Too much moisture can be inhospitable for humans • Mostly b/w 20 degrees N and 20 degrees S latitude in South America, Central Africa, and SE Asia • High rain and high heat lead to rapid depletion of soil nutrients • If rains are seasonal, it may be possible to grow enough food to support a large population
ColdLands • The poles are either covered in ice or permanently frozen (permafrost) • Drier than most deserts– small annual snowfall just never melts • Can’t grow food, therefore very few humans live in thee areas
High Lands • Highest mountains are steep, snow covered, and sparsely settled • Exceptions------ people prefer higher ground if lower areas if temperature and precipitation are to high • Ex. Mexico City • One of the World’s largest cities, and its at an elevation over 7000 ft.
Population Density • Aka arithmetic density- total # of people divide by total land area • Used to compare countries because the info. for computing is easy to obtain • About 80 per sq. mile in US (31 per sq. kilometer) • Bangladesh= 2700 per sq. mile (many people, small land) • India= 900 (more people than US, less land) • Canada= 8 (big land, few people) • Manhattan island-68,000
continued • Arithmetic density helps answer the “where” people live question • To explain “why” people live where they do we need other measures
Physiological Density • Def.- the # of people supported by a unit of arable land • In US, 445 per sq. mile (172 p/sq. kilo.) • In Egypt, its 6,682 sq. mi • Therefore, 1 unit of arable land in Egypt must feed far more people than in the US • The higher the physiological density, the greater pressure that people place on the land to produce enough food
continued • Comparing physiological and arithmetic densities helps geographers understand the capacity of the land to yield enough food for the needs of the people • If the physiological density is much larger than the arithmetic density, much of the country’s land mass is unsuitable for agriculture
95% of Egyptian population lives in the Nile Valley and Delta
Agricultural Density • Def.- the ratio of the # of farmers to the amount of arable land • helps account for economic differences • MDCs have lower agricultural densities because technology and finance allow a few people to farm extensive land area • Allows pop. to work in other industries
continued • High physiological density paired with a low agricultural density means an that a country has an efficient agricultural system
Natural Increase • Three ways geographers measure pop. Change • Crude birth rate (CBR) – total # of live births in a year for every 1,000 people alive in the society • Crude death rate (CDR) – total # of deaths in a year for every 1,000 people alive in the society • Natural increase rate (NIR) – the % growth of a population in a year, computed as the crude birth rate minus the crude death rate
continued • NIR for world is currently about 1.2 • All-time high was 2.2 in 1963 • About 80 million being added each year • Highest ever was 1989 when 87 million people were added • With current pop. level, a change of .01% in the NIR causes a huge swing in pop. growth
continued • The NIR affects the doubling time- • The number of years needed to double the population, assuming a constant NIR • At current rate, doubling time is 54 years • If remains constant, pop. will reach 24 billion by 2100 • At peak NIR of 2.2 in 1963, pop. was doubling every 35 years • At constant 2.2 rate, 2100 pop. Would be 50 billion
continued • Almost 100% of natural increase is clustered in LDCs • More than 2% in most of Africa, Latin America, and the Middle East • Actually negative in Europe • 2/3 of World pop. growth during past 10 years has been in Asia
Fertility • Total fertility rate (TFR) – the average number of children a woman will have throughout her childbearing years (15-49) • Attempts to predict the future behavior of individual women in a world of rapid cultural change • TFR for world is 2.7 • Much higher in LDCs than MDCs • Over 6 in some African countries
Mortality • Infant mortality rate (IMR)- the annual # of deaths of infants under 1 year of age, compared with total live births • Per 1000 births • Very high in Africa, very low in Europe • A reflection of the country’s health care system • US has a higher IMR than Canada and Europe • Many poor in US can’t afford health care
continued • Life expectancy- the average # of years a newborn infant can expect to live at current mortality levels • Higher in MDCs– average late 70s • Lower in LDCs- only 40s in most of Africa
continued • NIR, CBR, TFR, IMR, and life expectancy distributions follow similar patterns • More developed regions have lower NIR, CBR, TFR, and IMR –with higher average life expectancy • CDR does not follow this pattern • The combined CDR is lower for LDCs than MDCs • This is due to their stages in the process of demographic transition
Demographic Transition • Def.- the process of change in a society’s pop. from a condition of high CBR and CDR and low NIR to a condition of low CBR and CDR, low NIR, and a higher total pop. • 4 stages have been identified • As a country moves from one stage to the next, it will never go back
Stage 1: Low Growth • Most of human history fits this category • CBR and CDR vary from year to year, but always remain high • In effect they cancel out the possibility of pop. growth • NIR basically zero
continued • Most were hunter/gatherers during this period • Pop. would increase when there was an abundance of food, but would decrease when it was hard to come by • About 8000BC the pop. began to grow by several thousand each year • From about 5 mill. In 8000BC to 800 million in 1750
continued • Agricultural revolution- when humans first domesticated plants and animals and no longer relied entirely on hunting and gathering • There was now a more stable food supply, but it could still be unpredictable • Therefore, stage1 continued because of things like war and famine • No country still in this stage
Stage 2: High Growth • Soon after 1750 the World pop. grew 10 times faster than it had ever done • In 1750 about ½ million people were added to the pop.– In 1800 5 million were added • Some countries moved into stage 2 • CDR plummets, while CBR remains high • Leads to high NIR
Continued • Industrial revolution- a series of improvements in ind. technology that transformed the process of manufacturing goods • Led to never seen before amount of wealth, which made some communities healthier places to live • Machines helped farmers increase harvests and freed people to work in factories
continued • Sanitation and personal hygiene were improved, sewers were installed • People were healthier and lived longer • European and NA countries entered stage 2 around 1800 • Most African, Asian, and Latin American did not until 1950 • In 1900 8 million people were added, 2000 80 million were added