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(Western) Channel Fisheries UK Trevor Hutton, Aaron Hatcher, Finlay Scott, Alyson Little, Charlie Edwards, Tom Carruthers. cemare. Imperial College. Introduction. English Beam trawlers in South West (VIIe) High value fishery (£4.7 million) with regional importance
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(Western) Channel Fisheries UK Trevor Hutton, Aaron Hatcher, Finlay Scott, Alyson Little, Charlie Edwards, Tom Carruthers cemare Imperial College
Introduction • English Beam trawlers in South West (VIIe) • High value fishery (£4.7 million) with regional importance • Mixed demersal fishery – we focus on sole • Historically, high level of misreporting (landings) • Stock status – CPUE trends down, F above Fpa, Beamer effort increasing
Long –term maximum yield ~ O.26 Stock recruitment relationship
Management and Enforcement issue • Over quota (evidence of cod, sole) • Declaring Sole (VIIe) as sole landed in VIId()
Sources of Data • SeaFish – economic data • MFA – enforcement data
Technical characteristics UK beam >221kw (<30m)
Economic characteristics e.g. UK beam >221kw (<30m) Added up all variable costs And all fixed costs
Calculating Social Benefit • Fit enforcement relationships: • Cost of enforcement vs enforcement effort • Cost of enforcement vs probability of detection • Estimate Shadow Value Biomass using bioeconomic model • Estimate enforcement effort that maximises Social Benefit (using WP6 code)
Bioeconomic model • Simple projection model starting from latest WG assessment. • Fitted stock-recruitment relationship • Examined various overfishing scenarios by projecting under a range of constant F values • E.g. No overfishing F = Fpa , harvest = TAC • Scenarios with higher F assumed to have lower enforcement effort • Make a small change in initial biomass level, project forward again. • Estimate profit and Shadow Value Biomass
Catch over time (vary F: TAC + X) Catch (tonnes)
V is social value Shadow value biomass We vary (e) thus x, And compute v and V Euros per tonne Harvest (tonnes)
Maximise Social Benefit • Demo…
Future • Estimate enforcement efforts that maximise Social Benefit • Explore effects of different levels of enforcement efforts • Conduct ‘sensitivity’ analysis – see changes in surface under alternative scenarios (e.g. alternative values of SVB, costs etc.)