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ERCOT Regional Load Forecast and Reserve Margin Update

This update provides revised load forecasts and reserve margin calculations for the ERCOT region based on the ERCOT Econometric Load Forecast. It includes an analysis of temperature sensitivity and potential peak load increases. The 12.5% reserve margin requirement is discussed.

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ERCOT Regional Load Forecast and Reserve Margin Update

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  1. Operations Update Revised 2005-2010 ERCOT Regional Load Forecast and Reserve Margin Update Utilizing The ERCOT Econometric Load Forecast ERCOT Board Meeting June 21, 2005

  2. Updated Reserve MarginCalculation – May 17th Board Meeting

  3. ERCOT Econometric Peak Forecast 1.83% Avg. Growth

  4. ERCOT Econometric Energy Forecast 2.10% Avg. Growth

  5. Reserve Margin w/GATF Changes and Econometric Forecast

  6. Temperature Sensitivity • Sensitivity studies indicate that sustained high summer temperatures could result in peak load increases of up to 4% • This is one of the variables considered in the adoption of the 12.5% reserve margin requirement

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