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PAF 101

Module 5, Lecture 1. PAF 101. “ Knowledge is power. ” Francis Bacon. Class Agenda. Announcements Intro to Module 5 Prince System Assignment. What?: The largest day of student run community service. When? Saturday, April 12 10am-3:00pm

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PAF 101

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  1. Module 5, Lecture 1 PAF101 “Knowledge is power.” Francis Bacon

  2. Class Agenda • Announcements • Intro to Module 5 • Prince System • Assignment

  3. What?: The largest day of student run community service. When? Saturday, April 12 10am-3:00pm Where? Check in will begin at 10am in Newhouse 3 room 141. Volunteers will then be bused to several sites around Syracuse and participate in projects concerning beautification and hunger. Register: http://newtosu.syr.edu/thebigevent.html#610:815:_jL8eoLuaEeO97cNUOhvjQw THIS WILL COUNT TOWARDS YOUR REQUIRED 5 HOURS FOR PAF 101

  4. Community Service Reminder • The due date for community service hours is Monday 4/21 in class. • Use the online form on 101 website.

  5. Integrating the Groups • From 17 groups to 9 groups • Top groups choose first • Do it NOW!

  6. Competition Points Winners Losers Competition Points as of 4/4/2014

  7. Competition Points Winners Losers

  8. Follow Along with the Module 5 Exercises

  9. Policy Triangle Players A B Societal Problems Public Policy C

  10. The Prince System What is the Prince System? A Method for Forecasting Decisions and Coming Up with Strategies to Get What You Want

  11. Some Users of the System • U.S. Department of State • C.I.A. • U.S. Army Corps of Engineers • U.S. Forestry Service • Diebold Automated Office Programs • American Library Association • Political Risk Services

  12. The Prince System Step 1 Describing the Policy to be Implemented Example: Get A New Loan

  13. Family Issues • Get a New Loan • Pay for Children’s Education • Buy Vacation Home for Parents

  14. The Prince System Step 2 Identify Key Players Example: Father, Mother, No. 1 Son, No. 1 Daughter

  15. The Prince System Step 2 Revised Full List of Key Players Example:Father, Mother, No. 1 Son, No. 1 Daughter, Creditors, Grandfather

  16. The Prince System Step 3 Estimate Position (-5 to +5) Total = 0

  17. Step 4 Estimate Power (1 to 5) Total = -14

  18. Step 5 Estimate Priority (1 to 5) Total = -30

  19. Step 6 Calculate Probabilities Step 1: Action to be Predicted Get a New Loan Sum of Positive Scores and One Half of Neutral ScoresSum of Absolute Values of All Scores, IncludingNeutral Scores 90210 = = .43

  20. Strategy Tool Hostility-Friendship Chart

  21. Prince Chart Step 1:Policy to be Implemented Get a New Loan Sum of Positive Scores and One Half of Neutral ScoresSum of Absolute Values of All Scores, IncludingNeutral Scores 185225 = = .82

  22. Prince Analysis Steps Identify Necessary Actions Identify Key Players Estimate Position (-5 to +5) Estimate Power (1 to 5) Estimate Priority (1 to 5) Calculate Probabilities Formulate Prince Strategies Ex. 9.1 Ex. 9.2 Ex. 9.3 Ex. 9.4 Chapter 10

  23. Step 1: Choose a Policy (9.1) • Does not have to be related to previous work, but it is advised. • Must address the correct geographic area.

  24. Assignment • Read Chapter 9 for next class! • New seats

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