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Southeast Michigan Council of Governments. Housing in Southeast Michigan Understanding needs, trends, challenges, & opportunities. Kevin Vettraino, SEMCOG Regional Housing Strategy Task Force September 29, 2011. Understanding the region. Our population is shrinking
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Housing in Southeast MichiganUnderstanding needs, trends, challenges, & opportunities Kevin Vettraino, SEMCOG Regional Housing Strategy Task Force September 29, 2011
Understanding the region • Our population is shrinking • More of our housing is vacant • Our residents are aging • We are becoming more diverse • Our housing value & income have declined
Population growth in suburbs, decline in central cities Population change, 2000-2010 by Census Tract Large decrease (loss>1,500) Decrease (loss bet.301 to 1,500) Little change (loss of 300 to gain of 300) Increase (gain bet. 301 to 1,500) Large increase (gain >1,500)
Change in vacant units, 2000-2010 by Census Tract Decrease Increase of 1 to 50 units Increase of 51 to 100 units Increase of more than 100 units Growing number of vacant units
Our density remains tied to central cities Persons per Acre by Census Block Group, 2010 Less than 2.0 2.0 to 4.9 5.0 to 9.9 10.0 to 15.0 More than 15.0
Density patterns are changing Change in Persons per Acre by Census Block Group Increase (More than 2.0 Gain) Slight Increase (1.1 to 2.0) Little Change (-1.0 to 1.0) Decrease (-1.1 to -5.0) Large Decrease (More than 5.0 Loss)
Our residents continue to age Population by age group, 2000 and 2010 2010 2000 Baby boomers in 2000 Baby boomers in 2010
Senior Population, 2010by community Percent population Aged 65 or older 5% to 10% 10.1% to 13% Regionalaverage:13% 13.1% to 15% 15.1% to 18% 18.1% to 45%
Most communities getting older,Younger communities more so Percent point change in Population aged 65 or older 2000-2010 Decrease greater than 5 Decrease of 0 to 5 Increase of 0.1 to 2.5 Increase of 2.6 to 5 Increase greater than 5 Regional change: 1.2
Our region is getting diverse Largest Gain in Race/Ethnic Population by Block Group, 2000-2010 Asian Black Hispanic White Loss among all Races
Our shared outcomes Access to Jobs, Markets, Services, and Amenities Reliable, Quality Infrastructure Desirable Communities Economic Prosperity Healthy Attractive Environmental Assets Fiscally Sustainable Public Services
Regional Housing Strategy for Southeast Michigan • Regional Housing Needs Assessment • Neighborhood Resilience Strategy
Regional Housing Assessment Inventory & analysis of current housing trends, challenges, and opportunities • Supply of housing by tenure & type • Alignment (location efficiency) of housing with: • Infrastructure (transportation, amenities, etc) • Employment centers and jobs • Services • Other… • Housing affordability assessment • Other…
Community & Market Specific analysis: City of Southfield Population density, 2010 Persons per Acre by Census Block Less than 2.0 Not populated 2.0 to 4.9 5.0 to 9.9 10.0 to 15.0 More than 15.0
Residential Vacancy Rate by Census Block Less than 5% 5.0 to 9.9% 10.0 to 19.9% 20.0 to 50.0% More than 50.0% Community & Market Specific analysis: City of Southfield Residential vacancy rate, 2010
Community & Market Specific analysis: City of Southfield Neighborhood Stability by Census Block Improving & growing Improving Growing No change to slight decline Larger decline
Neighborhood Resilience Strategy Market specific strategies • Housing needs differ throughout the region • Solutions must be market-specific • Exp: A neighborhood with high vacancy & deteriorating maintenance faces different challenges than a neighborhood with growing demand, but which is inaccessible to jobs & employment opportunities
Impact of a Regional Housing Strategy • How can a regional housing strategy assist my community/organization • Local government planning • Development of a Consolidated Plan or an Analysis of Impediments to Fair Housing… • Future grant proposals/applications • Identification of needs & assessment of priorities… • Analysis of regional best practices • Market-specific strategies • Others…
Defining our housing challenges & opportunities • What is the challenge? • Exp: Declining housing value • What is the needed data? • Exp: Assessment data… change in taxable value… median housing value/rent • Is this a regional or sub-regional issue? • Exp: Both – regional-wide declines, but strategies may defer depending on geography • What are the proposed strategic solutions? • Exp: Increase property maintenance – rationalize code enforcement… incentivize rehabilitation & upgrading • Exp: Create/utilize land bank authority
Prioritization of Actions • What are the “universal” or core challenges facing the region? • What are the major opportunities? • What are the steps needed to address these challenges and emphasize these opportunities • What is required for the next meeting & for moving this task force forward?
Impact of a Regional Housing Strategy • How can a regional housing strategy assist my community/organization • Local government planning • Development of a Consolidated Plan or an Analysis of Impediments to Fair Housing… • Future grant proposals/applications • Identification of needs & assessment of priorities… • Analysis of regional best practices • Market-specific strategies • Others…