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Introduction & Workshop Goals. Hajo Eicken Chair, SEARCH Observing Change Panel Geophysical Institute University of Alaska Fairbanks, hajo.eicken@gi.alaska.edu Context Workshop goals and deliverables Questions?. Arctic Alaska in 2007/08: A harbinger of things to come?.
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Introduction & Workshop Goals Hajo EickenChair, SEARCH Observing Change Panel Geophysical InstituteUniversity of Alaska Fairbanks, hajo.eicken@gi.alaska.edu • Context • Workshop goals and deliverables • Questions? Arctic Observation Integration Mtg
Arctic Alaska in 2007/08: A harbinger of things to come? • Several thousands of walrus are making landfall in Northwestern AK in summer due to lack of sea ice • Community of Newtok is commencing relocation due to coastline retreat, Shishmaref likely to follow within 5-10 years, Kivalina sues major oil companies for damages attributed to greenhouse gas emissions • Anecdotal evidence and reports from coastal AK indicate that hunters experience decreased access to ice-associated mammals in more dangerous environmental conditions • 1st sale of “true” AK Arctic offshore oil & gas leases ($2.7 billion revenue, several challenges in federal courts) • ASRC & BHP Billiton begin 5-year exploration of coal deposits on AK North Slope deemed some of world’s largest of high-grade coal • World’s largest zinc mine in NW Alaska plans expansion of marine terminal • US Coast Guard starts reconnaissance flights to North Pole and announces plans for Arctic coastal station in Barrow Arctic Observation Integration Mtg
Arctic observing systems in societal context Enforcement & disaster response A “The” “Arctic” “System” Possible future states of the Arctic Industry B Arctic communities C Broader public interests Policymakers & regulators Arctic Observation Integration Mtg
Arctic observing systems in societal context Understanding change A Observing change B C • Track past and present change • Exclude impossible states • Identify most likely trajectories Arctic Observation Integration Mtg
Arctic observing systems in societal context A B C • Responding to change: Adaptation & mitigation • Significant implications for observing systems Arctic Observation Integration Mtg
Three Stages of Integration • Regional & cross-disciplinary integration of observing system A B • Integration of observations into modeling efforts • Integration of scientific activities with stakeholder information needs Arctic Observation Integration Mtg
Workshop Goals • Evaluate present observing system: • Ability to track, understand and respond to rapid change • Recommendations for optimization: Identifying gaps, role of systems-design and CI in consolidating network out of components, discuss additional needs with respect to data management and dissemination, AON governance, need for central portal/hub? • Improve cross-disciplinary and international integration • Develop common vision that can guide congelation and integration of different efforts into a network • Identify strategies to sustain critical long-term observations: • Demonstrate value of ongoing program (products needed beyond regular reporting and scientific output?) • Partnering with agencies, industry, communities and others • Provide input to Lagrangian Platforms and Sea-ice Summer 2007 workshop Arctic Observation Integration Mtg
Deliverables: Workshop Report & Recommendations • Short-term observational gaps and further support needed to address points identified by scientific community at SEARCH Implementation Workshop in 2005 • Priorities and next steps in meeting observing, understanding and responding to change scientific objectives in the long term (revisiting of 2005 workshop conclusions?) • Next steps and further needs for integration & coordination of AON projects • AON governance issues that need to be resolved in the near- and long-term • Next steps and further needs for data management and dissemination • Potential need for observing network information hub/portal • AON progress demonstration: Additional products needed? • Next steps for coordination and integration with federal agencies, industry, communities • Next steps for international coordination and integration • Need for follow-up workshop or facilitated exchanges over next 12 months Arctic Observation Integration Mtg