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Investing in China What we should know in this fast growing market. Pension fund asset allocation 10 years ago. Assets Pension funds consider now. Development of China. Shenzhen - 30 years ago. Development of China. Shenzhen - Now. Development of China. 20 years ago.
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Investing in ChinaWhat we should know in this fast growing market
Development of China Shenzhen - 30 years ago
Development of China Shenzhen - Now
Development of China 20 years ago
Stock Market Performance Financial Crisis Collapse Recent Underperformance Strong Growth Post Crisis Recovery
Opportunities I skate to where the puck is going to be, not where it has been. Wayne Gretzky
OpportunitiesHealthcare Percentage of Order Adults (Age 65+) in China • Far less mature industry than developed countries • Demographic change and aging population • Rising income and affordability • Healthcare reform • Healthcare awareness
OpportunitiesEnvironmental Protection • Serious environmental degradation driven by economic development • Strong government support • Clean China over the next 5 years • Higher desire for clean energy
OpportunitiesTechnology • Government Investment: Biotech, energy saving, environmental protection, high-end manufacturing • Internet Penetration
Technological Change “Internet will change people’s life” 1999 Jack Ma – Founder of Alibaba Group
Technological Change 1 – Eliminating steps “take a human desire, preferably one that has been around for a really long time. Identify that desire and use modern technology to take out steps.” Evan Williams – Co-Founder of Twitter
Technological Change 1 – Eliminating steps
Technological Change 1 – Eliminating steps
Technological Change 1 – Eliminating steps
Technological Change 2– Cross Sector Competition Who stole my cheese??
Technological Change 3– Recognition of Intangible Assets Patents Intellectual property Intangibles Brand Tangibles New Technology Data Goodwill CAPITAL LAND User Platform Human Capital Customer Base MACHINERY LABOUR 25
Technological Change 4– Innovate or Die
Technological Change 4– Innovate or Die Mobile Payment Platform Apps for taxi/flight booking Mobile Social Media Mobile IM Wechat Launched QQ Mobile App, Expand Value Added Services Webmail QQ Blog QQ Online Game
Technological Change 5 – Distinction and uniqueness, not just scale Customer First Team Work Integrity Embrace Change Passion Commitment
Technological Change 5 – Distinction and uniqueness, not just scale
Limitation and Risk • Less capacity to access the market for foreign investors • Lack of transparency • Lack of using derivatives for hedging and portfolio replication • Demographic shift • Political risk • Increased concerns of credit growth • Property bubble • Perceived slowdown in growth
Summary • Fast growing market • More open to the world • Opportunities include • Health Care • Environmental Protection • Technology • Technological Change • Positive to technology sector and those which use technology in the right way • Winners • Meet human desire (take out steps) • Innovate • Monetise intangible assets • Unique and distinct market position • Negative Impact • Some traditional sectors, e.g. retailers, sales agents, intermediaries • Business impacted by cross-sector competition