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Annual Implementation Reports (AIR) 2012 - Progress and Evaluation

This report provides an overview of the Annual Implementation Reports (AIR) process, tracking inputs, measuring outputs through core indicators, and evaluation and conclusions. It focuses on the 2012 AIR process for ERDF, which is still incomplete as of November 27, 2013. The report also discusses project selection trends, core indicators for measuring outputs, and the evaluation work program.

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Annual Implementation Reports (AIR) 2012 - Progress and Evaluation

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  1. Annual Implementation.Reports (AIR) 2012A progress report on 6 years of activity DG REGIO B2-European Semester & Evaluation

  2. Outline • Annual Implementation Reports (AIR) process • Categorisation - Tracking the inputs • Core Indicators – measuring the outputs • Evaluation / conclusions

  3. 1. 2012 AIR process (ERDF)… still incomplete (@27/11/2013)…

  4. 2012 AIR process (ERDF)still incomplete 27/11/2013 (@14/10/2013)… ApprovingAIRs …. a slow process …. • 202 (153) – Accepted 82% • 16 (37) - With DG REGIO • 28 (56) - With MA (Interrupted or rejected) Not all interruptions are linked to data. Statsexclude ESF and ETC programmes.

  5. 2. Project Selectionannual trends

  6. Project selection – 2011-2012

  7. Project selection – 2011-2012 Main Messages • 83.9% of total volume allocated to projectsseems to low • Varies from 68% to over 100% • Static or very slow progress in many MS • Strongprogress in others – IT- BG Still data reliability issues • Over programming in some programmes • Mis-allocations … manycorrected(2.6 bnin 1 programme !!)

  8. Turning project selection to spending … (2012 vs 2012/2013 spend)

  9. Turning project selection to spending … (2012 vs 2012/2013 spend) • Project selection is not a guarantee of spending • Some projects naturally take longer to mature and spend • … but capacity is a real problem in many important programmes • Co-financing • Administrative and techncial capacity • Beneficiaries • N+2/3 is looming

  10. Project selection by major theme – relative progress

  11. Project selection by major theme –progress in Mn €

  12. Project selection by major theme • At this aggregate level differences between rates of project selection are reducing • Still several sectors are clearly behindEnergy – Rail - TA/ Capacity building • Others are well ahead of average:Social Infrastructure – Tourism culture – Generic Business Support • … over programming growing

  13. 3. Core Indicators - measuring outputsERDF/CF • Plausibility check by REGIO 84% of OPsjudged as reportingplausibly • Followed by manual corrections & analysis @14/10/2013 and @27/11/2013 Key weaknesses: • CoreIndicators not collected/usedwhen relevant • Inconsistentdefinitions and practices (Jobs, Km road, rail – REGIO excludingfurtherwork on someindicators) • Reportingcontracted not completed • Units of measure (MW, Km, Km², ...) • Quality control in OPs or Nationally

  14. Job creation – 593,590

  15. Job creation (#01/06/09/35) Strengths and weaknesses : • See Expert Evaluation report on your country: http://ec.europa.eu/regional_policy/information/evaluations/index_en.cfm#1 • Some important definitional issues (See WP#7 of 2009) correctedin 2012 DATA … • SomeOPs report … • Jobs not relevant for supports delivered • Variable reporting • All jobs under #01 – Total Job creation – with no breakdown of RTD/ SME/ Tourism • SomeOPsonly report under #06/09/35

  16. KM of new TEN-T Roads

  17. Waste Water – Add. Pop. served

  18. Education Interventions: Source data8.8 bn€ 17 900 projects(excl. IT= 6 200 @ average 1.3 m€ each)

  19. Education InterventionsSelected (code 75) vs N° projects (CI 36)

  20. 4. Evaluation work programme Expert network 2007-2013 • 2012 Synthesis report • 2012 Job creation reports • 2013 Synthesis report (forthcoming) Ex-Post 2007-2013 • Work Package "zero" alreadysigned • All other packages launchedbeforesummer 2014 – Deadline 2015

  21. Conclusions • Progress slow on project selection … growing absorption concerns • Outputs growing steadily as projects are completed – but uneven reporting • … more still to do !!! • We will publish the data files on INFOREGIO next week (Also studying OPENDATA options for 2014) • 2013 AIR data will need to be some of the most complete and important data generated on CP; • … as it will be the basis for ex-post 2007-2013 • … and will shape the impact assessment post-2020.

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