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The Activities of S2S International Coordination Office

International Conference on Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction 10-13 February 2014. The Activities of S2S International Coordination Office. NAM Jae- C heol Director General of NIMR/KMA Vice President of CAS/WMO. Contents. Backgrounds WMO S2S ICO Proposed S2S Structure

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The Activities of S2S International Coordination Office

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  1. International Conference on Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction 10-13 February 2014 The Activities of S2S International Coordination Office NAM Jae-Cheol Director General of NIMR/KMA VicePresident of CAS/WMO

  2. Contents • Backgrounds • WMO S2S ICO • Proposed S2S Structure • Planning Project for S2S Research in Korea • Future Plan

  3. Backgrounds • KMA/NIMR has participated to WMO THORPEX Program over the last 10 years. • WMO indicated an Implementation Research Plan of “Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) Prediction” with relevance to the Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS) in 22 Jun. 2012 • KMA/NIMR has been leading CORDEX-East Asia and hosted international workshp twice (November 2011 and 2012) • ※ CORDEX (Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment) • KMA/NIMR hosted WMO S2S ICO in • Jeju (WMO5524-13/RES/ARE/WWR, • dated on 25 April) and signed MoU • between WMO and KMA during EC • meeting on 16 May 2013 in Geneva

  4. WMO S2S ICO: Responsibilities • Responsibilities of the ICO • - To support and coordinate planning and implementation of S2S activities • - To provide scientific, technical and secretarial support to the S2S Steering Group • - To assist in cooperation between S2S and other relevant international programmes and activities • - To assist with organizing appropriate meetings, workshops, conferences and other activities relevant to S2S • - To prepare reports, correspondence and publications • - To manage S2S website and data base • - To assist in fund raising and recruiting secondments to join the ICO International S2S Steering Group Korean S2S Scientists WMO S2S ICO

  5. Opening ceremony of S2S ICO • The opening ceremony of S2S ICO and S2S workshop was held on 4 November 2013. • Keyparticipants • - Dr. Deon Terblanche (WMO ARE) • - Dr. Frederic Vitart (S2S SG) • - Dr. ZoltanToth (NOAA/GSD) • - Prof. Dong-Kyou Lee (WWRP JSC) • - Prof. In-Sik Kang (WCRP JSC)

  6. WMO S2S ICO • Office: • - Address: 33, Seohobuk-ro, Seogwipo-si, Jeju-do, 697-845, Republic of Korea • - Fax: +82-64-738-9075 • - Provide an office and a public spaces (e.g., a conference room, an auditorium, a meeting room, etc.) at NIMR/KMA • Provide staffs • Provide working environments • - PCs and software programs • - wired/wireless Internet access • - Web service

  7. S2S Website (http://www.s2sprediction.net)

  8. Potential organizations involved to S2S activities • Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) • - KMA: WMO Lead Centre for LRFMME • ※ LRFMME: Long-Range Forecast Multi-Model Ensemble • - NIMR: WMO S2S ICO, Funding for S2S Research (Lead organization of S2S Research in Korea) • Agencies - APCC: Research & Operation for seasonal forecast and/or ISO • ※ APCC: APEC Climate Center - Korea Polar Research Institute - Korea Institute of Ocean Science and Technology - etc.. • Universities • - Seoul National University • - Pusan National University • - Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology • - etc..

  9. Key Participants for S2S Research • Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) - NIMR: Dr. NAM Jae-Cheol (S2S Program Leader) Dr. HA Jong-Chul (Manager, S2S ICO) Dr. KANG Hyun-Suk (CORDEX East-Asia coordinator) - KMA: Dr. KIM Hyun-Kyung(WMO LC-LRFMME) Dr. CHUNG Kwan-Young (KMA) Dr. CHANG Dong-Eon (WMO RAII/V office, Geneva) • APCC - Drs. YOO Jin-Ho, KIM Hae-Jeong • Seoul National University (SNU) • - Prof. LEE Dong-Kyou (WWRP JSC member) • - Prof. KANG In-Sik (WCRP JSC member) • Pusan National University • - Dr. LEE June-Yi (S2S Steering Group member)

  10. Proposed S2S Structure R2O O2R Domestic GPC-Seoul LC- LRFMME Universities Agencies Institutes Meeting Training Funding Workshop APCC S2S Steering Group WMO S2S ICO [Jeju, Korea] NIMR/KMA S2S Research [ ~ 2018] International

  11. Planning Project for S2S Research in Korea [Funded by KMA/NIMR] • Title of Project - Planning study for the encouragement of Korea’s S2S prediction research • PI (affiliation) - Dr. KIM Joo-Hong (Korea Polar Research Institute) • Duration and Amount • - 4 months (launch in Sep. 2013) and about 80,000 USD • Outcomes • - 5-yr roadmap of S2S prediction research in Korea - Long-term research projects based on the roadmap

  12. S2S Implementation Plan • Analyze the research and modeling Issues in the S2S implementation plan • Designate core research subjects of Korea’s S2S prediction study ※ MJO & BSISO: Madden Julian Oscillation & Boreal Summer IntraSeasonal Oscillation

  13. Core Research Subjects (for Korean) • ISO • - ISO modeling with a high resolution atmosphere-ocean coupled model • - Improve cumulus parameterization • - Relative importance: parameterization vs. Initialization • - Impact of atmosphere-ocean coupling in a high resolution coupled model • - Hybrid statistical-dynamical forecast • High-impact events (e.g., tropical cyclone, heat wave, cold surge, etc.) • - Develop a probabilistic prediction system of intraseasonal TC activity • - Optimal ensemble method for predicting intraseasonal TC genesis and passage • - Internal dynamics of blocking (synoptic wave-blocking interaction) • - External factors feeding blocking high (e.g., heat source, teleconnection, and wave propagation from the stratosphere) • - Impact of horizontal/vertical resolution & physical processes • - Develop an optimal ensemble initialization method

  14. Core Research Subjects (continued) • Stratosphere-troposphere interaction • - Impact of SSW and QBO on NAO/AO • - Incorporation of stratospheric processes in dynamic forecast • Cryosphere elements (e.g., sea ice, snow cover) • - Statistical forecast system of Arctic sea ice extent • - Develop a module of ocean, sea ice and snow initializations • - Improve sea ice rheology/physics based on in-situ observations • Advanced techniques of initialization and ensemble generation • - Optimal initial perturbation generation method for ensemble • intraseasonal prediction ※ QBO, NAO, AO: Quasi-Biennial, North Atlantic, Arctic Oscillation

  15. Plans for WMO S2S ICO • Funds • - KMA/NIMR will try to secure research fund for S2S Research & WMO trust Fund for S2S Program • Training Program • - KMA/NIMR will organize international training course on the S2S for developing countries supported by ODA/KMA and KOICA (2015~) • - APCC will organize training programs for APEC member countries • Meetings, Workshops, Conferences • - S2S ICO will support meetings, workshops, and conferences in Jeju • Employment Plan(by NIMR) • - 1 Senior scientist, 2 Young scientists

  16. Thank you !

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