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Explore the transformative shifts impacting law enforcement, from critical issues to advancements in technology and futuristics concepts for effective community policing.
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Section VGetting the Job Done…Through Others Chapter 17 Learning from the Past; Looking to the Future
Megatrends: Looking Back and to the Future • We are moving from an industrial society to an information society. • We are moving from forced technology to high tech/high touch. • We are moving from a national economy to a world economy. • We are moving from a short-term orientation to a long-term orientation. • We are moving from centralization to decentralization. • We are moving from institutional help to self-help. • Today’s leaders need to be facilitators rather than order givers. • We are moving from hierarchies to networks. • We are moving (physically) from the north to the south. • We are moving from an either/or orientation to one of multiple options.
Law Enforcement for the Future • Changes needed in management skills • People skills over technical competence • Changes in officers and the public • Departments now have more minority officers, better-educated officers and those spanning 2–3 generations. • The public has also grown increasingly diverse.
Trends Shaping the Future of Policing • Changes in technology • Changes in societal values • An integrated global economy • Growth of militant Islam • Redistribution of the world’s population • Decline of privacy • Longer life expectancies • Continuing urbanization • The spread of specialization • A vanishing work ethic
The Impact of Technology, Now and in the Future • Technology will help • Solve crimes • Prevent crimes • Facilitate crimes that haven’t yet been conceived • Technology is changing • The way police departments are operated • How grant requests are formatted • What is requested in the local operating budget
Critical Issues in Policing • Use of force • Management of mass demonstrations • Violent crime • Patrol response to a suicide bomb threat • Resolving conflict and minimizing use of force • Police planning for an influenza pandemic
Critical Issues in Policing (cont.) • Reducing violent crime in America • Local immigration enforcement • Hot spots enforcement • Violent crime and the economic crisis • Up next: gangs and guns
Other Major Challenges Facing 21st-Century Law Enforcement • The drug problem • Gang violence • Terrorism
Futuristics • Social and economic conditions (size and age of the population, immigration patterns and nature of employment and lifestyle characteristics) • Shifts in the number and types of crimes and disorder challenges • Developments in the criminal justice system itself, including community involvement in all aspects of the system
Basic Principles of Futuristics • The unity or interconnectedness of reality • The significance of ideas • The crucial importance of time
Fundamental Premises of Futurists • The future is not predictable. • The future is not predetermined. • Future outcomes can be influenced by individual choice.
Fundamental Goals of Futurists • Form perceptions of the future (the possible) • Study likely alternatives (the probable) • Make choices to bring about particular events (the preferable)
Possible Futures of Community Policing • Community-oriented government • Wealthy neighborhoods policed by private forces • A proactive division coexisting with a reactive division in a department • Robotic devices responding to violence • Nearly all public places under video surveillance