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Comparison of CAMx and CMAQ PM2.5 Source Apportionment Estimates. Kirk Baker and Brian Timin U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC Presented at the 2008 CMAS Conference. Background.
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Comparison of CAMx and CMAQ PM2.5Source Apportionment Estimates Kirk Baker and Brian Timin U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC Presented at the 2008 CMAS Conference
Background • Photochemical model source apportionment is a useful tool to efficiently characterize source contribution to PM2.5 • Implemented particulate source apportionment in CMAQv4.6 • Compared the source apportionment results with other model system: CAMx • Existing inputs developed for Milwaukee pilot project used for comparison of source apportionment results
PPTM & PSAT • The Particle and Precursor Tagging Methodology (PPTM) has been implemented in CMAQ v4.6 • Particulate Source Apportionment Technology (PSAT) has been implemented in CAMx v4.5 • Tracks contribution to mercury and PM sulfate, nitrate, ammonium, secondary organic aerosol, and inert species • Estimates contributions from emissions source groups, emissions source regions, and initial and boundary conditions to PM2.5 by adding duplicate model species for each contributing source • These duplicate model species (tags) have the same properties and experience the same atmospheric processes as the bulk chemical species • The tagged species are calculated using the regular model solver for processes like dry deposition and advection as bulk species • Non-linear processes like gas and aqueous phase chemistry are solved for bulk species and then apportioned to the tagged species
CAMx v4.5 and CMAQ v4.6 12 km modeling domain 4 months in 2002: Jan, Apr, Jul, Oct Evaluating 24-hr average contributions from 11 source regions, the rest of the modeling domain, & boundary conditions Emissions processed separately for each source region PM2.5 Source Apportionment Modeling for Milwaukee Pilot Project
Source Regions Region 12 – All non-tagged areas in domain Region 13 – Boundary conditions
Daily 24-hr PM predictions at Milwaukee (550790026) and Waukesha (551330027) county STN monitors over all modeled days Model-Model estimates shown at right CMAQ tends to predict more nitrate than CAMx Model Performance
Model Performance CMAQ CAMx
Contribution Estimation • Evaluated contribution at Milwaukee (5) and Waukesha (1) monitors • PM2.5 = SO4+NO3+NH4+POC+EC • Examined 1) top 10% days, 2) average over all days, and 3) compared daily estimates • Days included in top 10% analysis: Q1=6, Q2=6, Q3=0, Q4=3 • Contribution from 11 source regions (counties), ICBC, all other non-tagged sources • Did not track SOA due to low model estimations and resource constraints
24-hr Avg Total PM2.5 Contribution Estimation: Top 10% Days CMAQ CAMx
4-month average total PM2.5 contributions from source areas 1-6 CAMx Region = 1 2 3 4 5 6 CMAQ
4-month average total PM2.5 contributions from source areas 7-11 CAMx Region = 7 8 9 10 11 CMAQ
Remarks • CMAQ estimates more nitrate and as a result estimates larger nitrate contributions • CMAQ seems to estimate larger local contributions from primarily emitted species • Spatial extent of average contributions similar between models • Average contributions over high model days very similar at the Milwaukee/Waukesha monitors • Initial contributions drop out of model after 5-7 days • Would like to compare with CMAQ-DDM for future work
Acknowledgements • Tom Braverman, US EPA • ICF International (Sharon Douglas and Tom Myers)
JAN APR JUL OCT Kenosha County 24-hr max contribution Sulfate Nitrate Primary OC