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EU Democrats Poll. RED Express - Methodology. 1,003 interviews were conducted by phone using a random digit dial sample to ensure all households, including ex-directory, are covered.
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RED Express - Methodology • 1,003 interviews were conducted by phone using a random digit dial sample to ensure all households, including ex-directory, are covered. • Half of the respondents were reached using a RDD (random digit dial) landline sample with the other half using an RDD mobile phone sample. This ensures we reach 98% of the population including mobile only households, landline only households and dual phone households. • Quotas are set and final data weighted to known profiles on age, gender, class region and phone type to ensure that the sample is representative of the total Irish population aged 18+. • Fieldwork conducted between 16th – 18th December 2013. • Sample profile as follows: • Throughout the presentation we have used the following notations: Higher than average Lower than average Gender Age Social Class Region Male 49% Female 51% 18-24 11% 25-34 21% 35-44 21% 45-54 17% 55-64 14% 65+ 16% ABC1 42% C2DE 52% F 6% Dublin 28% Rest of Leinster 26% Munster 28% Conn./Ulster 18%
Must Be Included In PR Piece: • RED C interviewed a random sample of 1,003 adults aged 18+ by telephone between the 16th-18th December 2013. • A random digit dial (RDD) method, using both mobile and landline numbers, was used to ensure a random selection process of households to be included – this also ensures that ex-directory and mobile only households are covered. • Interviews were conducted across the country and the results weighted to the profile of all adults, by gender, age social class and region. The margin of error on this sample size is +/- 3.2%.
Summary Of Main Findings: • Just under a third of the Irish public (33%) claim to be aware of the change in EU law making policy to be enacted in November 2014, that will see smaller countries receive a smaller share of votes. Awareness of the change is higher among men, older age groups and those in more upmarket social class groups. • There are relatively high levels of resistance among the Irish public (69%) to any suggestion of cuts to areas such as pay, welfare or pensions; if these were required by people in the Eurozone to ensure the continued existence of the euro currency. • However, this means that over a quarter of the population (27%) would still accept cuts to ensure the existence of the euro – with those in higher social classes and from Dublin suggesting a greater level of willingness to accept cuts. • The Irish public are polarised in terms how concerned they believe the ECB are with Irish interests. Those in Younger age groups and from more downmarket social groups are less likely to believe the ECB are concerned.
Awareness Of Change In EU Law Making Process in November 2014 (Base: All Adults 18+, - 1,003) Just 1 in 3 are aware of the change in EU law making process from November 2014. Those more likely to be aware include males, older age groups and those of a higher social class. Q.1 From November 2014 the voting process in EU law making will change. The change means that when voting on EU laws in the European Council, the number of votes each country holds will be directly related to the size of that country’s population. Meaning that the votes of countries with larger populations like Germany and France will increase while the votes of countries with smaller populations like Ireland will decrease. Were you aware of this before today? Yes No (Q.1)
Willingness To Accept Cuts In Order To Continue Existence Of Euro (Base: All Adults 18+, - 1,003) Almost 7 in 10 would not be willing to accept cuts in pay/pensions or welfare provisions. Those even more unlikely to accept a cut are lower social grades and those unemployed. However those in higher social classes and from Dublin suggesting a greater level of willingness to accept cuts. Q.3 If the continued existence of the euro required people in the Eurozone to accept cuts in pay, pensions or welfare provisions would you be willing to do so or not? Yes No Don‘t know Excluding Don‘t knows Yes – 28% No – 72% (Q.3)
European Central Banks Level Of Concern With Irish Interests (Base: All Adults 18+, - 1,003) The Irish public are polarised in terms how concerned they believe the ECB are with Irish interests. Those in Younger age groups and from more downmarket social groups are less likely to believe the ECB are concerned. Q.4 To what extent do you think that the European Central Bank (ECB), which issues and controls the euro, is concerned with Irish interests? Gender Age Class Total % Male % Female % 18-24 % 25-34 % 35-44 % 45-54 % 55-64 % 65+ % ABC1 % C2DE % F % Very concerned (4) Fairly concerned (3) Not very concerned (2) Not at all concerned (1) 2.45 2.51 2.38 2.32 2.42 2.47 2.56 2.42 2.43 2.51 2.36 2.71 Mean Score (Q.4)
European Central Banks Level Of Concern With Irish Interests (Base: All Adults 18+, - 1,003) Regionally there is little difference noted compared to total levels, again with almost a 50/50 split across region. Q.4 To what extent do you think that the European Central Bank (ECB), which issues and controls the euro, is concerned with Irish interests? Region Rest of Leinster % Conn./ Ulster % Total % Dublin % Munster % Very concerned (4) Fairly concerned (3) Not very concerned (2) Not at all concerned (1) 2.45 2.45 2.41 2.51 2.39 Mean Score (Q.4)