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Coordinated US Initiative on Emissions Research. Suggestions to Guide this Initiative Focus on research emission inventories Do not interfere with regulatory inventory development process Build on existing approaches to emissions development and observation
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Coordinated US Initiative on Emissions Research • Suggestions to Guide this Initiative • Focus on research emission inventories • Do not interfere with regulatory inventory development process • Build on existing approaches to emissions development and observation • Facilitate new directions in collaborative emissions research • Adapt emission products for research community • Encourage active feedback between development and observation groups • Encourage multiple approaches to development and evaluation • Bring an openness to new findings and encourage sharing of results • Assess resources needed for collaborative efforts • Carry out periodic synthesis activities and progress assessments Discussions of Coordinated Emissions Research Where We Want to Go Where We Are Research Progress First Workshop, 4 December 2009, NOAA DSRC, Boulder, CO
Coordinated US Initiative on Emissions Research Enhance access to and usefulness of emissions data Evaluate inventories using multiple top-down methods Some Proposed Goals for this Initiative Spatial extent: US or North America Parallel regional efforts Temporal extent: Most recent 20-30 years Evaluate trends Investigate impacts of emissions on AQ and climate Encourage exchange between evaluation and development communities First Workshop, 4 December 2009, NOAA DSRC, Boulder, CO
Coordinated US Initiative on Emissions Research • Data access and consistency • Data clearinghouse • Inventories for multiple years with consistent methodology • Inventories for different sectors • Inventories for different regions • Input data (activities, EFs, land-use) • Observations data for evaluations Straw-man Proposals for Short-term Goals Enhance access to and usefulness of emissions data • Data usefulness • Format transfer tools • File readers • Regridding and extraction tools • Analysis and statistical tools • Speciation tools • Visualization tools First Workshop, 4 December 2009, NOAA DSRC, Boulder, CO
Coordinated US Initiative on Emissions Research • Evaluate merged inventory of criteria pollutants and CO2 • Carry out merge for several key years • Add other GHGs to merged inventory • Temporal variations: annual, seasonal, day-of-week, diurnal Evaluate inventories using multiple top-down methods Straw-man Proposals for Short-term Goals • Evaluate speciation of US sources • VOCs and PM • Urban, industrial, agriculture, BB • Variability between individuals in each source type • Temporal variability of source types Encourage exchange between evaluation and development communities • Evaluate consistency in emissions of aerosol and ozone precursors • Differences for different sources First Workshop, 4 December 2009, NOAA DSRC, Boulder, CO
Coordinated US Initiative on Emissions Research • Impacts of emission changes • Emission changes: economic activity, control strategies, land-use • Quantify impacts on AQ & climate prediction • Do observations confirm predicted AQ & climate changes? Straw-man Proposals for Short-term Goals Investigate impacts of emissions on AQ and climate • Impacts of emission uncertainties • Evaluate uncertainties in emission inventories at different scales • Quantify impacts on AQ & climate prediction • Impacts of spatial variability of emissions • Source and speciation variations for different regions • Observe and quantify impacts on AQ & climate First Workshop, 4 December 2009, NOAA DSRC, Boulder, CO
Coordinated US Initiative on Emissions Research • What are short-term (6 months, 1 year, 2 years, 3 years) goals with well-defined limits that could be achieved by this collaboration? • What inventory products are needed/desired that are not available now, and what are the key characteristics needed to improve research and assessment activities? Dimensions of these questions include: • Focus on emissions only or also drivers? • Timescales? • Sectoral coverage? • Update frequency? • Is this a repository, an analysis effort, and/or a data production effort? • Target resolution? • Species: multi-pollutant approaches, air quality, greenhouse gases, toxics? • What evaluation approaches show the most promise? How can we make better use of observational resources? What observations are most needed? • What is the next step? • White paper? • Proposal? • Are funding agencies willing to support this activity? • What can we do within our own agencies to promote this activity? • Follow-up meeting focusing on specific issues? Questions to Guide Discussions (from the Agenda) First Workshop, 4 December 2009, NOAA DSRC, Boulder, CO