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The Dynamic North American Meat and Livestock Market

The Dynamic North American Meat and Livestock Market. Leland Southard Midwest/Great Plains/Western Outlook Conference Indianapolis, Indiana August 14, 2003. North American Markets. Background Beef/Cattle Pork/Hogs Poultry Issues Problems . Background World Trade Liberalization

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The Dynamic North American Meat and Livestock Market

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  1. The Dynamic North American Meat and Livestock Market Leland Southard Midwest/Great Plains/Western Outlook Conference Indianapolis, Indiana August 14, 2003

  2. North American Markets • Background • Beef/Cattle • Pork/Hogs • Poultry • Issues • Problems

  3. Background • World Trade Liberalization • Expanding World Meat Trade • Changing North American Policies • Country Comparative Advantage • North American Free Trade Agreement • Restricted Northwest Feeder Project • Lingering Issues

  4. Population

  5. Beef and Veal Production*Pre-BSE Expectations

  6. Beef Exports as Percentage of Production

  7. Beef Imports as a Percentage of Consumption

  8. Major Exporter‘s Share of U.S. Beef Imports

  9. Major Importer’s Share of U.S. Beef Exports

  10. Cattle Exports to United States

  11. U.S. Cattle Exports

  12. Pork Production

  13. Pork Exports as a Percentage of Production

  14. Major Importer’s Share of U.S. Pork Exports

  15. Exporter’s Share of Mexican Pork Imports (Source: USDA-FAS)

  16. Importer’s Market Share of U.S. Pork Imports

  17. Hog Exports to United States

  18. Broiler Trade • Export Share to Mexico-----6-7 percent • Tariffs on poultry parts contentious with Mexico • Export share to Canada-----3-5 percent • Quebec poultry industry insists on protection from U.S. market • Source: USDA-ERS

  19. Importer’s Share of U.S.Turkey Exports

  20. Importer’s Share of U.S. Shell Egg Exports

  21. Confirmed Disease Problems • United States • Exotic Newcastle Disease • Avian Influenza • Mexico • Classical Swine Fever • Tuberculosis • Exotic Newcastle Disease • Canada • BSE

  22. Conclusions • North American Meat and Livestock Markets are integrated. • Market shares are significant enough that events in one country affect markets in the other countries. • Trade issues should be viewed in a North American context. • Diseases and domestic industry protection issues will continue to shadow the markets.

  23. Contact us • www.ers.usda.gov/publications/outlookreports • southard@ers.usda.gov

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