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IAFS 1000 Nuclear Proliferation

IAFS 1000 Nuclear Proliferation. Announcements. China Town Hall: 29 Oct 2012, 5:30pm, C4C, 3 rd floor, Abrams Lounge Ganguly and Kapur: link posted on course website, read for Wednesday. Nuclear Spread: Dirty Bombs. Earliest Incident of Radiological Terror: Moscow, 1995.

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IAFS 1000 Nuclear Proliferation

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  1. IAFS 1000Nuclear Proliferation

  2. Announcements • China Town Hall: 29 Oct 2012, 5:30pm, C4C, 3rd floor, Abrams Lounge • Ganguly and Kapur: link posted on course website, read for Wednesday

  3. Nuclear Spread: Dirty Bombs Earliest Incident of Radiological Terror: Moscow, 1995 http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/dirtybomb/chrono.html

  4. Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) • 1970: Entered into force • 1995: Indefinitely extended • 2010: Reviewed and extended til 2015 • Non-parties: India, Pakistan, Israel, and North Korea

  5. NPT Obligations • Limits on transfer of nuclear weapons/info by nuclear weapon states (NWS) • Limits on acquisition of nuclear weapons by non-nuclear weapon states (NNWS) • NNWS’ peaceful nuclear material under Intl Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) safeguards • Exchange of info on peaceful use • Disarmament

  6. State Proliferation • Iran • North Korea • South Africa: unique in giving up its nuclear arsenal

  7. Nuclear Proliferation is aGood Thing • Deterrence leads to stability • More nukes means less nuclear blackmail • More nukes means first strike fears are minimized (playing field is level)

  8. http://newsimg.bbc.co.uk/media/images/45635000/gif/_45635639_world_nuc_warhds_466.gifhttp://newsimg.bbc.co.uk/media/images/45635000/gif/_45635639_world_nuc_warhds_466.gif

  9. Nuclear Proliferation is aGood Thing (cont) • Protection against US military hegemony • Basic fairness, prestige • NPT unjust and ineffective

  10. States that Began to Develop Nuclear Programs Indonesia Argentina Brazil South Africa Sweden Australia

  11. North Korea • 1993: First announced withdrawal from NPT • 1994: Withdrew from IAEA • 2003: Finally withdrew from NPT • NPT membership a boon to proliferation?

  12. Nuclear Proliferation is aGood Thing (cont) • Acknowledges reality that we lack effective controls • Tactical nukes erode nuclear taboo anyway • Real danger posed by non-state groups

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