230 likes | 375 Views
Operational Procedures. How can we build consistent, homogeneous, well-documented climate quality data?. 2 nd IBTrACS Workshop. 11 - 13 April 2011. 1. 1 st IBTrACS Workshop: recommendations. The IBTrACS team should… Document BT procedures Work with agencies through a survey
E N D
Operational Procedures • How can we build consistent, homogeneous, well-documented climate quality data? 2nd IBTrACS Workshop 11 - 13 April 2011 1
1st IBTrACS Workshop: recommendations • The IBTrACS team should… • Document BT procedures • Work with agencies through a survey • Provide all parameters as provided by original agency • Distribute official and unofficial datasets of other TC related data • Archive all ancillary data • Get involved with the IWTC 2nd IBTrACS Workshop 11 - 13 April 2011
1st IBTrACS Workshop: recommendations • Best tracking agencies should … • Report more parameters and use WMO format • Document current and historic BT practices • Standardize definitions of winds and wind conversions • Rescue and archive documents relevant to BT data • “Best track” throughout life cycle (through ET) • Encourage best track data discussions at IWTC 2nd IBTrACS Workshop 11 - 13 April 2011
Climate Quality Data • The TC community goal for best track data 2nd IBTrACS Workshop 11 - 13 April 2011 5
Climate quality data • historical perspective • trend analysis • process evaluation • model development and calibration • These data have particular characteristics: • High quality • Homogeneity • Continuity • availability of full documentation with respect to their technical characteristics 2nd IBTrACS Workshop 11 - 13 April 2011
Environmental Data Records Climate Data Records • Climate change • No time constraints in production • Allows time for assessment and correction • Uses past and future data to analyze record • Understand and minimize errors • Predict weather • Tight time constraint • Real-time analysis, diagnostics, forecasting • Use past data to inform present decisions 2nd IBTrACS Workshop 11 - 13 April 2011
Question • Is best track data “climate quality data”? • Post-event analyzed operational data Goal • To make best track data “climate quality data” as it is being produced • Avoid the task of re-analysis in future 2nd IBTrACS Workshop 11 - 13 April 2011
IBTrACS Community Survey • An attempt to record historical operational changes and “best tracking” practices • Questions include: • Are best track positions smoothed? If so, how? • Which year did your agency first begin acquiring SSM/I (other microwave imagery)? • What other changes to in situ, radiosondes or remote sensing data affected forecast and best tracking capability? • How was the cyclone maximum sustained wind speed determined? 2nd IBTrACS Workshop 11 - 13 April 2011
Data Sources • What are the impacts of changes in technology on the historical TC record? 2nd IBTrACS Workshop 11 - 13 April 2011 10
Timeline • Survey responses from: • Meteo-France La Réunion • Australian Bureau of Meteorology • National Hurricane Center • US Navy • Year technology became useful • Year changes in procedures were implemented • Other milestones Please add your expert knowledge to the timeline! 2nd IBTrACS Workshop 11 - 13 April 2011
Reconnaissance • Date ranges? • Types of aircraft? • Flight level to ground transformations? • Instrumentation? • Technological improvements? • Documented for the U.S. • A single research flight for Australian BoM • No aircraft data for La Réunion 2nd IBTrACS Workshop 11 - 13 April 2011
Surface Data & Radar • Date ranges? • Types of observing systems? • Marine buoy and automated offshore stations? • Mesonets? • Documented for the U.S. • Still incomplete coverage of tropical shorelines for Australian BoM • Basically no surface or radar for La Réunion 2nd IBTrACS Workshop 11 - 13 April 2011
Remote Sensing • Satellite data acquisition date ranges? • Types of imagery available? • History of Dvorak implementation? • Other pattern recognition algorithms? • Documented for the U.S. • Dvorak implemented differently – BoM Perth/Brisbane/Western Region • Dvorak implemented much later 2nd IBTrACS Workshop 11 - 13 April 2011
TC Intensity • How do operational decisions affect the historical record? 2nd IBTrACS Workshop 11 - 13 April 2011 15
Tracking Procedures • How do discrepancies in the types of systems recorded affect climate analyses? 2nd IBTrACS Workshop 11 - 13 April 2011 17
Position • Tropical cyclone center fixing procedures? • Subtropical systems? • Post-tropical systems? Procedures often inconsistent or change with administrations 2nd IBTrACS Workshop 11 - 13 April 2011
Training • How do different training approaches affect the data being recorded? 2nd IBTrACS Workshop 11 - 13 April 2011 19
New instruments New science New procedures GPS Dropsondes TC Structure Best track of wind radii @ NHC (2004) 2nd IBTrACS Workshop 11 - 13 April 2011 20
Best Track Procedure • How do different approaches to post season reanalysis introduce differences in the climatology? 2nd IBTrACS Workshop 11 - 13 April 2011 21
Document - Compare -Standardize? • Who? • forecaster? other analyst? committee? • What? • systematic review? casual? no review? • When? • after season? after storm? • Time dedicated? • days? weeks? months? • How? • flexibility to deviate from original forecast? • complete? bounded? • track smoothing? interpolation? • Review? • internal? external? • Re-analysis • procedure for approving changes 2nd IBTrACS Workshop 11 - 13 April 2011
IBTrACS Community Survey • An attempt to record historical operational changes and “best tracking” practices • Included in your folder • Write on timeline • Online at • http://www.surveymonkey.com/s/2ndIBTrACS 2nd IBTrACS Workshop 11 - 13 April 2011