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Fundamentals. The Seasons for Growing. Reap What You Sow. THE 5 BASIC INSTITUTIONS. Providing The Instruments. Order. GOV. Goods and Services. MARKETPLACE. SCHOOL. Forming The Person. Learning. CHURCH. Orientation In Life. FAMILY. The Person.
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THE 5 BASIC INSTITUTIONS Providing The Instruments Order GOV. Goods and Services MARKETPLACE SCHOOL Forming The Person Learning CHURCH Orientation In Life FAMILY The Person
Economic Growth & Production Human Contribution • Population size (fertility) • Human Capital (all skills) • Technology Physical Contribution • Capital (1% … always there …always)
Decreasing Human Contribution to GDP Growth
THE 5 BASIC INSTITUTIONS Providing The Instruments Order GOV. Goods and Services MARKETPLACE SCHOOL Forming The Person Learning CHURCH Orientation In Life FAMILY The Person
Education ( SCHOOL )
MEDIAN LIFETIME EARNINGS Source: http://www9.georgetown.edu/grad/gppi/hpi/cew/pdfs/collegepayoff-complete.pdfp. P. 3
Marriage Belonging vs Rejection
GPA English/Math by Family Structure Source: Adolescent Health Survey, Wave I. Adolescents grade 7-12. 2.90 2.9 2.80 2.70 2.6 Average GPA Enligsh/Math Combined 2.6 2.6 2.60 2.5 2.5 2.50 2.40 2.30 INTACT STEP COHABIT (BOTH COHABIT (ONE DIVORCED NEVER MARRIED NATURAL) NATURAL)
Source Antovics, K. & Town, R. Am Econ Review V 94, (2004) pp 317-321 $127 140 Marriage Premium in Male Income $100 120 100 80 Comparative Income % $27 60 + = 40 20 0 Average Unmarried Male Premium Average Married Male
US Total (Males) 1982-2010% “Unskilled” Not Working: single Cohab Married Married single Cohab
US Total (Males) “Not Working” Professional Class Unemployed single Cohab Married Fraction of Occupation Class Married single Cohab
Retreat from Marriage: Black Men (25-54)by Education Level 1970-2010)
Retreat from Marriage:Black Men (25-54)Unemployment DifferentialsMarriage (Red)andnon-Marriage (blue)
Growth in Productivity: Down MARRIED DIVORCED SINGLE
Number of Non-Marital Sexual Partners: Percent in an Always Intact Marriage Source: NSFG 1995
Male Employment 1962-2010Males aged 25-54; Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPS)
Worship of God ( Religion)
MEDIAN LIFETIME EARNINGS Source: http://www9.georgetown.edu/grad/gppi/hpi/cew/pdfs/collegepayoff-complete.pdfp. P. 3
GPA English/Math by Family Structure Source: Adolescent Health Survey, Wave I. Adolescents grade 7-12. 2.90 2.9 2.80 2.70 2.6 Average GPA Enligsh/Math Combined 2.6 2.6 2.60 2.5 2.5 2.50 2.40 2.30 INTACT STEP COHABIT (BOTH COHABIT (ONE DIVORCED NEVER MARRIED NATURAL) NATURAL)
Source: Adolescent Health Survey, Wave I. Adolescents grade 7-12. GPA (English & Math) by Religious Practice 2.90 2.9 2.85 2.80 2.8 2.75 2.70 2.7 Average GPA Enligsh/Math Combined 2.65 2.6 2.60 2.55 2.50 2.45 MONTHLY+ WEEKLY+ WEEKLY+ <LESS THAN MONTHLY NEVER
Economic Growth + Production Human Contribution • Population size • Human Capital (all skills) • Technology Physical Contribution • Capital (1% … always there …always)
Economic Activity is driven by the Human Capital of the • Working Head of Household. • Economic growth of the future is decided by the Human Capital Formation of the next generation in the household. • The child is the economic agent of the future.
Who Says? Nobel Laureates: • Edward Prescott (2004) • Business cycle macroeconomics • George Akerlof (2001) • Keynesian market economics • James Heckman (2000) • Econometric theory of samples • Robert Lucas (1995) • Macro growth theory of expectations • Gary Becker (1992) • Neoclassical liberal micro econ behav.
THE 5 BASIC INSTITUTIONS Providing The Instruments Order GOV. Goods and Services MARKETPLACE SCHOOL Forming The Person Learning CHURCH Orientation In Life FAMILY The Person