WP 230: Oil and gas and other mineral resources

1. WP 230: Oil and gas and other mineral resources www.ocean-futures.com Leaders: Ocean Futures, Norway (Willy Østreng and Arnfinn Jørgensen-Dahl) Co-leader: Council for the Study of Productive Forces , Russia (Alexander Granberg) Participants: Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland, IOPG/RAS Arnfinn Jørgensen-Dahl, Bergen, 22-23 October 2009

2. Relevance of the work in WP 230 • Contribute to quantification of climate change impacts on economic sectors in the Arctic • Presence of a wide variety of biological and mineral resources • Oil and gas www.ocean-futures.com

3. WP 230 Outline • Mineral resources of the Arctic - Proven and undiscovered reserves, onshore and offshore, proven and designated reserves of other minerals, size, location in the Arctic landscape and vis-à-vis Arctic shipping lanes • Analyse their significance in the context of global resources and their competitiveness • Environmental impact of the extraction of mineral resources • Effects of climate change on the search for and extraction of mineral resources • The extent to which Arctic mineral resources are likely to be turned into locally manufactured value-added products • Interaction between resource exploitation and population variables www.ocean-futures.com

4. Expected outcomes of WP 230 • Arctic oil and gas and other minerals in the global resources context • Understanding of the interaction between resource exploitation, climate change, and nature conservation in the Arctic • Sustainable development in the Arctic within the context of mineral exploitation • Geopolitical aspects and conditions and their influence or otherwise on the presence and exploitation of mineral resources • Understanding of climate change, population dynamics, and resource extraction • Effects of resources extraction on Arctic populations and human settlements: improve, maintain, or impoverish their quality of life? www.ocean-futures.com

5. Willy Østreng, Professor Positions Held: • Senior Research Fellow, Ocean Futures, Oslo. 2004 – Present • Scientific Director and Professor, Centre for Advanced Study, Norwegian Academy of Science and Letters, 2003-2009, • Executive Director, Fridtjof Nansen Institute, Norway, 1978-2003, • Doctoral Supervisor, Scott Polar Research Institute, University of Cambridge, England, 2002-2004, • Senior Visiting Scholar, Center for the Study of Law and Society and Department of Political Science, University of California, Berkeley, 2000-2001, Selected Professional Commissions of Trust: • Head, Shipping in Arctic Waters Project, multinational research project organizedjointly between Centre For High North Logistics and Ocean Futures, 2009 present, • Head, International Northern Sea Route Programme (INSROP), multinational research programme organized jointly between Japan, Russia and Norway, 1993-99, www.ocean-futures.com

6. Willy Østreng, Professor Selected Publications: • Willy Østreng: Vurderingavandreuåpneteområderinord (A review of the unopened areas in the North) Chapter 8. in Konkraft Report no. 6. Oil and Gas Activities in Northern Norway, 2009, 30 pages (Co-authors: Arnfinn Jørgensen-Dahl and Brit Fløistad) • Willy Østreng: Faktaomnordområdene (Facts about the Northern Areas), Oslo, Ocean Futures Ltd, 2005, 140 pages (Co-authors: Johan KvarvingVik, Steven G. Sawhill and Øystein B. Thommessen) • Willy Østreng: ”Delelinjen i Barentshavet. Planlagt samarbeid versus uforutsett konflikt?” (The Delimitation Line in the Barents Sea. Planned Cooperation versus Unforeseen Conflict?) Perspektiv 04/07, Stortingets utredningsseksjon, Oslo, November 2007, 30 pages (Co-author: Yngvild Prydz) • Willy Østreng (ed): The Natural and Societal Challenges of the Northern Sea Route. A Reference Work, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, London, Boston, 1999, 466 pages, • Willy Østreng (ed): Order for the Oceans at the Turn of the Century, Kluwer Law International, The Hague, London, Boston, 1999, 577 pages, (Co-editor: DavorVidas), • Willy Østreng (ed): National Security and International Environmental Cooperation in the Arctic- The Case of the Northern Sea Route, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, Boston, London, 1999, 367 pages, www.ocean-futures.com

7. Arnfinn Jørgensen-Dahl, Mag. Art., Ph.D. Positions Held: • Senior Research Fellow, Ocean Futures, Oslo. 2004 – Present • Principal Programme Officer (D1), United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA), Turin, 1996 – 2002 • Senior Technical Officer (P5), UNFPA, New York, 1992-1996 • Senior Research Fellow and Programme Director, Fridtjof Nansen Institute, Norway, 1987-1991 • Senior Lecturer, National University of Singapore, 1982-85 • Lecturer, Monash University, Melbourne, 1978-1982 • Senior Tutor, University of Queensland, Brisbane, 1976-1978 • Lecturer, University of Tasmania, Hobart, 1974-1976 • Visiting Fellow, Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, Singapore, 1977/78 www.ocean-futures.com

8. Arnfinn Jørgensen-Dahl, Mag. Art.,Ph.D. Selected Publications: • Vurdering av andre uåpnete områder i nord (A review of the unopened areas in the North) Chapter 8. in Konkraft Report no. 6. Oil and Gas Activities in Northern Norway, 2009, (Co-authors: Brit Fløistad and Willy Østreng) • The Antarctic Treaty System in World Politics (London: Macmillan, 1991) Editor (with Willy Ostreng). • Regional Organisation and Order in South-East Asia (London: Macmillan, and New York: St Martin’s Press, 1982). Reprinted 1984 and 1985. • “The Legitimacy of the Antarctic Treaty System” in Arnfinn Jorgensen-Dahl and Willy Ostreng (Eds) The Antarctic Treaty System in World Politics (London: Macmillan 1991) • “The Soviet-Norwegian Maritime Disputes in the Arctic”, Ocean Development and International Law, Vol. 21, No 4 (1991). • “The Svalbard Archipelago: A ‘Special’ Norwegian Territory”, Norinform, 1989. • The Northern Sea Route Project – Pilot Studies Report, (Lysaker: The Fridtjof Nansen Institute, 1991) Ed (with Willy Ostreng). • Northern and Arctic Boundary Disputes (Lysaker: The Fridtjof Nansen Institute, 1989) with Dorien Donders and Olav Schram Stokke. www.ocean-futures.com