220 likes | 380 Views
MAP D-PHASE. COPS Workshop, April 10, 2006. Mathias Rotach Chair MD-SC. Overview. Context & ‘history’ Organisation Overview over activities Collaboration. MAP History. Preparation Phase. Experimental Phase, 1999 SOP. Analysis Phase. Demonstration Phase. Forecast Demonstration Project.
E N D
MAP D-PHASE COPS Workshop, April 10, 2006 Mathias Rotach Chair MD-SC
Overview • Context & ‘history’ • Organisation • Overview over activities • Collaboration
MAP History Preparation Phase Experimental Phase, 1999 SOP Analysis Phase Demonstration Phase Forecast Demonstration Project
MAP History Preparation Phase Experimental Phase, 1999 SOP Analysis Phase Demonstration Phase MAP D-PHASE
MAP D-PHASE • MAP: first WWRP RDP • D-PHASE: 2nd WWRP FDP • Focus--> heavy precipitation--> hydrology--> high-resolution numerical modelling Demonstration of ability to better understand, model and forecast strong precipitation events and related hydrological processes from end to end… … due to MAP
Impact of Alps on August 2005 floods Without Alps: Opr. COSMO-LEPS orography
COSMO-LEPS 10 RMs (weighted) Without Alps: Opr. COSMO-LEPS orography
COSMO-LEPS 10 RMs (weighted) Without Alps: Opr. COSMO-LEPS orography
COSMO-LEPS 10 RMs (weighted) Without Alps: Opr. COSMO-LEPS orography
COSMO-LEPS 10 RMs (weighted) Without Alps: Opr. COSMO-LEPS orography
MAP D-PHASE D-PHASE: Demonstration of Probabilistic Hydrological and Atmospheric Simulation of heavy precipitation Events in the Alpine region
MAP D-PHASE • October 2005: endorsement by WWRP Int. Steering Committee --> Steinacker/Dorninger, Staudinger (A), Rotach, Schär (CH),Volkert, Wulfmeyer (D), Bouttier, Richard (F), Buzzi, Frustaci, Ranzi (I), Mylne (UK) 1st MD-SC meeting, 13/14 March 2006 D-PHASE ‘office’: --> Marco Arpagaus, project coordinator --> marco.arpagaus@meteoswiss.ch Implementation Plan
MAP D-PHASE working groups • WG-DI: Data interface --> chair: A. Montani, ARPA-SIM • WG-HEU: Hydrology and End users --> co-chairs: R. Ranzi, U Brescia, C. Hegg, WSL • WG-VER: verficiation--> chair: M. Dorninger, U Vienna • WG-DP: Data policy--> chair M. Rotach, MeteoSwiss
COSMO-LEPS aLMo2
Iller, Lech, Isar Glarus Lago Maggiore Emilia Romagna Liguria
Implementation Plan • MD-SC approved the basic assumptions … • alldata, alerts, and feedbacks are verified / evaluated • alldata are visualised • all alerts are visualised • general rules for information flow • … and their consequences • common data interface (DI) • common data visualisation platform (DVP) • common warning and feedback platform (WFP) • in general: individual implementation
International Collaboration • common data interface (DI) • common data visualisation platform (DVP)--> joint with COPS--> ‘Demonstration period’: June - November 2007 common warning and feedback platform (WFP) --> in collaboration with Meteorisk ETReC07
1st MAP D-PHASE meeting November 6- 8 2006 Vienna local Organiser: M. Dorninger / R. Steinacker • Atmospheric modeling • Hydrological modeling • high-resolution probabilistic simulation • nowcasting • Verification approaches • Previous studies from ‘D-PHASE catchments’