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MATRIX ANALYSIS OF VARIOUS PROPOSALS FOR THE LONG-TERM SOLUTION TO FUTURE DROUGHTS IN GEORGIA: SCIENTIFIC, ECONOMIC, AND POLITICAL SOLUTIONS TO DROUGHT PROOF GEORGIA. HOLLABAUGH, Curtis L . Geosciences University of West Georgia Carrollton , GA 30118, chollaba@westga.edu. What is a drought?.
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MATRIX ANALYSIS OF VARIOUS PROPOSALS FOR THE LONG-TERM SOLUTION TO FUTURE DROUGHTS IN GEORGIA: SCIENTIFIC, ECONOMIC, AND POLITICAL SOLUTIONS TO DROUGHT PROOF GEORGIA HOLLABAUGH, Curtis L. Geosciences University of West Georgia Carrollton, GA 30118, chollaba@westga.edu SEGSA 2009
What is a drought? • “What is Drought?Drought is defined as a period of insufficient rainfall for normal plant growth, which begins when soil moisture is so diminished that vegetation roots cannot absorb enough water to replace that lost by transpiration.” • http://www.georgiaweather.net/ SEGSA 2009
http://www.georgiaweather.net/ SEGSA 2009
DROUGHT IN GEORGIA 2006 2007 2009 2008 Next slide 10/21/2014 SEGSA 2009 4
Lake Lanier http://www.nytimes.com/2007/10/16/us/16drought.html?_r=1&th&emc=th&oref=slogin SEGSA 2009
Start of drought No end in sight SEGSA 2009
2008 2007 Next slide SEGSA 2009
Georgia Geological Society Field Trip October 14, 2007 Lake Allatoona SEGSA 2009
4.29 inches of rain 4.15 inches of rain in 3 days 1.28 inches of rain 2008 2007 10/21/2014 SEGSA 2009 SEGSA 2009 9
2 inches of rain Start of drought No end in sight 4.48 inches of rain in 3 days 1.2 inches of rain 10/21/2014 SEGSA 2009 SEGSA 2009 10
Federal appeals court • “Georgia loses Lake Lanier appeal” • February 5, 2008 at 12:49 pm by Thomas Wheatley in NewsFrom the Associated Press: • “WASHINGTON (AP) A federal appeals court has thrown out an agreement that Georgia reached with the Army Corps of Engineers for water rights to Lake Lanier, handing Alabama and Florida a major victory in the states’ years-long water wars. • The agreement, which would give Georgia about a quarter of the lake’s capacity over the coming decades for drinking water, is the foundation of Georgia’s long-term plans.” • http://blogs.creativeloafing.com/freshloaf/2008/02/05/georgia-loses-lake-lanier-appeal/ SEGSA 2009
U.S. Supreme Court • U.S. Supreme Court declines ‘water wars’ case • January 12, 2009 at 1:51 pm by Thomas Wheatley in News “Jetski enthusiasts, bass fishermen and bass were shocked — shocked! — Monday after the U.S. Supreme Court said it wouldn’t consider the decades-old legal war between Georgia, Florida and Alabama about how those three states share water from Lake Lanier. • The court’s decision raises fundamental questions about Georgia’s rights to Lake Lanier, a huge federal reservoir outside Atlanta that serves as the city’s main water source. It could also play a key role in deciding related water-rights disputes in lower courts. • Monday’s decision involves a 2003 water-sharing agreement with the Army Corps of Engineers that would have allowed Georgia to take far more water from Lanier for its drinking supply over the coming decades. The deal would have allowed Georgia’s withdrawals to jump from about 13 percent of the lake’s capacity to about 22 percent. • Florida and Alabama contested the pact, arguing that larger withdrawals would cripple downstream flows into their states. They said the lake was initially built for hydropower and providing water to Georgia was not an authorized use.” • http://blogs.creativeloafing.com/freshloaf/2009/01/12/us-supreme-court-declines-water-wars-case/ SEGSA 2009
U.S. Supreme Court • And now Lake Lanier is the primary source of drinking water for metro Atlanta! Yikes. Gov. Sonny Perdue! Sir, what’s your take on this? • “While we are disappointed with the Supreme Court’s decision today to not correct a flawed ruling by the D.C. Circuit, it is important to remember that this decision simply maintains the status quo in terms of the operation of Lake Lanier by the Army Corps of Engineers. • We felt strongly that Supreme Court review of this case could have resolved a major piece of our ongoing water negotiations, and we will now move forward continuing to work with our neighbors and other stakeholders to reach consensus on a plan that fairly shares our limited resources and adequately protects the headwaters of the Apalachicola-Chattahoochee-Flint River Basin.” • http://blogs.creativeloafing.com/freshloaf/2009/01/12/us-supreme-court-declines-water-wars-case/ SEGSA 2009
U.S. Supreme Court • UPDATE: After the jump, view Florida Gov. Charlie “Tan-tastic”Crist’s statement on the matter. • “I join the people and businesses of Florida who rely on a healthy Apalachicola Bay in applauding today’s decision by the United States Supreme Court. This action will allow Florida to continue our efforts to help protect the adequate flow of freshwater in the Apalachicola River.” • “After nearly 20 years of legal discussions, today’s decision should provide the framework needed for resolution of this matter. I look forward to working with Governors Perdue and Riley in continuing our work to address the water issues facing our states.” • http://blogs.creativeloafing.com/freshloaf/2009/01/12/us-supreme-court-declines-water-wars-case/ SEGSA 2009
Political • Tri-states – agreement to fill Lake Lanier whenever possible • Based on successful efforts at conservation, improvements in water quality, success in sustainable groundwater, turning treated sewage into drinking water and rainwater harvesting SEGSA 2009
2007 SEGSA 2009
2009 SEGSA 2009
Deviation from Normal (1971-2000) 2007 SEGSA 2009
Deviation from Normal (1971-2000) 2008 SEGSA 2009
Deviation from Normal (1971-2000) Precipitation [inches] Jan-1 to Mar-8 2009 SEGSA 2009
VARIOUS PROPOSALS • 1) Mandatory outdoor water restrictions – water conservation, rainwater harvesting, private wells, recycle • (2) Redefinition of Lakes Lanier and Allatoona as drinking water reservoirs and build regional reservoirs • (3) Sewage into drinking water – Clayton County to metro Atlanta • (4) Drilling well fields coupled with sustainable groundwater • (5) Redefinition of West Point Lake as the principle lake to maintain flow in the lower Chattahoochee River • (6) Updating of sewage treatment so that more and cleaner treated sewage is discharged into Georgia streams • (7) Systems of lakes and aqueducts linking Athens and Atlanta to Tennessee River and the Savannah River at Augusta (willing buyer and willing seller exist) SEGSA 2009
VARIOUS PROPOSALS • Stimulus package - $16 billion for local Clean Water and drinking water infrastructure • $6 billion for the Clean Water State Revolving Funds • $2 billion for the Drinking Water State Revolving Funds • www.allianceforwaterefficiency.org SEGSA 2009
VARIOUS PROPOSALS • Water efficiency • Metro Atlanta could save 130-210 MGD • ~ = to a new Lake Lanier • Metro Atlanta gets ~ 178 MGD from Lake Lanier • Meter all users • Retrofit buildings and replace outdated appliances & fixtures SEGSA 2009
VARIOUS PROPOSALS • Tie-in high yield private wells (usage during drought, emergency, fire) to public system • Usage of gray water • Long-term plan for future generations • Progressive fees for water consumption • Leak detection SEGSA 2009
VARIOUS PROPOSALS – American Rivers • Hidden Reservoir report, Metro Atlanta: • 652 MGD for 4 million people • Water efficiency could save 130-210 MGD • Save $300 to $700 million versus building new reservoirs • Eliminate need for four planned reservoirs SEGSA 2009
Water Efficiency • Stop leaks – 14% lost • Price water right • Meter all water • Retrofit buildings • Landscape to limit waste • Public education • Build smart SEGSA 2009
MATRIX ANALYSIS - Political • Possible solutions – top row • What Georgia Wants – second row • What Florida Wants Georgia to do – third row • What Alabama Wants Georgia to do – forth row • This is the political matrix. • Science and economics and environment are subservient to the political will SEGSA 2009
MATRIX ANALYSIS - Economic • Possible solutions – top row • What Georgia Wants – second row • What Florida Wants Georgia to do – third row • What Alabama Wants Georgia to do – forth row • This is the economic matrix. • Science and politics and environment are subservient to the political will SEGSA 2009
MATRIX ANALYSIS - Science • Possible solutions – top row • What Georgia Wants – determined by science • What Florida Wants – determined by science • What Alabama Wants – determined by science • Georgia, Florida, and Alabama all let the science determine • This is the science matrix. • Science and environmental are one in the same; political and economic are considered but are subservient SEGSA 2009
MATRIX ANALYSIS - Political SEGSA 2009
MATRIX ANALYSIS - Political * Water leaks can lose 25-40% 2005 Report Card for America’s Infrastructure. American Society of Civil Engineers 10/21/2014 SEGSA 2009 SEGSA 2009 31
MATRIX ANALYSIS State SEGSA 2009
MATRIX ANALYSIS Rank each item according to how you think the state will favor the item. Rank from 0 to 10 with 0 = not in favor and 10 = very strongly favor Option Comments/ suggestions Optional name and email if you want a copy of the results: SEGSA 2009
MATRIX ANALYSIS - Political SEGSA 2009
DROUGHT is over WHEN it is Full! 2006 2007 2009 2008 10/21/2014 SEGSA 2009 SEGSA 2009 35