Sources for the following data and statistics:

1. Sources for the following data and statistics: • The National Center for Educational Statistics • The US Census Bureau • Brown University Study of unsupervised children • The National Association of Independent Schools • Research-based presentation by Jim McManus

2. Doing School in the 21st Century: It really IS getting harder!

3. Social trends… • 61% of children live with both biological parents • 20% live in blended families • 19% live in single-parent families • 25% of children between 10 and 14 have no adult at home after school • 32% of those engaged in 1or more of the following: • Truancy • Alcohol or drug use • Theft • Injuring someone

4. Women in the workforce • 78% of women with school age children are in the workforce • 33% in 1950

5. Students’ lives… • Children eat more fat and sugar, less fiber (1 in 4 high schoolers doesn’t eat a single serving of vegetables in a day.) • 25 years ago teenagers drank twice as much milk as soda; today they drink twice as much soda as milk • 32% of California children are over-weight or at risk of becoming over-weight • Students ages 9-16 average 7.5 hours of sleep per night, but students in independent schools sleep less • Many students “alone” even when with their families: in their own rooms and on the computer (Instant Message Madness) • 46% of teens report a loaded gun kept in their home • 53% of high schoolers are sexually active • 82% favor condom distribution @ school • 59% think abstinence should be taught

6. There’s more… • Alcohol use by students: • 80% of all alcohol consumed as beer • 6 billion gallons of beer consumed annually in the US (44 6-packs for every man, woman and child) • 67% of 8th graders have tried alcohol • 24% have been drunk in the last month • 14% have binged more than once (5+ drinks in a row)

7. Still more… • Tobacco…think it’s gone away? • 4,800 US youths start smoking each day • 35% of high schoolers smoke daily • 10% of middle schoolers smoked in the last month

8. California demographics • More Latinos in the US than there are Canadians in all of Canada • Latino population in LAUSD larger than the total enrollment of all students from all backgrounds in all NAIS member schools • California public school population much more racially and ethnically diverse than peer group in independent schools • Today’s 6th graders will live in a California that: • Will have a Latino majority K-12 before they go to college • Will live in a world that will be less than 10% white for most of their adult lives

9. Significant trends impacting schools • Globalism • Demographic changes • Social pathologies affecting the young • Rapid change curve re: technology and science • Complex and uncertain economy • Increased government intrusion/regulation/accountability • The changing workplace: • New skills needed • Need for lifelong education and retraining • Shift to knowledge workers

10. Public Education • California ranks • 1st in number of students • 9th in teacher salaries • 41st in per pupil expenditures

11. Private Education • 11% of US students and 9% of CA students attend private schools. • Pasadena = 40% in private school • Catholic (diocesan) schools enrollment declining • Home school growing: • In 1999 850 thousand home schooled • In 2003 1.1 million home schooled (+.5%)

12. Some possible implications… • State financial crisis and funding cuts will hinder public school improvement efforts. • Independent schools have strong market position but may be threatened by escalating tuition: financial sustainability issues. • Teachers approaching retirement may feel they can’t afford to retire. • Independent school marketplace will grow more competitive as prospective families look for “value added.”

13. Financial realities for independent schools: Baumol’s Disease? • Programs have been added, but few discarded • Addition of new buildings adds to operational costs • Competition for teachers has driven salaries higher (CAIS median now $48K) • Increased cost of health insurance and other liability coverage • Total staff has risen 32% since 1992 • Baby boom: highest K-12 enrollment in history • Program expansion driven by: • College competition • Demand that “every child succeed” • Competition with peer schools • Need to address diverse learning styles • Technology

14. Parent criteria for selecting a school: • Safe haven! • High quality academics (placement & success) • Character development • Caring environment • Others: services, social mix, extension of parents’ backgrounds

15. Symptoms of environmental pressures… • Atmosphere of anxiety • Fears about college prospects: no room for failure • Over-scheduled students: competing for “an edge” • Parental expectations: no reality check • Teacher anxiety re: “parent power” • Macro fears • Economic uncertainty • War and terrorism • Political polarization • Environmental degradation

16. Pressures on teaching and learning… • Demand for more class offerings • Demand for more school-home communication • College expectations for “achievement,” i.e. AP classes, SAT scores, etc. • Students expanding course loads while extending their after-school activities • Changing technology

17. As parental contact is reduced… • Growing after-school programs for lower school: some days up to 60-70 students at school until 5:00 • High enrollment in after-school sports and drama programs: half the upper school involved • Many students at school from 7:00 a.m. to 6:30 or 7:00 p.m. • Students affected by divorce, financial reversals, caring for parents of parents • Students affected by self-destructive behaviors in the larger environment as well as among school peers (alcohol and drug use; sexual activity)

18. We’re not the back-up anymore… • We are the first line of defense… • More counseling needed • Closer observation of students • Students needing and seeking more one-on-one attention at school • Addressing health and wellness issues at school • Parent education and support • Monitoring impact of personal circumstances on school performance

19. “parenting has become the most competitive adult sport in America” –Alvin Rosenfeld • Parents are overwhelmed • Parents are uninformed • Parents are anxious and over programmed themselves • Parents look to the school for leadership, guidance and support • Parents fear any failure or stumble by their children • Value shoppers: want the best for their money

20. It begins to feel overwhelming…

21. Think about it…what are we doing today that was not happening ten years ago?

22. As Yogi Berra once said… • THE FUTURE AIN’T WHAT IT USED TO BE!