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Demand Opportunities for Broadband Deployment in Del Norte, Humboldt, Mendocino and Trinity Counties. Tina Nerat NERATECH CENIC Conference 3/10/09. RCC Project Participants. California Emerging Technology Fund Humboldt Area Foundation Humboldt State University
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Demand Opportunities for Broadband Deployment in Del Norte, Humboldt, Mendocino and Trinity Counties Tina Nerat NERATECH CENIC Conference 3/10/09
RCC Project Participants • California Emerging Technology Fund • Humboldt Area Foundation • Humboldt State University • All 3 organizations have seats on the Governor’s Broadband Task Force • Other funders: RREDC, McLean Foundation, Headwaters Fund, Humboldt/Trinity CDBG http://redwoodcoastconnect.humboldt.edu
What is the project? • First CETF project • Market Study – 4 county demand aggregation • Markets in rural regions • Population locations/density, remoteness, terrain • Broadband service areas • Closing gaps in service • We need to understand… • Demand (understanding adoption and usage) • Supply (current infrastructure) • Policy (planning, ordinances, barriers)
Lessons to Share:Mapping Quality of broadband coverage map data • GIS maps • Provider engineering drawings • Public information • WISP maps on web sites • Purchased data - TeleAtlas • AAA maps with highlighter marking • Linemen & cable guys sharing info • WISP lat/long/tower height (GIS modeling) • “Local knowledge” marked up on GPS topo software maps • Paranoia about sharing information • Local dial-up providers know the “lay of the land”
State of Infrastructure Rumors of infrastructure issues confirmed: • At capacity on some backhaul routes • Deteriorating copper in some areas • “It survived the ’64 flood” • Single provider for backhaul = high cost • Lack of route diversity • Widespread regional outages due to storms, backhoes, fires • Last mile issues can’t be considered without discussion of backhaul issues
Surprises • Amazing small provider coverage (DSL, cable) • Large providers don’t know who their competition is in rural markets • Wireless ISP activity in the past 18 months • 101Netlink in Humboldt • No WISPs in Del Norte (yet) • Openness of conversations with some providers • Backhaul issues (cost, lack of capacity/vendor choice) are huge barriers to rural broadband
Key Findings • Large population centers have reasonably high quality broadband access • 60% of communities unserved/underserved • Business needs often indistinguishable from residential needs (small businesses) • Telecom companies and wireless ISPs’ may well be anchor tenants • Public sector is generally well-connected • Lack of middle mile is single greatest barrier to last mile deployment • Subsidization of middle mile will be required
Last mile broadband deployment is impossible without the middle mile. Proposed Middle Mile Architecture
Klamath-Orick ScenarioCapital and Revenue • Total Demand Revenues • Residential $139,392 • Business $ 4,347 • Public $ 60,000 • Estimated Capital • Backhaul $5,071,000 • Local Loop 166,511 • Discounted Cash Flow • w/o public $ 799,486 • w/public $1,105,537 • Est. Subsidy $4-5 million
Key State Policy Considerations • Anchor Tenants • Create new public/private partnerships utilizing public assets to support new infrastructure • Opening of closed networks for extending broadband into the hard-to-serve communities • Allow government offices in hard-to-serve communities participate in aggregation of demand
Key State Policy Considerations • Capital Funding • Expand funding available to WISPs and other small local entrepreneurial enterprises • Include Community Services Districts providing broadband access to CASF funds • Provide grant funding to support community efforts to create business plans for broadband • Support research and development of new technologies that hold promise for rural areas
Key State Policy Considerations • Infrastructure Build Out • Create an “open trench” policy whereby state funded infrastructure projects at a minimum encourage burying of conduit or fiber whenever a ditch is open • Fund a pilot project to determine the viability of micro-trenching as an alternative to laying fiber in public right of way (Caltrans) • Create publicly owned infrastructure that can be leased by private operators willing to serve hard to serve communities
Resources http://redwoodcoastconnect.humboldt.edu tina@neratech.net Thank You CENIC……. for your support of rural broadband