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Convention on Long-range Trans-boundary Air Pollution. Task Force on Integrated Assessment Modelling 31st meeting 8-9 December 2005, Gothenburg, Sweden Matti Johansson secretary to the Working Group on Effects – and TFIAM United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE).
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Convention on Long-range Trans-boundary Air Pollution Task Force on Integrated Assessment Modelling 31st meeting 8-9 December 2005, Gothenburg, Sweden Matti Johansson secretary to the Working Group on Effects – and TFIAM United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE) UNITED NATIONS ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR EUROPE
Kara Sea Barents Sea Kara Sea Barents Sea Artic Ocean Artic Ocean Canada Canada Iceland Pacific Ocean Iceland Finland of America Pacific Ocean North Sea United States of America Finland Atlantic Ocean North Sea Norway Sweden Atlantic Ocean Russian Federation Estonia Norway Sweden Russian Federation Estonia Latvia Lithuania Denmark Latvia Lithuania Denmark Ireland Belarus United Poland Ireland Kingdom Netherlands Belarus United Poland Germany Kingdom Netherlands Belgium Ukraine Czech Rep. Germany Belgium Kazakhstan Luxembourg Slovakia Ukraine Czech Rep. Austria Luxembourg Slovakia Hungary Moldova France Liechtenstein Austria Switzerland Aral Hungary Moldova Atlantic Ocean Slovenia France Liechtenstein Romania Switzerland Sea Aral Croatia Atlantic Ocean Slovenia Romania Sea Bosnia and Croatia Yugoslavia Monaco Herzegovina Black Sea Bosnia and Kyrgyzstan Caspian Bulgaria Serbia and Montenegro Monaco Herzegovina Georgia Black Sea Kyrgyzstan Caspian Sea Bulgaria F.Y.R.of Italy Georgia Sea Albania Macedonia F.Y.R.of Italy Azerbaijan Albania Macedonia Armenia Spain Armenia Spain Greece Turkey Portugal Greece Turkey Portugal Malta Malta Cyprus Mediterranean Sea Cyprus Mediterranean Sea 49 Parties to the Convention UNITED NATIONS ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR EUROPE
The Protocols • Increase ambition levels stepwise • Implementation of and compliance with Protocols in force • 1985 and 1994 Sulphur Protocols • 1988 NOx Protocol • 1991 VOC Protocol • 1998 Heavy Metals Protocol • 1998 POP Protocol • 1999 Gothenburg Protocol • multi-pollutant multi-effect • review process expected to be initiated by EB in December
Draft conclusions from effects workshops in 2005 • Dynamic N processes; Brighton, UK • several biogeochemical models for various uses • empirical and mechanistic biodiversity impacts • Ozone; Obergurgl, A • recommends ozone flux method for ecosystems • no thresholds • for (semi-)natural concentration (AOT) at this stage • generic/model species for risk assessment in IAM • Nitrogen cascades; Braunschweig, G • state of knowledge on links and pathways • separation of NO3 and NH4
Working Group on Effects, 2005 • Effects-based emission reduction strategies • New [draft] long-term strategy • New critical and target loads • acidification (CL, TL) • eutrophication (CL) • heavy metals (CL; Pb, Cd, Hg) • Cooperation between CCE and CIAM • Importance of the EECCA region (Eastern Europe, the Caucasus and Central Asia)
Topical issues • Expected 1999 Gothenburg Protocol review • role of particulate matter (PM) • harmonized land use data • Improved emission and abatement data • uncertainties with primary PM • New information on effects • dynamics of acidification (recovery process) • ozone flux approach • biodiversity • Awareness of CAFE/NECD process