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Mississippi River Bridge An Analysis of Alternatives

Mississippi River Bridge An Analysis of Alternatives. Expert Panel Review. Sharon Greene & Associates. Agenda. Purpose and Need for New Bridge Existing Conditions Definition of Alternatives Comparison of Alternatives. Purpose of Project.

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Mississippi River Bridge An Analysis of Alternatives

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  1. Mississippi River BridgeAn Analysis of Alternatives Expert Panel Review Sharon Greene & Associates

  2. Agenda • Purpose and Need for New Bridge • Existing Conditions • Definition of Alternatives • Comparison of Alternatives

  3. Purpose of Project “The purpose of the proposed action is to relieve increasingly severe traffic congestion and reduce traffic crashes on downtown St. Louis-area Mississippi River crossings, especially on the Poplar Street Bridge (I-55/70/64), thereby avoiding economic stagnation at the core of the region.” Source: Mississippi River Crossing: Relocated I-70 and I-64 Connector, Final Environmental Impact Statement, March 2001.

  4. Need for Project • Improve travel capacity and travel efficiency • Improve system linkages and community access • Reduce traffic crashes • Reduce travel times • Avoid economic stagnation Source: Mississippi River Crossing: Relocated I-70 and I-64 Connector, Final Environmental Impact Statement, March 2001.

  5. Existing Downtown Crossings McKinley Bridge ML King Bridge Eads Bridge Poplar Street Bridge

  6. Existing Conditions: Daily Crossings Source: Mississippi River Crossings: Average Daily Traffic History, Illinois Department of Transportation.

  7. Existing Conditions:Downtown AM Peak Westbound Destinations 3,877 (35%) 1,762 (16%) 10,964 TotalPeak Hour Trips CBD I-70 Mississippi River 3,847 (35%) I-64 I-55 Source: Mississippi River Crossings: Overview of Travel Patterns, East-West Council of Governments, September 2005. N 1,478 (13%)

  8. Existing Conditions:Poplar AM Peak Westbound Destinations 979 (14%) CBD 463 (7%) 6,767 TotalPeak Hour Trips I-70 Mississippi River 3,847 (57%) I-64 Poplar I-55 Source: Mississippi River Crossings: Overview of Travel Patterns, East-West Council of Governments, September 2005. N 1,478 (22%)

  9. Existing Conditions:All Downtown Crossings by Vehicle TypeAM Peak, Westbound Destinations Source: Special Traffic Counts, East-West Council of Governments, December 2006.

  10. Existing Conditions:Poplar Street Crossings by Vehicle TypeAM Peak, Westbound Destinations Source: Mississippi River Crossings: Overview of Travel Patterns, East-West Council of Governments, September 2005.

  11. Existing Conditions:Poplar Street Crossings by Vehicle Type: Off-Peak OnlyWest bound Destinations Source: Mississippi River Crossings: Overview of Travel Patterns, East-West Council of Governments, September 2005.

  12. Alternatives Under Consideration McKinley Bridge Proposed IL-3 Proposed MRB Proposed I-64 Proposed Coupler Bridge ML King Bridge Eads Bridge Poplar Street Bridge

  13. MRB: No Connections • Landside Improvements: None • Capital Cost Estimate: $999.2M (YOE) • Proposed Schedule: 2009-2014 • NEPA Status: ROD proposed 2007 • Potential Committed Funding: • SAFETEA-LU Earmarks: $239M • Additional IDOT Funding: $210M • Tolling Considered: Yes Proposed MRB

  14. MRB: With I-64 Connector • Landside Improvements: I-64 Connection • Capital Cost Estimate: $1,561.5M (YOE) • Proposed Schedule: 2009-2014 • NEPA Status: ROD proposed 2007 • Potential Committed Funding: • SAFETEA-LU Earmarks: $239M • Additional IDOT Funding: $210M • Tolling Considered: Yes Proposed MRB Proposed I-64

  15. MRB: With I-64 and IL-3 Connections • Landside Improvements: I-64 Connection and IL-3 Connection • Capital Cost Estimate: $1,762.5M (YOE) • Proposed Schedule:2009-2014 • NEPA Status:ROD proposed 2007 • Potential Committed Funding: • SAFETEA-LU Earmarks: $239M • Additional IDOT Funding: $210M • Tolling Considered: Yes Proposed IL-3 Proposed MRB Proposed I-64

  16. MLK Coupler Bridge • Landside Improvements: None • Capital Cost Estimate: $545.9M (YOE) • Proposed Schedule: 2012-2014 • NEPA Status: Not Analyzed • Potential Committed Funding: • SAFETEA-LU Earmarks: $239M • Additional IDOT Funding: $210M • Tolling Considered: No Proposed Coupler Bridge

  17. Comparison of Alternatives • Congestion Reduction • Network Connectivity • Travel Time Savings • Regional Economic Development Impacts • Potential for Revenue Generation

  18. Congestion Reduction:2020 Traffic Volume Comparison 391,378 392,079 391,828 391,232 391,346 391,254 391,220 381,755 371,705 246,400 246,248 242,625 234,238 233,609 230,861 230,135 232,368 214,358 Source: East-West Gateway Council of Government Travel Demand Model Run

  19. Congestion Reduction:2020 Traffic Volume Comparison Source: East-West Gateway Council of Government Travel Demand Model Run

  20. Congestion Reduction:2020 AM Westbound Volume to Capacity (V/C) Ratio Source: East-West Gateway Council of Government Travel Demand Model Run

  21. Congestion Reduction:2020 PM Eastbound Volume to Capacity (V/C) Ratio Source: East-West Gateway Council of Government Travel Demand Model Run

  22. Travel Patterns MRB: All Connections

  23. Internal/External Trips Analysis:New MRB Source: East-West Gateway Council of Government Travel Demand Model Run

  24. Internal/External Trips Analysis:Poplar Street Bridge Source: East-West Gateway Council of Government Travel Demand Model Run

  25. Internal/External Trips Analysis:Change on Poplar Street Bridge Source: East-West Gateway Council of Government Travel Demand Model Run

  26. Annual Travel Time Savings:All Bridges Source: East-West Gateway Council of Government Travel Demand Model Run

  27. Average Travel Time for AM Westbound Trips:Poplar, New MRB, and MLK Bridges Source: East-West Gateway Council of Government Travel Demand Model Run

  28. Average Travel Time Between Key Origins and Destinations

  29. Average Travel Time Savings Source: East-West Gateway Council of Government Travel Demand Model Run

  30. Average Travel Time Savings Source: East-West Gateway Council of Government Travel Demand Model Run

  31. Average Travel Time Savings Source: East-West Gateway Council of Government Travel Demand Model Run

  32. Average Travel Time Savings Source: East-West Gateway Council of Government Travel Demand Model Run

  33. Regional Economic Development Impacts • Little definitive data is available • Business community forecasts show positive impacts in qualitative terms • Changes in the rate of growth and traffic within the region over the last 10 years raises issues related to economic growth: • Will a new bridge spur new net growth, and hence contribute positively to the region’s economy? • Will the absence of a new bridge hinder potential growth with an inherent negative impacts on the region’s economy?

  34. Potential Toll Revenue Generation • Toll Diversion Rates • Assumptions • Potential Revenue Generation • Potential Funding Scenario

  35. Estimated Toll Diversion Rates:Travel Demand Model Results Source: East-West Gateway Council of Government Travel Demand Model Run

  36. Potential Toll Bond Revenue Generation: Assumptions • Weekend traffic levels: 0.5 * weekday levels • Annualization Factors • Weekday: 250 • Weekend: 115 • Toll Rate Scenarios: • $1 Auto / $3 Truck • $2 Auto / $4 Truck • Annual O&M Cost:10% of Annual Toll Revenue • Debt Coverage Level: 1.4 • Bond Amortization: 30 years @ 5.75%

  37. Potential Toll Bond Revenue Generation Estimate:Travel Demand Model Results (in millions)

  38. Potential Funding Scenarios:Travel Demand Model Results

  39. Potential Funding Scenarios:Travel Demand Model Results

  40. Potential Toll Bond Revenue Generation: Additional Consultant Assumption • $1 Auto / $3 Truck Diversion Rate = 50% • $2 Auto / $4 Truck Diversion Rate = 70%

  41. Potential Toll Bond Revenue Generation Estimate:Consultant Assumption (in millions)

  42. Potential Funding Scenarios:Consultant Assumptions

  43. Potential Funding Scenarios:Consultant Assumptions

  44. Questions?

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