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Case Study: Options for a Middle-Market Bankruptcy & Restructuring. Presented by The Turnaround Management Association Southern California Chapter October 26th, 2010 Anderson School of Management. The Cast. Patrick – Kick off. Case Objectives: To illustrate the turnaround process.
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Case Study:Options for a Middle-Market Bankruptcy & Restructuring Presented by The Turnaround Management Association Southern California Chapter October 26th, 2010 Anderson School of Management
Case Objectives: To illustrate the turnaround process • What a turnaround involves • Who influences the outcome of a turnaround • Highlight the different roles necessary to effect a turnaround including • Credit Risk Management • Operational Evaluation/Change Implementation a.k.a. turnaround consulting • Financial Advisory/Restructuring • Legal • Financing • Give you a basic sense of the what to expect should your company find itself in distress • Value of avoiding a bankruptcy by effective management
A Turnaround - in 3 Acts ACT I : Making Trouble (2004-2007) ACT II: Dealing with Trouble (2007-2009) ACT III: The Turnaround (TBD)
Making Trouble: 2004-2007 The Entrepreneur/CEO – • His company, Accuride was in business since 1986, • Went public in 2005. • Accuride summary: • Automotive industry supplier • Wheels, • Chassis & suspension components • Trucks, commercial vehicles • Sales tightly coupled to auto industry sales • And then they over-expanded and the market turned on them.
2008 Revenue by End Market Heavy-Duty Truck (Class 8) Heavy Conventional Tandem-Axle Van Transit Bus Medium-Duty Truck (Class 5-7) Walk-In Van Medium Conventional School Bus 2008 Revenue by Product Line Recreational Vehicle Single-Axle Van Stake Truck Trailer Van Flat Bed Tanker Light Truck (Class 3-4) 8
Expansion & Decline Income Statement Debt increased from $488MM to $698MM
Income Statement – Key Details2006 – a “good year” Cost improvement opportunities are buried here
Buried Opportunities • 23 separate manufacturing plants, each with its large fixed/indirect cost structure. 4,661,000 sq ft. • Common process types – foundry, forging, machining, stamping, tube bending, polishing, assembly. • Complex, somewhat top heavy people structure: • 3,500 total employees • 927 salaried • 1,650 unionized – 7 unions); had a lock-out in 2007. • Multiple (6 major brands); complex entity structure; multiple subsidiaries. No plant has more than 1 brand. • Environmental regulations & costs significant (foundries); these costs are buried in plant indirect costs. • Not prepared for any downturn in a cyclic industry. High fixed costs + high debt = vulnerability
Act II: 2007 – 2009 • Accuride hires: • Financial Advisory Firm • Turnaround Consultant • Lawyers • Restructuring plan • Actions Taken: Re-negotiate with Labor (including lockouts) 11/07 • Management Shakeups 12/07, 2/08, 9/08 • Restructuring Plan Announced 9/08 • Drawing on its credit facilities 10/08 • De-listed from NYSE 11/08 • Phase 2 of Restructuring Plan announced 12/08 • Restructure of Debt owed to Sun Capital 2/09 • Temporary Waiver Signed with Lenders Creditor Steering Committee Formed 7/09 • Second Waiver signed 8/09 • Debtors give Accuride until 9/30 to effect financial restructuring (9/25)
Historical and projected EBITDA. Results prior to 2005 are pro forma for the TTI acquisition. Company Projected Industry Cycle 2007-2013E Trough to Peak Avg. EBITDA: $125.7 million Industry Cycle 1996-1999 Cycle Avg. EBITDA: $146.4 million Industry Cycle 2000-2006 Cycle Avg. EBITDA: $148.0 million 15
Capacity utilization for large commercial vehicles currently remains very low, weighing on aftermarket component sales. • In addition, significant cannibalization of parts is occurring from idle vehicles. U.S. Heavy Truck Capacity Utilization 16
Financial summary of the Company’s projections. Consolidated Revenue and EBITDA 17
Who is Doing What? • Credit Risk Management: Bond Holders are seeing increased risk in the transaction and taking action • Unsecured Creditors – committee, negotiations. • Accuride Secures Debtor-in-Possession Financing • Convert debt into equity rights • Dilution of existing stockholders • 10/8 Debt restructuring completed, 10/9 Accuride files voluntary BK – “Pre-Pack”
Act III: Pre-packaged BK • Accuride voluntarily files for Bankruptcy Protection and presents a plan • Raised $50MM in “DIP” Financing • Maturities extended to June 2013 • Covenants modified • Sr. Sub-Debt converted to 98% equity holders • Sr. Unsecured Notes get refi’ed to be convertible into 60% of common stock • Unsecured Trade Creditors to be paid in full • Current Shareholders will now own 2% of common stock, and receive warrants for 15% of Equity subject to the above dilution works out to 9%
Summary of Drivers • Cash drives everything in business. • Low margins results in chronic lack of cash. • Fatal combination – Low margins + High leverage/debt + Un-proactive management = Chronic survival challenges, • Lack of cash leads to BK and/or a turnaround and restructuring, “Chapter 22, 33”, etc. • Once in BK, many others MUST become involved, diluting owners control and destroying investment principal. • Outside expertise = become crucial to survival and renewal. • Value of assets may be determined by others—often with antagonistic agendas. They are not friends of shareholders.
Alternative Ending – The Turnaround • Focus on fixing main problems/opportunities – • VERY LOW gross margins – 14-15% in 2006 – “good year” – • Reporting buries almost all cost improvement opportunities • High fixed costs – multiple small plants; 200-300 people each. • Similar processes at separate plants; transportation costs are hidden. • Each of the 23 plants has high breakeven – below this it consumes cash • No product rationalization – drop, sell losers. • Significant unionization; potential uncooperative attitudes to improving productivity & thus margins. • Mexican plants do not appear to be helping profitability
Initial Turnaround Plan • Replace top & key managers with fresh, success-driven, proactive leaders – not necessarily from auto supplier industry. These will drive real success; “The guys who got you into trouble will not get you out of it.” • Develop, implement cash-focused reporting – replace P&L oriented, financial reporting to drive improvements. • Inventory – complex production, transportation, multiple warehouses = cost • Plant consolidation and/or greenfields to non-union states. • Leverage existing plants temporarily – they are well below capacity to bridge greenfields. • Get blunt with unions – help or close the plant. • Product rationalization - Drop money-losing products; raise prices where market strength good. • Cut per-plant fixed cost structure – buried in COGS, • Implement transportation management • Integrate brands, selling forces, to leverage production capabilities at larger, more efficient plants.
Conclusions & Observations • Management focused on sales, not profitability. • Inattention to cost details – in COGS resulted in losing the company’s equity. • Excessive leverage/debt = inability to withstand downturns in a cyclic business. • Annual report reads like a list of problems, for which no solutions are proposed.