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This workshop, led by Prof. José Goldemberg at the University of São Paulo, focused on the urgent need to meet basic energy needs while pursuing sustainability goals. Key conclusions include the importance of improving energy efficiency, capturing and sequestering carbon, addressing geopolitical tensions related to oil and gas supplies, and exploring renewable energy and biofuels. Additionally, the development of cost-effective energy storage technologies and engagement of the science and technology community will be crucial in advancing sustainable energy solutions.
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IANAS Workshop“Toward a Sustainable Energy Future”30-31 October, 2008 Prof. José Goldemberg University of São Paulo Brazil
CONCLUSIONS 1. Meeting the basic energy needs of the poorest people on this planet is a moral and social imperative that can and must be pursued in concert with sustainability objectives. 2. Concerted efforts must be made to improve energy efficiency and reduce the carbon intensity of the world economy. 3. Technologies for capturing and sequestering carbon from fossil fuels, particularly coal, can play a major role in the cost-effective management of global carbon dioxide emissions.
4. Competition for oil and natural gas supplies has the potential to become a source of growing geopolitical tension and economic vulnerability for many nations in the decades ahead. 5. As a low-carbon resource, nuclear power can continue to make a significant contribution to the world’s energy portfolio in the future, but only if major concerns related to capital cost, safety and weapons proliferation are addressed. 6. Renewable energy in its many forms offers immense opportunities for technological progress and innovation.
7. Biofuels hold great promise for simultaneously addressing climate-change and energy security concerns. 8. The development of cost-effective energy storage technologies, new energy carriers and improved transmission infrastructure could substantially reduce cost and expand the contribution from a variety of energy supply options. 9. The S&T community – together with the general public – has a critical role to play in advancing sustainable energy solutions and must be effectively engaged.
“LEAPFROGGING” It is in the best economic and societal interest of developing countries to “leapfrog” past the wasteful energy trajectory followed by today’s industrialized countries. Mechanisms must be introduced that encourage and assist these countries in the introduction of efficient and environmentally friendly energy technologies as soon as possible.
Refrigerator energy use in the United States over time 11 Source: David Goldstein, Natural Resources Defense Council
Efficiency of coal-fired power production Source: Graus and Worrell, 2006. 13
Schematic illustration of a sedimentary basin with a number of geological sequestration options Source: IPCC, 2005 14
Segurança de Abastecimento Fluxos de petróleo 15
Modern renewables projections for 2010 and 2020 Note: Projections of modern renewables (including small hydro, excluding large) based on 11.5 percent growth per year, over the period 2001-2005. Sources: UNDP, UNDESA, and WEC, 2000 and 2004; REN21, 2006; And IEA, 2006 20
Land Use for Ethanol (2006) World’s total agricultural area: 1,228 million hectares *World petroleum consumption (2005): 4,478 billion litres/year * World gasoline consumption (2005): 1,292 billion litres/year
Energy balance of alcohol production from different feedstocks (from fossil fuels) 22 Sources: (Macedo et alii, 2004; UK DTI, 2003 and USDA, 1995)