Ready to Succeed Update

1. Ready to Succeed Update An exploration of secondary and post-secondary educational outcomes for foster children in California The Ready to Succeed Project is supported by the Stuart Foundation K. Frerer, L. Sosenko, & N. Pellegrin Dec.10, 2009 1 1

2. Ready to Succeed: Overview of Presentation • Secure database linking process • Initial match statistics • Segment: • K-12, Community College, & University • County • Age at entry • Comparison group • Propensity score matching • Analysis plan • Revised time line 2 2

3. Ready to Succeed: Secure File Transfer Process CSSR CWS/ CMS • Flat File • Names • SSN • Dummy ID • Encrypted File • No Names • No SSN • Dummy ID CP CDSS Cal-PASS • Academic Records (Multiple Files) • FY • Non-FY Control Groups Cal-PASS FY File 3 3

4. Ready to Succeed: Initial Match Statistics- By Segment N= 101,659 N= 97,695 120,000 100,000 N= 66,166 80,000 N= 35,858 35% 60,000 40,000 N= 4,329 4% N= 365 >1% 20,000 0 Match No match Match No match Match No match K-12 Community College University

5. Match by Segment and County N=35,858 N=4,329 N=365 20 100% 71 11944 1520 80% San Diego 8304 144 60% San Bernardino 1351 Sacramento Fresno 40% 68 8292 130 1390 20% 7318 0% K-12 Community College University Ready to Succeed: Initial Match Statistics- By County

6. Mean Age at Entry by Match/No Match and Segment 11.09 10.76 12 8.09 10 Age at Entry 5.98 5.79 4.86 8 6 4 2 0 Match No Match Match No Match Match No Match K-12 Community College University Ready to Succeed: Initial Match Statistics- Age at Entry

7. Ready to Succeed: Propensity Score Matching Matching methods, such as propensity score matching (PSM) and full exact matching, reduces bias in the comparison group by achieving balance on observed covariates. For each foster youth a set of non-foster youth is selected with the same relevant characteristics. FY Students Non-FY Students 7 7

8. Ready to Succeed: Covariates Used for Matching K-12: school, ethnicity, gender, age, disability, home language, parent education, free/reduced lunch CC: school, ethnicity, gender, age, disability, three financial aid indicators: any aid, BOGG, Pell Grant, participation in Extended Opportunity Programs and Services (EOPS) UNIV: school, ethnicity, gender, age, enrollment status (transfer student, first-time freshman, … ) 8 8

9. Ready to Succeed: Size of Comparison Groups 9 9

10. Ready to Succeed: Report Approach, Analysis Plan Will include: ● Process description ● Match & no match statistics, by overall, segment, county, & various demographics ● Comparison group matching methodology Research Questions: Question 1: What are the secondary and post-secondary education and/or training outcomes for foster youth in California? Question 2: What factors facilitate or impede successful completion of secondary and post-secondary education and/or training for foster youth? Approach---Create age appropriate cohorts & separate by segment

11. Ready to Succeed: Analysis Plan Update Question 2: What are the post-secondary education outcomes for foster youth? What factors facilitate or impede successful completion of post-secondary education and/or training for foster youth? Question 1: What are the secondary education outcomes for foster youth in California? What factors facilitate or impede successful completion of secondary education? Foster children and comparison group H.S. diploma receipt/award type Award receipt/type Possible education -- ● CAHSEE scores, English/math ● CST scores, English/math grades ● AP classes/algebra 2 ● School quality/ school type ● School changes Possible education— ● Units attempted/completed ● Transferrable credits Child welfare— ● Removal reason ● Maltreatment type ●Age at entry ● Length of stay ● Exit type ● Entry vs. re-entry ● Primary placement type ● Placement changes

12. Ready to Succeed: Timeline Update 12 12