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Violence, Governance, Development

Violence, Governance, Development. Mo Ibrahim Foundation Governance for Development in Africa IESE/SOAS. Trends, levels, classification. Peace and Conflict, 2010 , CIDCM. Spagat, Restrepo and Vargas. Source: Moser & McIlwaine, World Development, 2006. Violence and Development I.

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Violence, Governance, Development

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  1. Violence, Governance, Development Mo Ibrahim Foundation Governance for Development in Africa IESE/SOAS

  2. Trends, levels, classification

  3. Peace and Conflict, 2010, CIDCM

  4. Spagat, Restrepo and Vargas

  5. Source: Moser & McIlwaine, World Development, 2006

  6. Violence and Development I

  7. Grievance • Growth (5 years before onset) • Repression (elections, press freedom, etc) • Inequality (Gini coefficient) • Ethnicity (ELF)

  8. Greed • Goodies (% of primary commodity exports in GDP) • Rascals (% of 15-24 year old males in population) • Education (number of years average schooling)

  9. How to overcome constraints on collective action • Direct, material rewards, now, to individuals • Coercion • Norms & ideology • Joint production (Kriger; Kalyvas) of violence by local and national, outside and inside communities – intimacy • Whatever’s easiest (economic or social endowments) but this will shape the form of conflict (Weinstein)

  10. Friendly Fire? • Regressing endogenous variables on endogenous variables • Failing to reflect anything in the last 25 years of economic theory or technique • Conclusions not justified by findings • Might be published in an IR journal but not in a 3rd rate economics journal.

  11. Post-conflict aid

  12. From Boyce and Forman (2011), “Financing Peace” – WDR input paper

  13. From Boyce and Forman (2011), “Financing Peace” – WDR input paper

  14. Aid volatility coefficient From Boyce and Forman (2011), “Financing Peace” – WDR input paper

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